Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 14, 2017

Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 10, 2014 - Wed. Jul. 3, 2024)

(Semiconductor sector etf)
SMH latest price $86.9656 (0.44%) ($86.2787 - $87.3912) on Thu. Sep. 14, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.07% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $86.9656(0.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SMH advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SMH advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SMH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(75%)    IWF(73%)    IVW(72%)    XLK(71%)    SPY(70%)
Factors Impacting SMH price   SMH will decline at least -0.535% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-15%)    VIXM(-13%)    TLT(-10%)    IGOV(-4%)    SHY(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.535% (StdDev 1.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $86.21(0.88%)
10 Day Moving Average   $85.91(1.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $84.73(2.64%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   11.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SMH price fluctuates within 1.68% (three month std-dev: 1.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171014

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_14_2017	82.54	84.73	85.91	86.21			86.97(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	-10000	6	78	4.3	57%	0.11	52.4	1.07%	0	1.6	71	0
2	Sep_13_2017	82.45	84.6	85.71	85.95			86.59(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	-10000	6	77	2.94	57%	0.11	53.2	1.08%	0	1.5	70	0
3	Sep_12_2017	82.36	84.47	85.44	85.69			86.57(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	23	-10000	7	72	2.44	57%	0.12	52.1	1.08%	0	1.7	71	0
4	Sep_11_2017	82.26	84.33	85.15	85.38			86.24(1.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	18	-10000	1	67	2.72	57%	0.12	48.5	1.08%	0	1.7	75	0
5	Sep_8_2017	82.16	84.14	84.87	85.35			84.7(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	13	-10000	-4	65	2.47	50%	0.11	47	1.16%	0	0.5	66	0

6	Sep_7_2017	82.07	84	84.77	85.54			85.63(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	-10000	2	83	1.32	50%	0.12	44.1	1.16%	0	1.3	75	0
7	Sep_6_2017	81.97	83.9	84.57	85.42			85.3(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	24	-10000	6	76	1.61	50%	0.13	47.8	1.17%	0	1.2	53	0
8	Sep_5_2017	81.86	83.83	84.39	85.13			85(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	-10000	6	63	4.42	50%	0.13	46.2	1.17%	0	1.1	53	0
9	Sep_1_2017	81.75	83.79	84.14	84.85			86.1(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	20	-10000	11	48	1.5	52%	0.15	45.7	1.15%	0	2.1	62	0
10	Aug_31_2017	81.63	83.62	83.79	84.31			85.69(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	15	-10000	9	31	2.4	52%	0.15	33	1.15%	0	2.2	69	0

11	Aug_30_2017	81.51	83.46	83.46	83.9			85.02(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	10	-10000	6	21	2.33	52%	0.12	17.8	1.14%	0	1.9	70	0
12	Aug_29_2017	81.41	83.35	83.38	83.63			83.85(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	5	-10000	2	13	2.51	50%	0.1	-2.2	1.13%	0	0.7	49	0
13	Aug_28_2017	81.33	83.33	83.41	83.55			83.62(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	-10000	5	13	2.1	50%	0.09	-8.9	1.14%	0	0.4	47	0
14	Aug_25_2017	81.26	83.33	83.44	83.3			83.38(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	3	-10000	3	2	2.01	50%	0.09	-26.7	1.14%	0	0.1	45	0
15	Aug_24_2017	81.19	83.3	83.35	83.16			83.64(-0.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	3	-10000	5	-5	1.13	50%	0.1	-38.5	1.14%	0	0.4	54	0

16	Aug_23_2017	81.11	83.31	83.16	82.93			83.65(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-8	-10000	-3	-22	2.12	50%	0.09	-48.5	1.15%	0	0.4	55	0
17	Aug_22_2017	81.04	83.37	83.18	83.1			83.47(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-5	-10000	-3	-11	2.64	52%	0.09	-42.2	1.15%	0	0.1	53	0
18	Aug_21_2017	80.97	83.4	83.23	83.27			82.37(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-6	-10000	-7	-3	3.42	50%	0.06	-36.5	1.14%	0	-1.2	46	0
19	Aug_18_2017	80.92	83.5	83.43	83.6			82.68(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-1.1	6	-10000	1	19	8.73	53%	0.07	-23.1	1.15%	0	-0.9	49	0
20	Aug_17_2017	80.86	83.59	83.46	83.55			82.5(-2.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.2	7	-10000	4	15	6	48%	0.07	-21.3	1.16%	0	-1.2	46	0

21	Aug_16_2017	80.8	83.72	83.5	83.37			84.5(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	2	-10000	2	1	3.14	53%	0.09	-16.7	1.22%	0	0.9	52	0
22	Aug_15_2017	80.73	83.73	83.34	83.26			84.32(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-3	-10000	1	-13	4.03	54%	0.1	-11.3	1.23%	0	0.7	45	0
23	Aug_14_2017	80.65	83.71	83.23	83.22			84.02(1.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-6	-10000	-1	-20	3.32	54%	0.1	-2.9	1.23%	0	0.4	49	0
24	Aug_11_2017	80.57	83.7	83.13	83.28			82.39(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-8	-10000	-2	-26	3.32	52%	0.07	12.4	1.21%	0	-1.5	40	0
25	Aug_10_2017	80.51	83.78	83.25	83.38			81.64(-2.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-11	-10000	-4	-30	5.56	53%		34.7	1.2%	0	-2.5	34	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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