Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ SMH: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jun. 28, 2016

Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 10, 2014 - Thu. Jun. 20, 2024)

(Semiconductor sector etf)
SMH latest price $52.6740 (2.73%) ($51.8200 - $52.6740) on Tue. Jun. 28, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.41% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $52.6740(2.73%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SMH declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SMH declines -1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SMH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(75%)    IVW(73%)    IWF(73%)    XLK(71%)    SPY(70%)
Factors Impacting SMH price   SMH will decline at least -0.705% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    UUP(-14%)    TLT(-10%)    IPO(-7%)    IGOV(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.705% (StdDev 1.41%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

Resistance Level   $54.33
5 Day Moving Average   $53.57(-1.67%)
10 Day Moving Average   $53.89(-2.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $54.33(-3.05%)
To recent high   -6.3%
To recent low   7.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SMH price fluctuates within 1.93% (three month std-dev: 1.41%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160728

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_28_2016	51.48	54.33	53.89	53.57			52.67(2.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-21	-10000	-11	-50	5.42	52%	0.16	-16.1	1.41%	0	-1.6	37	0
2	Jun_27_2016	51.4	54.44	54.04	54.01			51.27(-3.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.7	-25	-10000	-18	-44	7.81	48%	0.1	5.4	1.37%	0	-3.2	28	0
3	Jun_24_2016	51.35	54.61	54.37	54.68			52.9(-5.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.6	-7	-10000	-4	-14	7.89	52%	0.12	52	1.33%	0	-2.5	40	0
4	Jun_23_2016	51.29	54.68	54.54	54.84			56.19(2.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.3	9	-10000	14	-5	3.18	65%	0.18	99.1	1.1%	0	2.6	60	0
5	Jun_22_2016	51.2	54.56	54.42	54.42			54.81(-0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-3	-10000	5	-28	3.6	61%	0.18	123.3	1.07%	0	0.5	49	0

6	Jun_21_2016	51.11	54.5	54.47	54.27			54.88(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-4	-10000	5	-32	3.07	61%	0.14	140.2	1.07%	0	0.7	50	0
7	Jun_20_2016	51.04	54.38	54.5	54.12			54.62(1.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-7	-10000	3	-36	2.6	61%	0.14	111.5	1.07%	0	0.3	51	0
8	Jun_17_2016	50.97	54.26	54.51	54.03			53.72(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-14	-10000	-5	-42	5.08	58%	0.16	102.5	1.06%	0	-0.6	42	0
9	Jun_16_2016	50.89	54.11	54.64	54.17			54.08(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-10000	-9	-28	3.51	58%	0.16	81.5	1.06%	0	-0	54	0
10	Jun_15_2016	50.81	53.96	54.72	54.43			54.06(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8	-10000	-9	-5	1.37	58%	0.16	79.1	1.07%	0	0.1	57	0

11	Jun_14_2016	50.73	53.77	54.8	54.69			54.11(-0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	-10000	-9	22	3.84	58%	0.16	71.1	1.07%	0	0.2	63	0
12	Jun_13_2016	50.65	53.6	54.86	54.94			54.18(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	12	-10000	-4	61	1.67	58%	0.14	71.5	1.07%	0	0.3	76	0
13	Jun_10_2016	50.58	53.38	54.9	55.06			54.41(-1.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	20	-10000	-3	90	2.88	62%	0.18	65.5	1.1%	0	0.5	81	0
14	Jun_9_2016	50.49	53.13	54.87	55.16			55.37(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	38	-10000	4	140	3.09	67%	0.2	61.7	1.07%	0	1	98	0
15	Jun_8_2016	50.39	52.87	54.73	55.05			55.37(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	45	-10000	4	168	2.21	61%	0.22	61.2	1.07%	0	1.1	90	0

16	Jun_7_2016	50.28	52.61	54.55	54.94			55.36(1.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	53	-10000	5	197	3.98	61%	0.1	61.6	1.1%	0	1.3	91	0
17	Jun_6_2016	50.23	52.33	54.26	54.79			54.79(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	55	-10000	3	212	2.96	61%	0.2	59.1	1.1%	0	1.1	83	0
18	Jun_3_2016	50.13	52.08	53.99	54.71			54.92(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	65	-10000	6	241	2.6	61%	0.16	58.2	1.1%	0	1.3	87	0
19	Jun_2_2016	50.05	51.81	53.55	54.54			54.81(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	67	-10000	6	248	2.24	61%	0.18	54	1.1%	0	1.5	87	0
20	Jun_1_2016	49.96	51.55	53.15	54.35			54.82(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	69	-10000	8	251	1.91	66%	0.16	46.4	1.1%	0	1.7	76	0

21	May_31_2016	49.88	51.3	52.67	54.1			54.6(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	71	-10000	15	237	3.69	61%	0.22	41.2	1.12%	0	1.8	73	0
22	May_27_2016	49.77	51.09	52.24	53.64			54.4(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	66	-10000	16	215	1.4	66%	0.14	35.4	1.16%	0	2	75	0
23	May_26_2016	49.7	50.87	51.73	53.15			54.05(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	65	-10000	24	189	2.51	66%	0.12	25.4	1.17%	0	2.2	74	0
24	May_25_2016	49.64	50.72	51.24	52.4			53.86(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	52	-10000	21	143	3.11	66%	0.08	10.6	1.17%	0	2.3	73	0
25	May_24_2016	49.6	50.65	50.84	51.77			53.57(2.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	48	-10000	25	116	3.02	66%		0	1.17%	0	2.4	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.