Trading Signals: SOXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Feb. 20, 2015

Trading Signals: SOXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bull 3X ETF)
SOXL latest price $36.9800 (1.79%) ($35.7400 - $37.0200) on Fri. Feb. 20, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.71% (three month average)
RSI   85
Latest Price   $36.9800(1.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SOXL advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SOXL advances 9.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SOXL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(82%)    SMH(81%)    SPY(78%)    XLK(78%)    IWM(72%)
Factors Impacting SOXL price   SOXL will decline at least -1.855% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    TLT(-15%)    UUP(-11%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.855% (StdDev 3.71%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.33(1.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.66(6.69%)
20 Day Moving Average   $32.8(12.74%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   28.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. SOXL is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. SOXL price fluctuates within 7.9% (three month std-dev: 3.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150320

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_20_2015	32.83	32.8	34.66	36.33			36.98(1.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	44	-10000	5	161	0.41	56%	0.24	56.3	3.71%	0	1.6	85	0
2	Feb_19_2015	32.75	32.57	34.13	35.99			36.33(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	47	-10000	8	162	0.34	56%	0.18	63.1	3.74%	0	1.6	70	0
3	Feb_18_2015	32.69	32.34	33.59	35.45			36(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	44	-10000	8	152	0.38	56%	0.18	65.3	3.77%	0	1.6	70	0
4	Feb_17_2015	32.63	32.08	33.04	34.91			36.36(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	50	-10000	19	142	0.39	56%	0.25	62.6	3.8%	0	2.1	68	0
5	Feb_13_2015	32.55	31.76	32.3	33.68			36(2.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	33	-10000	15	88	0.6	56%	0.18	42.8	3.84%	0	2.3	58	0

6	Feb_12_2015	32.49	31.4	31.56	32.73			35.25(4.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	19	-10000	11	43	0.59	56%	0.19	20.4	3.87%	0	2.4	57	0
7	Feb_11_2015	32.43	31.12	31.05	32.03			33.63(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	10	-10000	9	13	0.62	54%	0.06	7.8	3.85%	0	1.8	52	0
8	Feb_10_2015	32.41	30.95	30.71	31.48			33.29(10.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	4	-10000	9	-10	0.7	54%	0.06	-0.5	3.89%	0	1.8	53	0
9	Feb_9_2015	32.39	30.84	30.44	30.92			30.23(-3.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-4	-10000	5	-30	0.42	48%	-0.12	-15.8	3.64%	0	-0.5	47	0
10	Feb_6_2015	32.43	30.99	30.68	30.67			31.25(-1.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	-10000	9	-24	0.75	48%	-0.09	-21.4	3.65%	0	0.2	56	0

11	Feb_5_2015	32.46	31.07	30.78	30.16			31.73(2.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-4	-10000	4	-26	0.42	48%	-0.06	-31.5	3.69%	0	0.5	63	0
12	Feb_4_2015	32.48	31.01	30.86	29.93			30.89(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-5	-10000	1	-21	0.6	48%	-0.09	-48.7	3.7%	0	-0.1	56	0
13	Feb_3_2015	32.51	30.96	30.98	29.85			30.52(5.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-6	-10000	-2	-16	0.72	48%	-0.15	-65.9	3.74%	0	-0.3	52	0
14	Feb_2_2015	32.56	31.02	31.04	29.94			28.96(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-10000	-14	-20	0.97	45%	-0.25	-75.2	3.69%	0	-1.5	41	0
15	Jan_30_2015	32.64	31.26	31.2	30.71			28.7(-6.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-13	-10000	-13	-12	0.68	45%	-0.31	-64.6	3.73%	0	-1.8	33	0

16	Jan_29_2015	32.74	31.51	31.31	31.47			30.58(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-8	-10000	-8	-7	1.03	48%	-0.15	-59.2	3.66%	0	-0.7	38	0
17	Jan_28_2015	32.79	31.69	31.26	31.91			30.49(-1.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-4	-10000	-6	4	0.88	48%	-0.18	-50.8	3.7%	0	-0.9	52	0
18	Jan_27_2015	32.85	31.91	31.27	32.25			30.95(-5.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	4	-10000	-1	20	1.03	48%	-0.15	-38.5	3.74%	0	-0.6	57	0
19	Jan_26_2015	32.9	32.11	31.32	32.29			32.84(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-10000	9	24	0.44	52%	0	-31.3	3.67%	0	0.4	54	0
20	Jan_23_2015	32.9	32.21	31.33	31.76			32.5(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	-10000	11	7	0.64	52%	-0.06	-29.9	3.72%	0	0.2	46	0

21	Jan_22_2015	32.92	32.32	31.37	31.11			32.78(1.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	4	-10000	10	-14	0.82	52%	0	-28.1	3.77%	0	0.2	47	0
22	Jan_21_2015	32.92	32.42	31.14	30.54			32.18(3.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-8	-10000	6	-48	0.64	52%	-0.06	-24.5	3.81%	0	-0.1	43	0
23	Jan_20_2015	32.94	32.5	30.89	30.19			31.16(3.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-22	-10000	-1	-83	0.63	52%	-0.18	-23.9	3.83%	0	-0.6	38	0
24	Jan_16_2015	33	32.64	30.94	30.23			30.2(3.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-34	-10000	-11	-102	0.57	52%	-0.24	-22	3.84%	0	-1.2	33	0
25	Jan_15_2015	33.08	32.76	31.27	30.86			29.21(-2.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-33	-10000	-13	-94	0.45	52%		-15.9	3.85%	0	-1.7	30	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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