Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 24, 2017

Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 10, 2014 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(Semiconductor sector etf)
SMH latest price $83.6379 (-0.01%) ($83.1735 - $84.0732) on Thu. Aug. 24, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.14% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $83.6379(-0.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SMH advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SMH declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SMH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(75%)    IWF(73%)    IVW(72%)    XLK(71%)    SPY(70%)
Factors Impacting SMH price   SMH will decline at least -0.57% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-15%)    VIXM(-13%)    TLT(-10%)    IGOV(-4%)    SHY(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.57% (StdDev 1.14%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $83.16(0.57%)
10 Day Moving Average   $83.35(0.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $83.3(0.41%)
To recent high   -2.9%
To recent low   6.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SMH price fluctuates within 0.91% (three month std-dev: 1.14%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170924

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_24_2017	81.19	83.3	83.35	83.16			83.64(-0.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	3	-10000	5	-5	1.13	50%	0.1	-38.5	1.14%	0	0.4	54	0
2	Aug_23_2017	81.11	83.31	83.16	82.93			83.65(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-8	-10000	-3	-22	2.12	50%	0.09	-48.5	1.15%	0	0.4	55	0
3	Aug_22_2017	81.04	83.37	83.18	83.1			83.47(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-5	-10000	-3	-11	2.64	52%	0.09	-42.2	1.15%	0	0.1	53	0
4	Aug_21_2017	80.97	83.4	83.23	83.27			82.37(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-6	-10000	-7	-3	3.42	50%	0.06	-36.5	1.14%	0	-1.2	46	0
5	Aug_18_2017	80.92	83.5	83.43	83.6			82.68(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-1.1	6	-10000	1	19	8.73	53%	0.07	-23.1	1.15%	0	-0.9	49	0

6	Aug_17_2017	80.86	83.59	83.46	83.55			82.5(-2.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.2	7	-10000	4	15	6	48%	0.07	-21.3	1.16%	0	-1.2	46	0
7	Aug_16_2017	80.8	83.72	83.5	83.37			84.5(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	2	-10000	2	1	3.14	53%	0.09	-16.7	1.22%	0	0.9	52	0
8	Aug_15_2017	80.73	83.73	83.34	83.26			84.32(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-3	-10000	1	-13	4.03	54%	0.1	-11.3	1.23%	0	0.7	45	0
9	Aug_14_2017	80.65	83.71	83.23	83.22			84.02(1.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-6	-10000	-1	-20	3.32	54%	0.1	-2.9	1.23%	0	0.4	49	0
10	Aug_11_2017	80.57	83.7	83.13	83.28			82.39(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-8	-10000	-2	-26	3.32	52%	0.07	12.4	1.21%	0	-1.5	40	0

11	Aug_10_2017	80.51	83.78	83.25	83.38			81.64(-2.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-11	-10000	-4	-30	5.56	53%	0.07	34.7	1.2%	0	-2.5	34	0
12	Aug_9_2017	80.45	83.87	83.49	83.59			83.94(-0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-4	-10000	4	-27	3.53	59%	0.1	71.8	1.16%	0	0.1	40	0
13	Aug_8_2017	80.37	83.83	83.57	83.39			84.1(-0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-7	-10000	3	-35	5.09	59%	0.1	75.5	1.17%	0	0.3	43	0
14	Aug_7_2017	80.29	83.73	83.56	83.25			84.35(1.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-5	-10000	6	-39	3.02	59%	0.1	78.3	1.17%	0	0.6	51	0
15	Aug_4_2017	80.21	83.59	83.54	82.98			82.89(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	-10000	-3	-50	3.4	57%	0.09	68.1	1.15%	0	-0.6	45	0

16	Aug_3_2017	80.14	83.49	83.71	83.11			82.65(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-10000	-5	-44	2.97	57%	0.07	61.4	1.15%	0	-0.6	42	0
17	Aug_2_2017	80.08	83.36	83.96	83.37			82.94(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-13	-10000	-9	-26	3.98	57%	0.1	54.4	1.15%	0	-0.3	53	0
18	Aug_1_2017	80	83.22	84.16	83.78			83.4(0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-10000	-3	1	2.19	58%	0.1	59.6	1.15%	0	0.1	54	0
19	Jul_31_2017	79.92	82.99	84.24	83.92			83.04(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-10000	-5	17	3.53	58%	0.09	42.8	1.16%	0	0	60	0
20	Jul_28_2017	79.85	82.81	84.33	84.18			83.53(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	7	-10000	-4	40	3.63	55%	0.13	35.5	1.16%	0	0.3	67	0

21	Jul_27_2017	79.75	82.62	84.39	84.4			83.93(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	-10000	-5	67	6.37	57%	0.11	30.9	1.18%	0	0.6	74	0
22	Jul_26_2017	79.66	82.49	84.31	84.63			85(1.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	25	-10000	0	99	2.02	58%	0.14	31.3	1.17%	0	1.1	85	0
23	Jul_25_2017	79.55	82.25	84.13	84.63			84.11(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	30	-10000	0	121	3.21	59%	0.13	28.8	1.17%	0	0.9	79	0
24	Jul_24_2017	79.45	82.16	83.94	84.61			84.34(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	38	-10000	2	145	2.67	60%	0.13	29.1	1.18%	0	1	85	0
25	Jul_21_2017	79.35	82.07	83.65	84.49			84.61(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	-10000	3	155	3.14	60%		31.7	1.19%	0	1.2	78	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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