Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 11, 2017

Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 10, 2014 - Thu. Jun. 27, 2024)

(Semiconductor sector etf)
SMH latest price $82.3900 (0.92%) ($81.3355 - $82.4770) on Fri. Aug. 11, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.21% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $82.3900(0.92%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SMH declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SMH declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Rotation from value to growth for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SMH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(75%)    IVW(73%)    IWF(73%)    XLK(71%)    SPY(70%)
Factors Impacting SMH price   SMH will decline at least -0.605% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-15%)    VIXM(-13%)    TLT(-10%)    IGOV(-4%)    IPO(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.605% (StdDev 1.21%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

Resistance Level   $83.7
5 Day Moving Average   $83.28(-1.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $83.13(-0.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $83.7(-1.57%)
To recent high   -4.4%
To recent low   5.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SMH price fluctuates within 1.05% (three month std-dev: 1.21%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170911

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_11_2017	80.57	83.7	83.13	83.28			82.39(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-8	-10000	-2	-26	3.32	52%	0.07	12.4	1.21%	0	-1.5	40	0
2	Aug_10_2017	80.51	83.78	83.25	83.38			81.64(-2.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-11	-10000	-4	-30	5.56	53%	0.07	34.7	1.2%	0	-2.5	34	0
3	Aug_9_2017	80.45	83.87	83.49	83.59			83.94(-0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-4	-10000	4	-27	3.53	59%	0.1	71.8	1.16%	0	0.1	40	0
4	Aug_8_2017	80.37	83.83	83.57	83.39			84.1(-0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-7	-10000	3	-35	5.09	59%	0.1	75.5	1.17%	0	0.3	43	0
5	Aug_7_2017	80.29	83.73	83.56	83.25			84.35(1.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-5	-10000	6	-39	3.02	59%	0.1	78.3	1.17%	0	0.6	51	0

6	Aug_4_2017	80.21	83.59	83.54	82.98			82.89(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	-10000	-3	-50	3.4	57%	0.09	68.1	1.15%	0	-0.6	45	0
7	Aug_3_2017	80.14	83.49	83.71	83.11			82.65(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-10000	-5	-44	2.97	57%	0.07	61.4	1.15%	0	-0.6	42	0
8	Aug_2_2017	80.08	83.36	83.96	83.37			82.94(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-13	-10000	-9	-26	3.98	57%	0.1	54.4	1.15%	0	-0.3	53	0
9	Aug_1_2017	80	83.22	84.16	83.78			83.4(0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-10000	-3	1	2.19	58%	0.1	59.6	1.15%	0	0.1	54	0
10	Jul_31_2017	79.92	82.99	84.24	83.92			83.04(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-10000	-5	17	3.53	58%	0.09	42.8	1.16%	0	0	60	0

11	Jul_28_2017	79.85	82.81	84.33	84.18			83.53(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	7	-10000	-4	40	3.63	55%	0.13	35.5	1.16%	0	0.3	67	0
12	Jul_27_2017	79.75	82.62	84.39	84.4			83.93(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	-10000	-5	67	6.37	57%	0.11	30.9	1.18%	0	0.6	74	0
13	Jul_26_2017	79.66	82.49	84.31	84.63			85(1.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	25	-10000	0	99	2.02	58%	0.14	31.3	1.17%	0	1.1	85	0
14	Jul_25_2017	79.55	82.25	84.13	84.63			84.11(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	30	-10000	0	121	3.21	59%	0.13	28.8	1.17%	0	0.9	79	0
15	Jul_24_2017	79.45	82.16	83.94	84.61			84.34(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	38	-10000	2	145	2.67	60%	0.13	29.1	1.18%	0	1	85	0

16	Jul_21_2017	79.35	82.07	83.65	84.49			84.61(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	-10000	3	155	3.14	60%	0.13	31.7	1.19%	0	1.2	78	0
17	Jul_20_2017	79.25	81.94	83.26	84.36			85.09(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	47	-10000	8	163	2.73	62%	0.14	33.9	1.19%	0	1.6	77	0
18	Jul_19_2017	79.14	81.8	82.71	83.94			84.91(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	40	-10000	7	140	3.01	62%	0.14	31.4	1.2%	0	1.7	63	0
19	Jul_18_2017	79.03	81.63	82.19	83.59			84.07(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	-10000	8	130	3.91	62%	0.13	25.8	1.19%	0	1.4	65	0
20	Jul_17_2017	78.93	81.55	81.63	83.17			83.75(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	-10000	10	94	1.72	63%	0.13	20.9	1.19%	0	1.3	52	0

21	Jul_14_2017	78.83	81.42	81.17	82.68			83.99(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	-10000	14	59	2.34	63%	0.13	9.5	1.2%	0	1.7	51	0
22	Jul_13_2017	78.73	81.28	80.7	81.98			82.96(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	-10000	14	19	3	61%	0.1	-18.1	1.2%	0	1.2	50	0
23	Jul_12_2017	78.65	81.22	80.5	81.28			83.15(1.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	7	-10000	14	-13	3.15	60%	0.1	-41.9	1.2%	0	1.4	49	0
24	Jul_11_2017	78.57	81.19	80.18	80.6			81.97(0.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	-0	-10000	15	-46	2.92	58%	0.04	-60.2	1.21%	0	0.6	50	0
25	Jul_10_2017	78.54	81.2	80.19	79.86			81.33(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-12	-10000	9	-76	3.39	57%		-80.8	1.21%	0	0.1	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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