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     Fri. Jul. 29, 2016

Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 10, 2014 - Thu. Jun. 20, 2024)

(Semiconductor sector etf)

SMH latest price $60.9364 (-0.41%) ($60.6677 - $61.3107) on Fri. Jul. 29, 2016.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.48% (three month average)
RSI   82
Latest Price   $60.9364(-0.41%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SMH advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SMH advances 3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SMH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(75%)    IVW(73%)    IWF(73%)    XLK(71%)    SPY(70%)  
Factors Impacting SMH price  SMH will decline at least -0.74% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-13%)    TLT(-9%)    IPO(-8%)    IGOV(-4%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.74% (StdDev 1.48%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   -0.4%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $60.92(0.03%)
10 Day Moving Average  $60.11(1.37%)
20 Day Moving Average  $57.99(5.08%)
To recent high  -0.9%
To recent low  23.9%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. SMH price fluctuates within 4.43% (three month std-dev: 1.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0   Average positive next day return: 0%(0%)   Average negative next day return: 0%(0%)
Sample size 0   Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%)   Average negative next three day return: %(0%)
Sample size 0   Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%)   Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20160829

iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
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ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
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ema5
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ema10
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Volume
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Strength
100
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1Jul_29_201653.6357.9960.1160.92  60.94(-0.41%)UDOpenLong750   39   -10000   6   138   1.97    65%0.2179.51.48%01.1820
2Jul_28_201653.5257.6759.7660.63  61.19(-0.13%)UDOpenLong750.2   42   -10000   9   139   1.72    62%0.2174.51.52%01.4860
3Jul_27_201653.4157.359.3960.22  61.26(-0.36%)UDOpenLong750.4   41   -10000   7   144   2.78    62%0.2369.11.55%01.6890
4Jul_26_201653.2956.8758.9659.89  61.48(2.89%)UTHoldLong650.6   49   -10000   12   159   8.61    62%0.2162.21.56%01.8920
5Jul_25_201653.1856.3658.559.34  59.76(0.47%)UTHoldLong650.2   44   -10000   4   165   1.32    59%0.17501.52%01.3900
 
6Jul_22_201653.0956.0258.1659.18  59.48(0.6%)UTHoldLong650.1   52   -10000   10   178   2.15    59%0.19481.53%01.4790
7Jul_21_201652.9955.8357.7858.75  59.12(-0.85%)UDOpenLong750.2   49   -10000   8   170   3.55    59%0.1749.91.53%01.4740
8Jul_20_201652.955.657.358.41  59.63(1.54%)UTHoldLong650.5   51   -10000   12   167   2.28    59%0.1950.61.52%01.8810
9Jul_19_201652.855.3456.757.88  58.73(-0.39%)UDOpenLong750.4   45   -10000   8   155   0.83    58%0.1950.71.51%01.7820
10Jul_18_201652.755.1256.1757.53  58.96(2.91%)UTHoldLong650.8   49   -10000   12   160   2.63    58%0.2151.31.52%02.1860
 
11Jul_15_201652.5954.8455.6957.01  57.29(-0.28%)UDOpenLong750.2   45   -10000   8   155   2.01    55%0.1747.51.48%01.5690
12Jul_14_201652.554.6755.4256.67  57.45(0.84%)UTOpenLong750.5   46   -10000   16   137   1.58    55%0.1941.21.48%01.8520
13Jul_13_201652.454.4855.0456  56.97(0.02%)UTOpenLong750.7   39   -10000   17   104   0.99    57%0.1928.21.49%01.8560
14Jul_12_201652.354.3354.6155.31  56.96(1.09%)UTOpenLong751.3   28   -10000   17   61   1.45    57%0.1711.41.51%02560
15Jul_11_201652.2154.1854.0454.61  56.35(1.35%)UTOpenLong751.5   10   -10000   10   8   1.48    57%0.19-6.71.5%01.9550
 
16Jul_8_201652.1154.0653.6854.2  55.6(2.73%)DPOpenShort-651.4   -1   -10000   4   -17   2.84    57%0.17-20.61.49%01.5560
17Jul_7_201652.0254.0453.6954.02  54.12(1.13%)DPOpenShort-650.1   -2   -10000   2   -12   1.6    54%0.13-23.51.46%00.1510
18Jul_6_201651.9554.0953.7453.94  53.52(0.14%)N/AN/A0-0.4   1   -10000   4   -9   3.45    54%0.13-22.71.46%0-0.5490
19Jul_5_201651.8854.1853.8753.78  53.44(-1.59%)N/AN/A0-0.3   6   -10000   11   -9   2.55    54%0.17-23.91.47%0-0.7480
20Jul_1_201651.7954.2553.9953.34  54.31(-0.74%)DPOpenShort-650.9   -1   -10000   7   -26   1.61    56%0.21-341.45%00.1510
 
21Jun_30_201651.6854.2553.9353.06  54.71(1.79%)DPOpenShort-751.6   -18   -10000   -8   -49   3.51    56%0.21-38.31.44%00.4510
22Jun_29_201651.5754.2853.8653.36  53.75(2.04%)DPOpenShort-750.4   -15   -10000   -5   -46   5.45    54%0.17-26.91.42%0-0.5430
23Jun_28_201651.4854.3353.8953.57  52.67(2.73%)DPOpenShort-75-0.9   -21   -10000   -11   -50   5.42    52%0.16-16.11.41%0-1.6370
24Jun_27_201651.454.4454.0454.01  51.27(-3.08%)DTOpenShort-75-2.7   -25   -10000   -18   -44   7.81    48%0.15.41.37%0-3.2280
25Jun_24_201651.3554.6154.3754.68  52.9(-5.84%)DTOpenShort-75-2.6   -7   -10000   -4   -14   7.89    52%521.33%0-2.5400
iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
Trend
ema5
Trend
ema10
Trend
Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
Trend
Daily
Trend
Force
Daily
StdDev
Hourly
BBV
BBVRSIVIXCD
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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