Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 13, 2017

Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 10, 2014 - Tue. Jun. 25, 2024)

(Semiconductor sector etf)
SMH latest price $82.9220 (0.65%) ($82.0417 - $83.5798) on Tue. Jun. 13, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.03% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $82.9220(0.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SMH declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SMH advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SMH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(75%)    IVW(73%)    IWF(73%)    XLK(71%)    SPY(70%)
Factors Impacting SMH price   SMH will decline at least -0.515% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-14%)    TLT(-9%)    IGOV(-4%)    IPO(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.515% (StdDev 1.03%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $83.88(-1.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $83.84(-1.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $82.8(0.15%)
To recent high   -3.8%
To recent low   12.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SMH price fluctuates within 1.96% (three month std-dev: 1.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170713

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_13_2017	77.02	82.8	83.84	83.88			82.92(0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	6	-10000	-7	44	3.48	57%	0.16	60.2	1.03%	0	0.1	61	0
2	Jun_12_2017	76.9	82.71	83.89	84.17			82.39(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	10	-10000	-9	65	8.34	57%	0.14	73.1	1.03%	0	-0.2	57	0
3	Jun_9_2017	76.79	82.61	83.95	84.54			82.89(-3.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	20	-10000	-5	94	8.93	58%	0.17	81.5	1.03%	0	0.2	65	0
4	Jun_8_2017	76.66	82.47	83.94	84.76			86.15(1.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	48	-10000	15	147	3.29	66%	0.2	87.4	0.9%	0	2	96	0
5	Jun_7_2017	76.51	82.15	83.52	84.19			85.03(0.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	44	-10000	10	147	2.65	64%	0.2	90.8	0.89%	0	1.7	96	0

6	Jun_6_2017	76.36	81.83	83.18	83.82			84.4(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	37	-10000	6	130	1.75	64%	0.12	88.9	0.88%	0	1.5	61	0
7	Jun_5_2017	76.27	81.51	82.91	83.6			84.21(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	38	-10000	8	129	2.19	64%	0.18	82.5	0.88%	0	1.5	64	0
8	Jun_2_2017	76.13	81.21	82.6	83.3			83.99(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	37	-10000	8	123	1.3	64%	0.18	80.8	0.89%	0	1.6	67	0
9	Jun_1_2017	75.99	80.91	82.21	83.01			83.34(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	-10000	8	114	2.63	66%	0.17	75.9	0.89%	0	1.4	66	0
10	May_31_2017	75.86	80.64	81.79	82.73			83.18(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	-10000	8	97	1.73	64%	0.17	73.4	0.9%	0	1.4	67	0

11	May_30_2017	75.73	80.35	81.65	82.42			83.28(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	33	-10000	8	109	1.75	64%	0.25	67.4	0.9%	0	1.6	71	0
12	May_26_2017	75.54	80.08	81.41	82.12			82.69(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	37	-10000	9	120	0.79	66%	0.19	65.6	0.91%	0	1.5	72	0
13	May_25_2017	75.4	79.8	81.15	81.79			82.54(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	40	-10000	13	122	3.47	66%	0.17	67.6	0.92%	0	1.6	70	0
14	May_24_2017	75.27	79.58	80.88	81.3			81.97(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	43	-10000	17	120	1	66%	0.17	67.8	0.92%	0	1.5	70	0
15	May_23_2017	75.14	79.34	80.66	80.69			81.62(-0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	24	-10000	-2	100	2.52	66%	0.09	67.2	0.92%	0	1.5	68	0

16	May_22_2017	75.07	79.15	80.38	80.76			81.79(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	-10000	4	116	2.15	66%	0.17	80.6	0.93%	0	1.7	71	0
17	May_19_2017	74.94	78.92	80	80.61			81.02(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	-10000	5	114	3.09	65%	0.15	87.4	0.93%	0	1.4	66	0
18	May_18_2017	74.83	78.67	79.72	80.44			80.09(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	30	-10000	1	115	3.3	63%	0.13	92.6	0.93%	0	1	66	0
19	May_17_2017	74.73	78.49	79.51	80.4			78.92(-3.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	24	-10000	-5	111	6.32	61%	0.11	92.6	0.92%	0	0.3	54	0
20	May_16_2017	74.65	78.32	79.44	80.57			82(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	56	-10000	21	162	1.82	71%	0.09	88.7	0.77%	0	2.1	75	0

21	May_15_2017	74.58	77.96	78.97	79.92			81.04(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	47	-10000	20	126	1.77	70%	0.15	80.2	0.76%	0	1.9	67	0
22	May_12_2017	74.47	77.63	78.64	79.31			80.15(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	-10000	13	96	0.97	70%	0.13	70.8	0.77%	0	1.7	67	0
23	May_11_2017	74.37	77.32	78.33	78.91			79.92(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	-10000	13	84	1.69	70%	0.13	53.6	0.78%	0	1.6	71	0
24	May_10_2017	74.27	77.03	78.16	78.5			79.75(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	29	-10000	12	81	1.67	70%	0.13	41.3	0.78%	0	1.7	68	0
25	May_9_2017	74.17	76.8	77.9	78.13			78.75(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	-10000	8	81	1.63	68%		33.8	0.77%	0	1.3	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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