Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ SMH: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jan. 2, 2018

Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 10, 2014 - Wed. Jun. 26, 2024)

(Semiconductor sector etf)
SMH latest price $98.4789 (2.62%) ($96.4283 - $98.4986) on Tue. Jan. 2, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.09% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $98.4789(2.62%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SMH advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SMH advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SMH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(75%)    IVW(73%)    IWF(73%)    XLK(71%)    SPY(70%)
Factors Impacting SMH price   SMH will decline at least -0.545% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-15%)    VIXM(-13%)    TLT(-9%)    IGOV(-4%)    SHY(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.545% (StdDev 1.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $96.8(1.73%)
10 Day Moving Average   $97.2(1.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $96.05(2.53%)
To recent high   -3.8%
To recent low   8.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SMH price fluctuates within 1.46% (three month std-dev: 1.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180202

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_2_2018	93.01	96.05	97.2	96.8			98.48(2.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	16	-10000	5	49	4.45	52%	0.27	-18.5	1.09%	0	1.7	64	0
2	Dec_29_2017	92.76	95.91	96.95	96.56			95.97(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	8	-10000	-5	47	1.69	48%	0.16	-46	1.05%	0	0	58	0
3	Dec_28_2017	92.61	95.96	96.84	96.82			96.86(0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	9	-10000	-6	53	2.71	48%	0.14	-55.4	1.04%	0	0.7	60	0
4	Dec_27_2017	92.48	95.93	96.63	97.11			96.51(0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	13	-10000	-5	66	2.75	52%	0.14	-69.6	1.04%	0	0.4	63	0
5	Dec_26_2017	92.35	96.1	96.44	97.34			96.19(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	14	-10000	-6	74	2.21	52%	0.23	-53.1	1.08%	0	0.1	63	0

6	Dec_22_2017	92.14	96.31	96.37	97.64			97.29(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	28	-10000	5	96	2.45	50%	0.16	-33.9	1.09%	0	0.4	70	0
7	Dec_21_2017	91.99	96.52	96.13	97.38			97.25(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	30	-10000	11	85	3.01	50%	0.16	-35	1.09%	0	0.3	54	0
8	Dec_20_2017	91.84	96.7	95.92	96.82			98.29(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	-10000	14	61	5.55	48%	0.16	-34.1	1.08%	0	0.6	53	0
9	Dec_19_2017	91.69	96.86	95.51	96.07			97.65(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-10000	12	25	3.03	48%	0.15	-35.4	1.1%	0	0.3	54	0
10	Dec_18_2017	91.55	97	95.14	95.42			97.7(1.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-1	-10000	9	-30	5.38	50%	0.16	-38.5	1.1%	0	0.2	36	0

11	Dec_15_2017	91.4	97.09	94.75	94.96			96.01(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-17	-10000	5	-82	21.54	50%	0.13	-41.6	1.09%	0	-0.4	29	0
12	Dec_14_2017	91.28	97.35	94.74	94.72			94.46(-0.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-34	-10000	-3	-127	4.14	47%	0.1	-39.1	1.08%	0	-0.9	18	0
13	Dec_13_2017	91.19	97.59	94.97	94.87			94.5(0.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-36	-10000	1	-145	3.96	47%	0.12	-41.7	1.08%	0	-1	24	0
14	Dec_12_2017	91.08	97.87	95.15	94.83			94.44(-0.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-44	-10000	1	-178	5.21	47%	0.11	-44.6	1.08%	0	-1.1	22	0
15	Dec_11_2017	90.98	98.15	95.73	94.76			95.38(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-43	-10000	5	-185	3.31	50%	0.12	-48.6	1.07%	0	-1	30	0

16	Dec_8_2017	90.87	98.37	96.22	94.51			94.8(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-52	-10000	-5	-192	4.86	50%	0.11	-52.6	1.09%	0	-1.3	34	0
17	Dec_7_2017	90.77	98.59	96.93	94.77			95.24(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-51	-10000	-7	-182	5.42	50%	0.11	-52.4	1.1%	0	-1.2	31	0
18	Dec_6_2017	90.67	98.88	97.53	95.12			94.31(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-47	-10000	-8	-164	5.24	50%	0.12	-46.2	1.1%	0	-1.7	39	0
19	Dec_5_2017	90.56	99.22	98.31	95.54			94.1(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-56	-10000	-25	-150	6.5	48%	0.11	-41.8	1.1%	0	-2.1	36	0
20	Dec_4_2017	90.46	99.58	99.04	96.85			94.1(-2.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-45	-10000	-24	-106	10.08	48%	0.11	-23.9	1.11%	0	-2.6	36	0

21	Dec_1_2017	90.36	99.89	99.67	98.17			96.14(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-34	-10000	-23	-67	9.94	51%	0.16	-2.4	1.08%	0	-2.2	42	0
22	Nov_30_2017	90.22	100.03	100.23	99.41			96.98(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-17	-10000	-17	-15	6.69	53%	0.14	29.1	1.07%	0	-2	47	0
23	Nov_29_2017	90.09	100.12	100.48	100.31			96.38(-4.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.8	-15	-10000	-21	2	17.24	53%	0.17	59.6	1.08%	0	-2.7	39	0
24	Nov_28_2017	89.94	100.24	100.89	101.45			100.64(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	11	-10000	-2	49	3.99	61%	0.22	105.8	0.92%	0	0.3	50	0
25	Nov_27_2017	89.74	100.09	100.83	101.54			100.73(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	16	-10000	4	50	2.98	61%		104.4	0.92%	0	0.5	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.