Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 25, 2016

Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 10, 2014 - Wed. Jun. 26, 2024)

(Semiconductor sector etf)
SMH latest price $65.8113 (-0.28%) ($65.7058 - $66.0704) on Tue. Oct. 25, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.01% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $65.8113(-0.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SMH advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SMH declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SMH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(75%)    IVW(73%)    IWF(73%)    XLK(71%)    SPY(69%)
Factors Impacting SMH price   SMH will decline at least -0.505% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-13%)    TLT(-9%)    IGOV(-4%)    IPO(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.505% (StdDev 1.01%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $65.38(0.66%)
10 Day Moving Average   $65.17(0.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $65.6(0.32%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   10.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SMH price fluctuates within 1.14% (three month std-dev: 1.01%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161125

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_25_2016	60.85	65.6	65.17	65.38			65.81(-0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-7	-10000	3	-37	1.42	64%	0.18	25.4	1.01%	0	0.3	44	0
2	Oct_24_2016	60.74	65.55	65.1	65.29			65.99(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-5	-10000	9	-46	1.3	64%	0.18	25	1.01%	0	0.5	50	0
3	Oct_21_2016	60.63	65.44	65.13	65.01			65.16(-0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-14	-10000	2	-60	2.03	62%	0.17	13.5	1.01%	0	-0.3	42	0
4	Oct_20_2016	60.53	65.41	65.28	64.96			65.25(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-12	-10000	5	-62	3.57	65%	0.18	13.5	1.01%	0	-0.2	39	0
5	Oct_19_2016	60.42	65.4	65.42	64.8			64.68(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-10000	-3	-64	6.7	65%	0.17	14.8	1.02%	0	-0.8	45	0

6	Oct_18_2016	60.32	65.41	65.59	64.91			65.35(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-11	-10000	1	-45	2.7	72%	0.08	29.6	1.02%	0	-0.1	55	0
7	Oct_17_2016	60.27	65.34	65.64	64.89			64.62(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-10000	-11	-42	0.9	70%	0.18	37.8	1.06%	0	-0.7	52	0
8	Oct_14_2016	60.16	65.33	65.8	65.28			64.89(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-9	-10000	-11	-4	2.35	70%	0.18	55.6	1.06%	0	-0.4	61	0
9	Oct_13_2016	60.05	65.29	65.98	65.67			64.48(-1.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-2	-10000	-13	32	6.6	70%	0.18	76.7	1.06%	0	-0.8	54	0
10	Oct_12_2016	59.94	65.27	66.12	66.12			65.23(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	11	-10000	-7	63	4.27	74%	0.2	79.3	1.05%	0	-0	52	0

11	Oct_11_2016	59.82	65.14	66.1	66.35			65.23(-2.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	16	-10000	-4	77	4.14	74%	0.22	69.5	1.06%	0	0.1	55	0
12	Oct_10_2016	59.69	64.98	66.08	66.48			66.6(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	-10000	3	97	1.78	82%	0.25	61.4	1.03%	0	1.1	69	0
13	Oct_7_2016	59.54	64.78	65.81	66.39			66.81(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	-10000	1	88	2.1	84%	0.27	51	1.07%	0	1.3	68	0
14	Oct_6_2016	59.38	64.5	65.55	66.36			66.76(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	-10000	6	94	2.48	84%	0.29	44.4	1.07%	0	1.5	68	0
15	Oct_5_2016	59.21	64.33	65.37	66.14			66.38(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	-10000	9	96	4.03	79%	0.29	43.6	1.07%	0	1.4	67	0

16	Oct_4_2016	59.04	64.18	65.2	65.82			65.87(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	29	-10000	6	99	3.62	79%	0.27	40.6	1.09%	0	1.2	73	0
17	Oct_3_2016	58.88	64.08	65	65.6			66.15(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	38	-10000	14	109	2.2	79%	0.29	38.3	1.1%	0	1.5	77	0
18	Sep_30_2016	58.71	63.97	64.79	65.11			66.67(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	35	-10000	13	100	3.32	80%	0.31	32.3	1.1%	0	2.2	73	0
19	Sep_29_2016	58.53	63.82	64.5	64.63			65.62(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	27	-10000	3	97	6.75	80%	0.26	29.6	1.1%	0	1.7	75	0
20	Sep_28_2016	58.38	63.71	64.31	64.52			64.82(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	-10000	1	94	1.6	81%	0.26	32.3	1.12%	0	1.1	56	0

21	Sep_27_2016	58.23	63.64	64.07	64.5			64.74(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	-10000	5	83	4.05	73%	0.26	33.1	1.16%	0	1.1	54	0
22	Sep_26_2016	58.08	63.58	63.79	64.32			63.69(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	12	-10000	-2	55	1.75	72%	0.26	32.4	1.22%	0	0.1	48	0
23	Sep_23_2016	57.93	63.56	63.68	64.4			64.29(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	-10000	2	42	2.11	63%	0.24	36.6	1.43%	0	0.8	50	0
24	Sep_22_2016	57.79	63.5	63.39	64.32			65.04(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	10	-10000	5	24	3.12	63%	0.28	36.4	1.45%	0	1.7	54	0
25	Sep_21_2016	57.63	63.39	63.22	64.08			64.74(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	13	-10000	11	17	3.88	63%		35.3	1.45%	0	1.6	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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