Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 25, 2017

Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 10, 2014 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(Semiconductor sector etf)
SMH latest price $84.1119 (-0.28%) ($83.4392 - $84.3150) on Tue. Jul. 25, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.17% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $84.1119(-0.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   SMH advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SMH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(75%)    IVW(73%)    IWF(73%)    XLK(71%)    SPY(70%)
Factors Impacting SMH price   SMH will decline at least -0.585% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-15%)    VIXM(-13%)    TLT(-10%)    IGOV(-4%)    IPO(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.585% (StdDev 1.17%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $84.61(-0.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $84.13(-0.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $82.25(2.26%)
To recent high   -2.4%
To recent low   9.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SMH price fluctuates within 2.64% (three month std-dev: 1.17%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170825

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_25_2017	79.55	82.25	84.13				84.11(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	30	-10000	0	121	3.21	59%	0.13	28.8	1.17%	0	0.9	79	0
2	Jul_24_2017	79.45	82.16	83.94	84.61			84.34(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	38	-10000	2	145	2.67	60%	0.13	29.1	1.18%	0	1	85	0
3	Jul_21_2017	79.35	82.07	83.65	84.49			84.61(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	-10000	3	155	3.14	60%	0.13	31.7	1.19%	0	1.2	78	0
4	Jul_20_2017	79.25	81.94	83.26	84.36			85.09(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	47	-10000	8	163	2.73	62%	0.14	33.9	1.19%	0	1.6	77	0
5	Jul_19_2017	79.14	81.8	82.71	83.94			84.91(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	40	-10000	7	140	3.01	62%	0.14	31.4	1.2%	0	1.7	63	0

6	Jul_18_2017	79.03	81.63	82.19	83.59			84.07(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	-10000	8	130	3.91	62%	0.13	25.8	1.19%	0	1.4	65	0
7	Jul_17_2017	78.93	81.55	81.63	83.17			83.75(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	-10000	10	94	1.72	63%	0.13	20.9	1.19%	0	1.3	52	0
8	Jul_14_2017	78.83	81.42	81.17	82.68			83.99(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	-10000	14	59	2.34	63%	0.13	9.5	1.2%	0	1.7	51	0
9	Jul_13_2017	78.73	81.28	80.7	81.98			82.96(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	-10000	14	19	3	61%	0.1	-18.1	1.2%	0	1.2	50	0
10	Jul_12_2017	78.65	81.22	80.5	81.28			83.15(1.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	7	-10000	14	-13	3.15	60%	0.1	-41.9	1.2%	0	1.4	49	0

11	Jul_11_2017	78.57	81.19	80.18	80.6			81.97(0.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	-0	-10000	15	-46	2.92	58%	0.04	-60.2	1.21%	0	0.6	50	0
12	Jul_10_2017	78.54	81.2	80.19	79.86			81.33(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-12	-10000	9	-76	3.39	57%	0.09	-80.8	1.21%	0	0.1	43	0
13	Jul_7_2017	78.47	81.27	80.31	79.43			80.49(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-19	-10000	4	-86	3.42	57%	0.09	-90.4	1.21%	0	-0.5	47	0
14	Jul_6_2017	78.4	81.54	80.49	79.24			79.43(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-30	-10000	-8	-94	2.72	56%	0.06	-70.5	1.2%	0	-1.2	43	0
15	Jul_5_2017	78.35	81.81	80.81	79.62			79.77(1.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-21	-10000	-2	-77	6.45	56%	0.15	-58.7	1.2%	0	-1.1	41	0

16	Jul_3_2017	78.23	82.04	81.02	79.71			78.28(-1.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-36	-10000	-18	-90	3.25	53%	0.06	-54.6	1.17%	0	-2	32	0
17	Jun_30_2017	78.18	82.35	81.49	80.56			79.19(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-27	-10000	-16	-59	5.23	53%	0.09	-43.3	1.15%	0	-1.9	38	0
18	Jun_29_2017	78.11	82.6	81.75	81.3			79.53(-2.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-20	-10000	-13	-41	7.7	53%	0.08	-31.3	1.15%	0	-2	37	0
19	Jun_28_2017	78.05	82.81	81.97	81.9			81.35(1.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-16	-10000	-6	-46	3.94	57%	0.1	-18.9	1.12%	0	-1.1	32	0
20	Jun_27_2017	77.97	82.9	82.06	82.18			80.19(-2.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-19	-10000	-7	-54	7.6	55%	0.09	-7.8	1.1%	0	-2.1	33	0

21	Jun_26_2017	77.9	83.07	82.35	82.5			82.55(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-14	-10000	-1	-53	5.38	60%	0.13	4.3	1.04%	0	-0.5	42	0
22	Jun_23_2017	77.8	83.08	82.33	82.56			82.87(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-10	-10000	7	-60	2.07	60%	0.13	13.1	1.04%	0	-0.2	44	0
23	Jun_22_2017	77.7	83.07	82.32	82.27			82.54(-0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-16	-10000	5	-80	2.25	61%	0.13	15.2	1.04%	0	-0.5	44	0
24	Jun_21_2017	77.6	83.05	82.64	82.05			82.75(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-17	-10000	2	-73	3.21	58%	0.14	22	1.05%	0	-0.3	48	0
25	Jun_20_2017	77.49	83.01	82.84	81.94			81.81(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	-10000	-5	-69	2.64	56%		17.1	1.07%	0	-1	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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