Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Apr. 20, 2016

Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 10, 2014 - Tue. Jul. 2, 2024)

(Semiconductor sector etf)
SMH latest price $52.2806 (0.48%) ($51.7336 - $52.5301) on Wed. Apr. 20, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.39% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $52.2806(0.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SMH declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SMH declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SMH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(75%)    IVW(73%)    IWF(73%)    XLK(71%)    SPY(70%)
Factors Impacting SMH price   SMH will decline at least -0.695% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    UUP(-14%)    TLT(-10%)    IPO(-7%)    IGOV(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.695% (StdDev 1.39%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

Resistance Level   $52.49
5 Day Moving Average   $52.4(-0.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $52.45(-0.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $52.49(-0.4%)
To recent high   -2%
To recent low   19.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SMH price fluctuates within 0.78% (three month std-dev: 1.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160520

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_20_2016	49.79	52.49	52.45	52.4			52.28(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-9	-10000	-6	-17	2.99	69%	-0.02	2.6	1.39%	0	-0.5	45	0
2	Apr_19_2016	49.8	52.51	52.5	52.62			52.03(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-3	-10000	-1	-8	2.83	69%	0	34.6	1.39%	0	-1.2	40	0
3	Apr_18_2016	49.8	52.55	52.53	52.67			52.47(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-2	-10000	0	-7	1.74	69%	0	56.6	1.38%	0	-0.2	49	0
4	Apr_15_2016	49.8	52.56	52.55	52.66			52.41(-0.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	0	-10000	1	-2	2.92	60%	0.06	69.7	1.4%	0	-0.4	56	0
5	Apr_14_2016	49.77	52.54	52.55	52.64			52.8(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	4	-10000	3	6	2.39	62%	0.04	84.6	1.55%	0	0.6	59	0

6	Apr_13_2016	49.75	52.49	52.62	52.5			53.37(2.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	4	-10000	3	6	1.97	58%	0.04	83.7	1.57%	0	2	63	0
7	Apr_12_2016	49.73	52.37	52.59	52.5			52.31(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	1	-10000	0	4	1.75	56%	0.02	82.1	1.6%	0	-0.1	47	0
8	Apr_11_2016	49.72	52.32	52.62	52.38			52.4(0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-10000	-1	3	2.54	56%	0.02	76.6	1.6%	0	0.1	47	0
9	Apr_8_2016	49.71	52.28	52.58	52.44			52.34(0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-3	-10000	-4	-0	1.18	54%	0.02	83.2	1.61%	0	0.1	47	0
10	Apr_7_2016	49.7	52.19	52.58	52.6			52.09(-1.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-1	-10000	-3	5	1.99	51%	0.04	77.9	1.62%	0	-0.1	53	0

11	Apr_6_2016	49.68	52.11	52.55	52.75			52.79(0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	2	-10000	-2	14	1.36	48%	0.04	73	1.66%	0	0.8	63	0
12	Apr_5_2016	49.66	51.97	52.53	52.82			52.3(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	5	-10000	-2	27	1.58	48%	0.04	66.1	1.69%	0	0.3	65	0
13	Apr_4_2016	49.64	51.9	52.53	52.89			52.69(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	13	-10000	4	41	2.71	48%	0.08	78.6	1.69%	0	0.8	67	0
14	Apr_1_2016	49.6	51.79	52.57	52.73			53.11(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	5	44	1.56	48%	0.06	82.7	1.7%	0	1.3	68	0
15	Mar_31_2016	49.57	51.65	52.45	52.49			52.86(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-10000	4	45	1.5	46%	0.04	85.9	1.71%	0	1.2	74	0

16	Mar_30_2016	49.55	51.51	52.34	52.32			53.15(1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	13	-10000	2	47	2.99	46%	0.06	93.2	1.72%	0	1.7	79	0
17	Mar_29_2016	49.52	51.35	52.13	52.22			52.63(1.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	13	-10000	-0	52	2.58	46%	0.02	106.3	1.72%	0	1.3	79	0
18	Mar_28_2016	49.51	51.14	51.99	52.23			51.91(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	12	-10000	-3	55	1.48	46%	-0.02	96.3	1.72%	0	0.7	61	0
19	Mar_24_2016	49.52	50.99	51.95	52.38			51.93(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	17	-10000	-0	69	1.73	46%	0	91.1	1.72%	0	0.7	63	0
20	Mar_23_2016	49.52	50.81	51.82	52.4			52.01(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	20	-10000	2	73	1.84	46%	0	88	1.72%	0	0.8	66	0

21	Mar_22_2016	49.52	50.61	51.65	52.32			52.64(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-10000	7	75	0.82	46%	0.02	81.1	1.71%	0	1.3	73	0
22	Mar_21_2016	49.51	50.34	51.37	52.01			52.66(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	21	-10000	7	64	2.01	48%	0.04	79.5	1.71%	0	1.5	75	0
23	Mar_18_2016	49.49	50.1	51.17	51.72			52.66(1.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	21	-10000	5	67	1.42	47%	0.04	83.9	1.73%	0	1.6	81	0
24	Mar_17_2016	49.47	49.82	50.95	51.48			52(0.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	24	-10000	7	73	3.26	46%	0	92	1.73%	0	1.4	77	0
25	Mar_16_2016	49.47	49.58	50.77	51.16			51.65(1.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	24	-10000	7	75	3.4	46%		97.4	1.74%	0	1.3	77	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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