Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ SMH: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jul. 27, 2015

Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 10, 2014 - Thu. Jun. 20, 2024)

(Semiconductor sector etf)
SMH latest price $47.9113 (-0.39%) ($47.3666 - $48.2213) on Mon. Jul. 27, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.21% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $47.9113(-0.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SMH declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SMH declines -1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SMH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(75%)    XLK(72%)    SPY(70%)    VT(68%)    XLY(64%)
Factors Impacting SMH price   SMH will decline at least -0.605% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    TLT(-12%)    UUP(-11%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.605% (StdDev 1.21%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $45.42(-5.2%)
Resistance Level   $49.93
5 Day Moving Average   $48.72(-1.66%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.41(-3.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.93(-4.04%)
To recent high   -14.7%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SMH price fluctuates within 2.12% (three month std-dev: 1.21%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150827

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_27_2015	52.56	49.93	49.41	48.72			47.91(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-24	-10000	-12	-61	4.65	39%	-0.1	-116.5	1.21%	0	-1.9	33	0
2	Jul_24_2015	52.61	50.16	49.64	49.09			48.1(-2.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-23	-10000	-14	-49	3.68	39%	-0.11	-113	1.22%	0	-1.9	32	0
3	Jul_23_2015	52.67	50.45	49.82	49.52			49.24(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	-10000	-7	-43	5.06	42%	-0.09	-88.9	1.19%	0	-1	32	0
4	Jul_22_2015	52.72	50.68	49.79	49.72			48.56(-2.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-24	-10000	-12	-59	8.9	43%	-0.09	-74.6	1.18%	0	-1.5	30	0
5	Jul_21_2015	52.77	50.96	49.89	50.06			49.77(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	-10000	-5	-56	2.84	46%	-0.11	-62.2	1.17%	0	-0.8	38	0

6	Jul_20_2015	52.83	51.2	49.98	50.21			49.81(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-14	-10000	-2	-50	2.4	46%	-0.06	-51.2	1.18%	0	-0.8	41	0
7	Jul_17_2015	52.86	51.41	50.08	50.27			50.21(-0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-13	-10000	3	-59	3.72	46%	-0.08	-47.1	1.18%	0	-0.7	33	0
8	Jul_16_2015	52.9	51.61	50.22	50.17			50.24(-0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-14	-10000	10	-84	6.19	46%	-0.08	-46.1	1.19%	0	-0.7	27	0
9	Jul_15_2015	52.94	51.78	50.33	49.88			50.27(-0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-27	-10000	6	-124	4.03	50%	-0.06	-51	1.19%	0	-0.8	28	0
10	Jul_14_2015	52.97	51.94	50.42	49.7			50.52(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-42	-10000	-1	-163	5.48	50%	-0.06	-53.1	1.21%	0	-0.8	27	0

11	Jul_13_2015	53	52.09	50.46	49.73			50.12(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-53	-10000	-5	-196	4.41	50%	-0.06	-53	1.21%	0	-1.1	24	0
12	Jul_10_2015	53.03	52.26	50.69	49.89			49.69(1.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-63	-10000	-14	-209	6.03	50%	-0.06	-53.5	1.21%	0	-1.4	25	0
13	Jul_9_2015	53.06	52.48	51.11	50.31			48.8(-1.12%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-62	-10000	-17	-197	6.67	47%	-0.09	-50.3	1.19%	0	-2.1	17	0
14	Jul_8_2015	53.11	52.75	51.63	50.84			49.36(-2.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-51	-10000	-12	-168	10	47%	-0.08	-51.4	1.19%	0	-2.2	27	0
15	Jul_7_2015	53.15	52.95	52.13	51.22			50.68(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-38	-10000	-2	-144	7.69	51%	-0.04	-59.3	1.15%	0	-1.7	32	0

16	Jul_6_2015	53.17	53.08	52.52	51.29			50.94(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-42	-10000	-11	-136	4.93	51%	-0.04	-75.7	1.14%	0	-1.8	35	0
17	Jul_2_2015	53.19	53.24	52.85	51.6			51.77(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-42	-10000	-16	-118	3.63	55%	0	-85.1	1.13%	0	-1.4	38	0
18	Jul_1_2015	53.19	53.37	53.11	52.06			51.45(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-36	-10000	-17	-92	3.55	55%	0	-82.4	1.12%	0	-1.8	33	0
19	Jun_30_2015	53.19	53.54	53.35	52.57			51.26(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-33	-10000	-21	-69	4.96	55%	0.02	-77.5	1.13%	0	-2.2	32	0
20	Jun_29_2015	53.18	53.74	53.6	53.2			51.01(-2.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-26	-10000	-24	-32	7.29	55%	0.02	-58.8	1.13%	0	-2.8	39	0

21	Jun_26_2015	53.17	53.99	53.87	53.92			52.51(-2.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-5	-10000	-11	15	10.08	67%	0.02	-35	1.14%	0	-1.7	49	0
22	Jun_25_2015	53.16	54.17	53.99	54.26			54.09(0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-10000	-2	35	1.18	63%	0.08	-14.8	1.09%	0	-0.1	51	0
23	Jun_24_2015	53.12	54.26	53.99	54.32			53.97(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	10	-10000	2	34	2.26	63%	0.06	-3.5	1.24%	0	-0.3	48	0
24	Jun_23_2015	53.09	54.35	53.97	54.25			54.39(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	-10000	5	25	1.54	63%	0.09	2.9	1.24%	0	0	44	0
25	Jun_22_2015	53.04	54.32	53.84	54.08			54.66(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	6	-10000	8	1	2.41	63%		-2.8	1.24%	0	0.4	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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