Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ SMH: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Sun. Mar. 8, 2015

Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 10, 2014 - Fri. Jun. 28, 2024)

(Semiconductor sector etf)
SMH latest price $53.2369 (-1.25%) ($53.1148 - $53.7817) on Sun. Mar. 8, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.21% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $53.2369(-1.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SMH declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SMH advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SMH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting SMH price   SMH will decline at least -0.605% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.605% (StdDev 1.21%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $54(-1.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $53.79(-1.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $53.07(0.31%)
To recent high   -3.1%
To recent low   8.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SMH price fluctuates within 2.19% (three month std-dev: 1.21%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150408

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_6_2015	50.39	53.07	53.79	54			53.24(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	9	-10000	-2	40	1.8	57%	0.2	79.5	1.21%	0	0.1	54	0
2	Mar_5_2015	50.29	52.97	53.81	54.06			53.91(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	-10000	1	50	1.26	59%	0.22	80	1.21%	0	0.8	62	0
3	Mar_4_2015	50.18	52.82	53.73	54.04			53.93(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	17	-10000	2	61	2.03	59%	0.24	77.5	1.21%	0	0.9	68	0
4	Mar_3_2015	50.06	52.64	53.64	53.98			54.02(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	18	-10000	0	70	4.94	59%	0.26	71.7	1.21%	0	1	70	0
5	Mar_2_2015	49.93	52.43	53.56	53.97			54.92(2.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	36	-10000	13	106	4.89	62%	0.26	60.8	1.19%	0	1.7	85	0

6	Feb_27_2015	49.8	52.16	53.35	53.57			53.51(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	28	-10000	2	106	3.52	58%	0.18	46.1	1.15%	0	0.9	73	0
7	Feb_26_2015	49.71	52.01	53.27	53.52			53.82(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	-10000	5	120	2.01	61%	0.14	41.6	1.16%	0	1.2	69	0
8	Feb_25_2015	49.64	51.84	53.08	53.37			53.62(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	-10000	4	123	1.81	61%	0.18	36.1	1.18%	0	1.3	71	0
9	Feb_24_2015	49.55	51.69	52.89	53.24			53.99(2.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	-10000	5	132	2.6	61%	0.16	34.7	1.18%	0	1.7	75	0
10	Feb_23_2015	49.47	51.56	52.51	53.08			52.9(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	32	-10000	-1	131	1.35	58%	0.14	39.8	1.15%	0	1.1	75	0

11	Feb_20_2015	49.4	51.5	52.29	53.1			53.28(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	40	-10000	4	148	2.1	60%	0.14	48.1	1.15%	0	1.5	79	0
12	Feb_19_2015	49.33	51.42	52.08	52.97			53.04(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	43	-10000	7	150	2.37	60%	0.14	57.1	1.16%	0	1.4	65	0
13	Feb_18_2015	49.26	51.33	51.85	52.75			53.01(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	43	-10000	9	145	2.61	60%	0.12	62.7	1.16%	0	1.5	67	0
14	Feb_17_2015	49.2	51.22	51.58	52.47			53.19(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	49	-10000	21	132	1.78	60%	0.16	63.3	1.17%	0	1.9	64	0
15	Feb_13_2015	49.12	51.07	51.22	51.83			52.96(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	31	-10000	16	76	2.96	60%	0.12	47.8	1.17%	0	2	54	0

16	Feb_12_2015	49.06	50.91	50.87	51.36			52.65(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	15	-10000	10	28	2.97	60%	0.1	32.7	1.17%	0	2.1	53	0
17	Feb_11_2015	49.01	50.76	50.64	51.07			51.92(0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	6	-10000	8	-2	2.87	58%	0.1	24.7	1.16%	0	1.5	47	0
18	Feb_10_2015	48.96	50.66	50.47	50.82			51.62(3.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	0	-10000	9	-27	3.68	58%	0.08	21.6	1.16%	0	1.3	49	0
19	Feb_9_2015	48.92	50.58	50.36	50.56			49.98(-1.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.8	-10	-10000	3	-49	2.91	53%	0.02	11.8	1.09%	0	-0.8	45	0
20	Feb_6_2015	48.91	50.63	50.53	50.49			50.64(-1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	-10000	8	-40	2.55	56%	0.04	7	1.08%	0	0	53	0

21	Feb_5_2015	48.89	50.64	50.63	50.27			51.19(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-7	-10000	4	-38	2.52	56%	0.06	-3.5	1.07%	0	0.8	60	0
22	Feb_4_2015	48.86	50.57	50.69	50.15			50.68(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-4	-10000	3	-24	3.83	56%	0.06	-18.8	1.06%	0	0.2	59	0
23	Feb_3_2015	48.83	50.57	50.77	50.07			50.33(1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-6	-10000	-3	-15	3.03	56%	0.08	-35.4	1.06%	0	-0.2	55	0
24	Feb_2_2015	48.79	50.49	50.83	50.16			49.62(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-14	-10000	-16	-9	6.88	53%	0.04	-42.4	1.05%	0	-1.1	48	0
25	Jan_30_2015	48.77	50.57	50.92	50.59			49.53(-2.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-9	-10000	-16	14	3.59	59%		-33.3	1.05%	0	-1.3	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.