Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 13, 2017

Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 10, 2014 - Tue. Jun. 25, 2024)

(Semiconductor sector etf)
SMH latest price $99.9185 (0.42%) ($98.9705 - $99.9814) on Mon. Nov. 13, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.88% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $99.9185(0.42%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SMH declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SMH advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SMH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(75%)    IWF(73%)    IVW(72%)    XLK(71%)    SPY(70%)
Factors Impacting SMH price   SMH will decline at least -0.44% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-15%)    VIXM(-13%)    TLT(-9%)    IGOV(-4%)    SHY(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.44% (StdDev 0.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $99.98(-0.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $99.55(0.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $97.68(2.29%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   21.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SMH price fluctuates within 2.3% (three month std-dev: 0.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171213

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_13_2017	87.85	97.68	99.55	99.98			99.92(0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	28	-10000	-4	125	1.72	62%	0.19	71.3	0.88%	0	1	68	0
2	Nov_10_2017	87.68	97.41	99.31	100.17			99.5(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	37	-10000	-0	149	2.81	57%	0.19	77.4	0.88%	0	0.9	69	0
3	Nov_9_2017	87.51	97.14	99.11	100.19			98.93(-1.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	40	-10000	2	155	7.75	57%	0.18	81	0.96%	0	0.8	69	0
4	Nov_8_2017	87.35	96.87	98.79	100.1			100.9(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	52	-10000	12	170	2.04	61%	0.23	82.7	0.92%	0	1.7	82	0
5	Nov_7_2017	87.15	96.5	98.2	99.53			100.66(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	46	-10000	10	152	2.73	63%	0.21	84.2	0.92%	0	1.8	80	0

6	Nov_6_2017	86.97	96.1	97.74	99.05			100.87(1.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	48	-10000	15	147	3.62	63%	0.22	86.1	0.94%	0	2.1	82	0
7	Nov_3_2017	86.78	95.67	97.18	98.35			99.58(1.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	40	-10000	10	129	5.12	61%	0.22	87.1	0.93%	0	1.9	79	0
8	Nov_2_2017	86.59	95.28	96.73	97.9			98.5(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	42	-10000	14	124	3.93	60%	0.19	87.3	0.93%	0	1.6	79	0
9	Nov_1_2017	86.43	94.92	96.35	97.28			98.03(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	38	-10000	14	111	4.92	60%	0.17	84.8	0.93%	0	1.6	80	0
10	Oct_31_2017	86.28	94.59	96.02	96.65			98.29(0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	32	-10000	10	96	2.86	60%	0.19	83.3	0.93%	0	1.9	79	0

11	Oct_30_2017	86.12	94.23	95.63	96.21			97.36(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	29	-10000	8	90	2.45	58%	0.17	91.1	0.93%	0	1.6	79	0
12	Oct_27_2017	85.97	93.9	95.33	95.85			97.32(2.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	31	-10000	10	92	3.23	55%	0.13	97.5	0.93%	0	1.8	81	0
13	Oct_26_2017	85.86	93.55	94.99	95.42			95.4(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	24	-10000	3	88	3.45	52%	0.13	95.6	0.93%	0	1	79	0
14	Oct_25_2017	85.75	93.26	94.8	95.27			94.89(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	24	-10000	0	96	4.31	52%	0.12	90	0.93%	0	0.8	79	0
15	Oct_24_2017	85.65	92.97	94.68	95.26			96.11(0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	35	-10000	7	118	3.15	55%	0.14	79.6	0.91%	0	1.3	93	0

16	Oct_23_2017	85.53	92.52	94.36	94.94			95.53(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	33	-10000	5	117	2.63	55%	0.14	67	0.92%	0	1.2	93	0
17	Oct_20_2017	85.41	92.1	94.05	94.74			95.17(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	34	-10000	5	122	5.07	55%	0.14	60.9	0.92%	0	1.2	93	0
18	Oct_19_2017	85.29	91.77	93.72	94.51			94.66(-0.2%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.1	36	-10000	6	126	2.43	55%	0.14	60.2	0.92%	0	1.2	93	0
19	Oct_18_2017	85.17	91.44	93.41	94.25			94.85(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	38	-10000	6	132	3.05	55%	0.13	60.9	0.92%	0	1.4	97	0
20	Oct_17_2017	85.06	91.12	93.06	94			94.5(-0.02%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.2	41	-10000	7	141	2.92	55%	0.12	65.3	0.92%	0	1.4	97	0

21	Oct_16_2017	84.96	90.86	92.72	93.68			94.52(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	48	-10000	10	161	1.64	55%	0.14	71.3	0.92%	0	1.6	98	0
22	Oct_13_2017	84.84	90.58	92.35	93.27			94.02(0.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	51	-10000	10	174	1.69	57%	0.14	77.8	0.93%	0	1.6	98	0
23	Oct_12_2017	84.72	90.28	91.98	92.82			93.38(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	50	-10000	9	171	2.9	59%	0.13	81.7	0.93%	0	1.5	75	0
24	Oct_11_2017	84.61	89.96	91.59	92.42			93.57(0.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	49	-10000	10	165	1.63	59%	0.14	80.7	0.94%	0	1.8	78	0
25	Oct_10_2017	84.49	89.6	91.12	91.97			92.91(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	45	-10000	8	154	2.66	59%		81.7	0.94%	0	1.7	75	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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