Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 22, 2017

Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 10, 2014 - Wed. Jun. 26, 2024)

(Semiconductor sector etf)
SMH latest price $74.9510 (-0.44%) ($74.7382 - $75.2025) on Wed. Feb. 22, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.13% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $74.9510(-0.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SMH advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SMH advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SMH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(75%)    IVW(73%)    IWF(73%)    XLK(71%)    SPY(70%)
Factors Impacting SMH price   SMH will decline at least -0.565% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-14%)    TLT(-10%)    IGOV(-4%)    SHY(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.565% (StdDev 1.13%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $74.63(0.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $73.98(1.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $73.46(2.03%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   15.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SMH price fluctuates within 1.12% (three month std-dev: 1.13%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170322

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_22_2017	68.93	73.46	73.98	74.63			74.95(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	-10000	8	64	1.31	59%	0.15	104.5	1.13%	0	1.8	70	0
2	Feb_21_2017	68.83	73.32	73.82	74.29			75.28(0.95%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	20	-10000	7	60	1.12	59%	0.17	109.3	1.13%	0	2.5	78	0
3	Feb_17_2017	68.71	73.09	73.58	74			74.57(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	-10000	8	50	1.69	59%	0.13	88.5	1.12%	0	1.7	61	0
4	Feb_16_2017	68.62	72.93	73.43	73.66			74.3(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	14	-10000	7	35	1.93	59%	0.15	82.2	1.12%	0	1.5	56	0
5	Feb_15_2017	68.52	72.75	73.28	73.36			74.02(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	9	-10000	3	25	1.62	61%	0.13	73.4	1.13%	0	1.4	61	0

6	Feb_14_2017	68.43	72.61	73.15	73.25			73.27(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	4	-10000	-1	17	1.92	61%	0.15	66.9	1.14%	0	0.6	52	0
7	Feb_13_2017	68.33	72.46	73.03	73.27			73.84(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	8	-10000	4	19	1.71	61%	0.15	65.3	1.14%	0	1.3	62	0
8	Feb_10_2017	68.23	72.31	72.94	73.11			72.88(0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-10000	-1	26	2.01	59%	0.12	67.4	1.17%	0	0.5	66	0
9	Feb_9_2017	68.15	72.16	72.98	73.16			72.8(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	10	-10000	-0	41	1.79	59%	0.12	64.6	1.2%	0	0.6	60	0
10	Feb_8_2017	68.07	72.07	72.96	73.17			73.44(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	-10000	3	54	1.34	59%	0.15	70.4	1.2%	0	1.2	68	0

11	Feb_7_2017	67.97	71.93	72.91	73.03			73.36(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-10000	6	62	1.43	62%	0.15	73.3	1.2%	0	1.2	63	0
12	Feb_6_2017	67.87	71.78	72.78	72.76			73.06(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-10000	0	62	0.96	62%	0.13	71.9	1.25%	0	1.1	67	0
13	Feb_3_2017	67.78	71.61	72.57	72.75			73.14(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	15	-10000	-1	62	1.65	62%	0.15	68.1	1.25%	0	1.3	61	0
14	Feb_2_2017	67.68	71.42	72.39	72.8			72.82(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	21	-10000	2	77	1.15	62%	0.16	63.2	1.25%	0	1.1	65	0
15	Feb_1_2017	67.57	71.26	72.19	72.72			72.75(1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	17	-10000	-1	72	1.71	62%	0.16	56.3	1.26%	0	1.2	57	0

16	Jan_31_2017	67.46	71.09	72.04	72.77			72.01(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	20	-10000	-0	80	2.18	62%	0.15	53.4	1.26%	0	0.7	56	0
17	Jan_30_2017	67.36	70.96	71.86	72.79			73.03(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	-10000	10	85	1.78	65%	0.18	49.4	1.25%	0	1.7	62	0
18	Jan_27_2017	67.24	70.81	71.63	72.34			73.37(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	26	-10000	9	76	1.69	65%	0.15	41.5	1.25%	0	2.1	67	0
19	Jan_26_2017	67.14	70.64	71.27	71.93			72.45(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	-10000	8	66	2.62	64%	0.13	37.6	1.24%	0	1.7	66	0
20	Jan_25_2017	67.05	70.57	71.11	71.58			73.01(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	22	-10000	8	62	2.74	64%	0.13	37.5	1.24%	0	2.5	65	0

21	Jan_24_2017	66.96	70.44	70.86	71.22			72.12(1.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	22	-10000	10	59	4.12	65%	0.09	43.2	1.23%	0	2.2	64	0
22	Jan_23_2017	66.9	70.35	70.67	70.8			70.73(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	-10000	-0	46	1.66	63%	0.1	33.7	1.22%	0	0.6	59	0
23	Jan_20_2017	66.83	70.31	70.57	70.82			71.36(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	17	-10000	7	47	2.72	63%	0.1	41.8	1.21%	0	1.5	56	0
24	Jan_19_2017	66.76	70.25	70.36	70.5			70.68(-0.76%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	6	-10000	-1	27	1.07	61%	0.12	35.2	1.21%	0	0.7	53	0
25	Jan_18_2017	66.68	70.21	70.26	70.56			71.23(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	8	-10000	3	21	2	62%		48.9	1.21%	0	1.6	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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