Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ SMH: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jul. 8, 2015

Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 10, 2014 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(Semiconductor sector etf)
SMH latest price $49.3578 (-2.61%) ($49.2075 - $50.1843) on Wed. Jul. 8, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.19% (three month average)
RSI   27
Latest Price   $49.3578(-2.61%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SMH declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SMH declines -3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SMH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(75%)    XLK(72%)    SPY(70%)    VT(68%)    XLY(64%)
Factors Impacting SMH price   SMH will decline at least -0.595% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-20%)    TLT(-12%)    UUP(-11%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.595% (StdDev 1.19%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $45.72(-7.37%)
Resistance Level   $52.75
5 Day Moving Average   $50.84(-2.92%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51.63(-4.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $52.75(-6.43%)
To recent high   -12.1%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SMH price fluctuates within 2.88% (three month std-dev: 1.19%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150808

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_8_2015	53.11	52.75	51.63	50.84			49.36(-2.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-51	-10000	-12	-168	10	47%	-0.08	-51.4	1.19%	0	-2.2	27	0
2	Jul_7_2015	53.15	52.95	52.13	51.22			50.68(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-38	-10000	-2	-144	7.69	51%	-0.04	-59.3	1.15%	0	-1.7	32	0
3	Jul_6_2015	53.17	53.08	52.52	51.29			50.94(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-42	-10000	-11	-136	4.93	51%	-0.04	-75.7	1.14%	0	-1.8	35	0
4	Jul_2_2015	53.19	53.24	52.85	51.6			51.77(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-42	-10000	-16	-118	3.63	55%	0	-85.1	1.13%	0	-1.4	38	0
5	Jul_1_2015	53.19	53.37	53.11	52.06			51.45(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-36	-10000	-17	-92	3.55	55%	0	-82.4	1.12%	0	-1.8	33	0

6	Jun_30_2015	53.19	53.54	53.35	52.57			51.26(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-33	-10000	-21	-69	4.96	55%	0.02	-77.5	1.13%	0	-2.2	32	0
7	Jun_29_2015	53.18	53.74	53.6	53.2			51.01(-2.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-26	-10000	-24	-32	7.29	55%	0.02	-58.8	1.13%	0	-2.8	39	0
8	Jun_26_2015	53.17	53.99	53.87	53.92			52.51(-2.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-5	-10000	-11	15	10.08	67%	0.02	-35	1.14%	0	-1.7	49	0
9	Jun_25_2015	53.16	54.17	53.99	54.26			54.09(0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-10000	-2	35	1.18	63%	0.08	-14.8	1.09%	0	-0.1	51	0
10	Jun_24_2015	53.12	54.26	53.99	54.32			53.97(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	10	-10000	2	34	2.26	63%	0.06	-3.5	1.24%	0	-0.3	48	0

11	Jun_23_2015	53.09	54.35	53.97	54.25			54.39(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	-10000	5	25	1.54	63%	0.09	2.9	1.24%	0	0	44	0
12	Jun_22_2015	53.04	54.32	53.84	54.08			54.66(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	6	-10000	8	1	2.41	63%	0.09	-2.8	1.24%	0	0.4	42	0
13	Jun_19_2015	52.99	54.32	53.67	53.82			54.19(-0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-6	-10000	4	-37	2.85	65%	0.08	-7.3	1.25%	0	-0.1	32	0
14	Jun_18_2015	52.95	54.3	53.64	53.68			54.38(1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-14	-10000	2	-63	2.18	65%	0.08	-7.8	1.25%	0	0.1	32	0
15	Jun_17_2015	52.91	54.29	53.6	53.6			53.62(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-22	-10000	-1	-85	1.41	63%	0.06	-5	1.24%	0	-0.7	27	0

16	Jun_16_2015	52.88	54.32	53.71	53.65			53.58(0.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-20	-10000	3	-90	1.63	65%	0.04	2.3	1.25%	0	-0.8	28	0
17	Jun_15_2015	52.86	54.35	53.86	53.55			53.34(-0.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-20	-10000	2	-86	2.52	65%	0.04	4	1.26%	0	-1.1	49	0
18	Jun_12_2015	52.84	54.37	54.11	53.48			53.49(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-22	-10000	-3	-79	1.5	65%	0.02	4.7	1.26%	0	-0.9	47	0
19	Jun_11_2015	52.83	54.38	54.36	53.58			53.95(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-16	-10000	-1	-60	1.73	65%	0.06	11.7	1.26%	0	-0.5	50	0
20	Jun_10_2015	52.8	54.34	54.55	53.62			53.89(1.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-16	-10000	-6	-47	2.92	60%	0.06	16.1	1.26%	0	-0.5	50	0

21	Jun_9_2015	52.77	54.29	54.75	53.81			53.08(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-10000	-12	-27	3.77	58%	0	21.9	1.27%	0	-1.2	46	0
22	Jun_8_2015	52.77	54.31	54.86	54.23			53.02(-1.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-16	-10000	-17	-11	4.33	58%	0.06	33.2	1.27%	0	-1.3	45	0
23	Jun_5_2015	52.74	54.33	55.01	54.82			53.99(-0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-4	-10000	-13	25	1.67	59%	0.08	47.9	1.26%	0	-0.3	57	0
24	Jun_4_2015	52.7	54.27	55.05	55.26			54.15(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	6	-10000	-10	55	3.29	59%	0.08	59.7	1.26%	0	-0.1	59	0
25	Jun_3_2015	52.66	54.19	55.07	55.61			54.8(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	17	-10000	-6	85	1.75	56%		63.4	1.25%	0	0.5	69	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.