Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ SMH: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Mar. 5, 2015

Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 10, 2014 - Mon. Jun. 24, 2024)

(Semiconductor sector etf)
SMH latest price $53.9132 (-0.03%) ($53.6831 - $54.2513) on Thu. Mar. 5, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.21% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $53.9132(-0.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   SMH advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SMH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(75%)    XLK(72%)    SPY(70%)    VT(68%)    IWM(63%)
Factors Impacting SMH price   SMH will decline at least -0.605% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-20%)    TLT(-12%)    UUP(-10%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.605% (StdDev 1.21%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $54.06(-0.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $53.81(0.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $52.97(1.78%)
To recent high   -1.8%
To recent low   9.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SMH price fluctuates within 2.3% (three month std-dev: 1.21%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150405

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_5_2015	50.29	52.97	53.81	54.06			53.91(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	-10000	1	50	1.26	59%	0.22	80	1.21%	0	0.8	62	0
2	Mar_4_2015	50.18	52.82	53.73	54.04			53.93(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	17	-10000	2	61	2.03	59%	0.24	77.5	1.21%	0	0.9	68	0
3	Mar_3_2015	50.06	52.64	53.64	53.98			54.02(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	18	-10000	0	70	4.94	59%	0.26	71.7	1.21%	0	1	70	0
4	Mar_2_2015	49.93	52.43	53.56	53.97			54.92(2.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	36	-10000	13	106	4.89	62%	0.26	60.8	1.19%	0	1.7	85	0
5	Feb_27_2015	49.8	52.16	53.35	53.57			53.51(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	28	-10000	2	106	3.52	58%	0.18	46.1	1.15%	0	0.9	73	0

6	Feb_26_2015	49.71	52.01	53.27	53.52			53.82(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	-10000	5	120	2.01	61%	0.14	41.6	1.16%	0	1.2	69	0
7	Feb_25_2015	49.64	51.84	53.08	53.37			53.62(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	-10000	4	123	1.81	61%	0.18	36.1	1.18%	0	1.3	71	0
8	Feb_24_2015	49.55	51.69	52.89	53.24			53.99(2.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	-10000	5	132	2.6	61%	0.16	34.7	1.18%	0	1.7	75	0
9	Feb_23_2015	49.47	51.56	52.51	53.08			52.9(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	32	-10000	-1	131	1.35	58%	0.14	39.8	1.15%	0	1.1	75	0
10	Feb_20_2015	49.4	51.5	52.29	53.1			53.28(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	40	-10000	4	148	2.1	60%	0.14	48.1	1.15%	0	1.5	79	0

11	Feb_19_2015	49.33	51.42	52.08	52.97			53.04(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	43	-10000	7	150	2.37	60%	0.14	57.1	1.16%	0	1.4	65	0
12	Feb_18_2015	49.26	51.33	51.85	52.75			53.01(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	43	-10000	9	145	2.61	60%	0.12	62.7	1.16%	0	1.5	67	0
13	Feb_17_2015	49.2	51.22	51.58	52.47			53.19(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	49	-10000	21	132	1.78	60%	0.16	63.3	1.17%	0	1.9	64	0
14	Feb_13_2015	49.12	51.07	51.22	51.83			52.96(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	31	-10000	16	76	2.96	60%	0.12	47.8	1.17%	0	2	54	0
15	Feb_12_2015	49.06	50.91	50.87	51.36			52.65(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	15	-10000	10	28	2.97	60%	0.1	32.7	1.17%	0	2.1	53	0

16	Feb_11_2015	49.01	50.76	50.64	51.07			51.92(0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	6	-10000	8	-2	2.87	58%	0.1	24.7	1.16%	0	1.5	47	0
17	Feb_10_2015	48.96	50.66	50.47	50.82			51.62(3.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	0	-10000	9	-27	3.68	58%	0.08	21.6	1.16%	0	1.3	49	0
18	Feb_9_2015	48.92	50.58	50.36	50.56			49.98(-1.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.8	-10	-10000	3	-49	2.91	53%	0.02	11.8	1.09%	0	-0.8	45	0
19	Feb_6_2015	48.91	50.63	50.53	50.49			50.64(-1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	-10000	8	-40	2.55	56%	0.04	7	1.08%	0	0	53	0
20	Feb_5_2015	48.89	50.64	50.63	50.27			51.19(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-7	-10000	4	-38	2.52	56%	0.06	-3.5	1.07%	0	0.8	60	0

21	Feb_4_2015	48.86	50.57	50.69	50.15			50.68(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-4	-10000	3	-24	3.83	56%	0.06	-18.8	1.06%	0	0.2	59	0
22	Feb_3_2015	48.83	50.57	50.77	50.07			50.33(1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-6	-10000	-3	-15	3.03	56%	0.08	-35.4	1.06%	0	-0.2	55	0
23	Feb_2_2015	48.79	50.49	50.83	50.16			49.62(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-14	-10000	-16	-9	6.88	53%	0.04	-42.4	1.05%	0	-1.1	48	0
24	Jan_30_2015	48.77	50.57	50.92	50.59			49.53(-2.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-9	-10000	-16	14	3.59	59%	0.02	-33.3	1.05%	0	-1.3	41	0
25	Jan_29_2015	48.76	50.66	50.99	51.03			50.59(0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	1	-10000	-10	34	3.02	64%		-21.7	1.09%	0	-0.1	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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