Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ SMH: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Apr. 20, 2015

Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 10, 2014 - Tue. Jun. 25, 2024)

(Semiconductor sector etf)
SMH latest price $52.4573 (0.83%) ($52.3071 - $52.6828) on Mon. Apr. 20, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.31% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $52.4573(0.83%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   SMH advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SMH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(75%)    XLK(72%)    SPY(70%)    VT(68%)    IWM(63%)
Factors Impacting SMH price   SMH will decline at least -0.655% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-20%)    TLT(-12%)    UUP(-10%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.655% (StdDev 1.31%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $52.42(0.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $52.37(0.17%)
20 Day Moving Average   $52.15(0.59%)
To recent high   -4.5%
To recent low   5.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SMH price fluctuates within 1.48% (three month std-dev: 1.31%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150520

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_20_2015	51.82	52.15	52.37				52.46(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	-10000	0	26	1.78	57%	0.02	-27	1.31%	0	0.4	49	0
2	Apr_17_2015	51.81	52.23	52.3	52.42			52.03(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	3	-10000	-4	22	2.82	57%	0	-15.3	1.31%	0	-0.2	51	0
3	Apr_16_2015	51.81	52.29	52.26	52.57			52.7(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	-10000	1	42	5.41	57%	0.04	-3.4	1.31%	0	0.4	69	0
4	Apr_15_2015	51.79	52.32	52.14	52.53			52.94(1.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-10000	5	48	3.19	57%	0.04	0	1.31%	0	0.7	67	0
5	Apr_14_2015	51.77	52.31	52.03	52.34			51.97(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	8	-10000	1	27	2.92	55%	0.04	-1.6	1.29%	0	-0.4	42	0

6	Apr_13_2015	51.75	52.36	52.07	52.3			52.45(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	7	-10000	4	16	3	55%	0.06	-2.7	1.29%	0	0.1	41	0
7	Apr_10_2015	51.72	52.37	52.03	52.15			52.81(0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	4	-10000	7	-7	1.51	53%	0.06	-10.4	1.29%	0	0.5	40	0
8	Apr_9_2015	51.69	52.33	51.79	51.9			52.5(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-7	-10000	6	-44	2.61	53%	0.08	-26.2	1.3%	0	0.2	44	0
9	Apr_8_2015	51.65	52.33	51.62	51.69			51.99(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-20	-10000	0	-79	1.92	56%	0.06	-39.9	1.29%	0	-0.3	42	0
10	Apr_7_2015	51.62	52.32	51.73	51.68			51.73(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-22	-10000	-4	-77	1.88	56%	0.08	-49.7	1.33%	0	-0.6	44	0

11	Apr_6_2015	51.58	52.39	51.91	51.82			51.71(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-10000	-2	-66	3.28	53%	0.14	-54.6	1.34%	0	-0.7	42	0
12	Apr_2_2015	51.51	52.46	52.14	51.89			51.57(0.27%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-6	-10000	7	-46	2.87	50%	0.08	-53.5	1.38%	0	-0.9	46	0
13	Apr_1_2015	51.47	52.58	52.32	51.66			51.43(-0.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-9	-10000	4	-49	3.18	50%	0.06	-59.5	1.38%	0	-1.2	49	0
14	Mar_31_2015	51.44	52.7	52.51	51.52			51.94(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-18	-10000	-7	-52	2.74	50%	0.08	-62.1	1.39%	0	-0.8	49	0
15	Mar_30_2015	51.4	52.81	52.61	51.79			52.47(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-14	-10000	-7	-35	5.05	50%	0.1	-51.2	1.38%	0	-0.3	54	0

16	Mar_27_2015	51.35	52.92	52.67	52.05			52.03(3.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-15	-10000	-12	-25	7.8	50%	0.08	-37.3	1.37%	0	-0.8	45	0
17	Mar_26_2015	51.31	53	52.73	52.49			50.41(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-16	-10000	-17	-13	11.84	46%	0.04	-25.2	1.32%	0	-2.4	35	0
18	Mar_25_2015	51.29	53.18	52.93	53.08			50.78(-4.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.6	-10	-10000	-14	3	10.44	46%	0.06	-8.4	1.32%	0	-2.7	33	0
19	Mar_24_2015	51.26	53.33	53.12	53.59			53.27(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	9	-10000	3	25	2.61	53%	0.1	12.6	1.18%	0	-0.1	44	0
20	Mar_23_2015	51.21	53.36	53	53.51			53.75(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	4	-10000	4	3	2.75	53%	0.12	14.6	1.17%	0	0.5	46	0

21	Mar_20_2015	51.15	53.32	52.92	53.39			54.23(1.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	4	-10000	11	-16	3.1	55%	0.14	10.4	1.18%	0	1.3	41	0
22	Mar_19_2015	51.08	53.27	52.8	53.05			53.39(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-3	-10000	9	-39	2.37	53%	0.14	0.8	1.17%	0	0.2	49	0
23	Mar_18_2015	51.01	53.25	52.84	52.78			53.32(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-9	-10000	6	-55	5.01	55%	0.14	-3.1	1.17%	0	0.1	46	0
24	Mar_17_2015	50.94	53.24	52.88	52.59			52.83(-0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-11	-10000	6	-63	1.34	57%	0.12	-1.5	1.19%	0	-0.6	45	0
25	Mar_16_2015	50.88	53.26	52.99	52.41			53.19(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-18	-10000	1	-73	2.94	57%		12	1.21%	0	-0.1	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.