Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sun. Feb. 8, 2015

Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 10, 2014 - Thu. Jun. 27, 2024)

(Semiconductor sector etf)
SMH latest price $50.6446 (-1.06%) ($50.5319 - $51.5087) on Sun. Feb. 8, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.08% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $50.6446(-1.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SMH advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SMH declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SMH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting SMH price   SMH will decline at least -0.54% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.54% (StdDev 1.08%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $50.49(0.31%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.53(0.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50.63(0.03%)
To recent high   -3.5%
To recent low   5.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SMH price fluctuates within 1.42% (three month std-dev: 1.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150308

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_6_2015	48.91	50.63	50.53	50.49			50.64(-1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	-10000	8	-40	2.55	56%	0.04	7	1.08%	0	0	53	0
2	Feb_5_2015	48.89	50.64	50.63	50.27			51.19(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-7	-10000	4	-38	2.52	56%	0.06	-3.5	1.07%	0	0.8	60	0
3	Feb_4_2015	48.86	50.57	50.69	50.15			50.68(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-4	-10000	3	-24	3.83	56%	0.06	-18.8	1.06%	0	0.2	59	0
4	Feb_3_2015	48.83	50.57	50.77	50.07			50.33(1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-6	-10000	-3	-15	3.03	56%	0.08	-35.4	1.06%	0	-0.2	55	0
5	Feb_2_2015	48.79	50.49	50.83	50.16			49.62(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-14	-10000	-16	-9	6.88	53%	0.04	-42.4	1.05%	0	-1.1	48	0

6	Jan_30_2015	48.77	50.57	50.92	50.59			49.53(-2.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-9	-10000	-16	14	3.59	59%	0.02	-33.3	1.05%	0	-1.3	41	0
7	Jan_29_2015	48.76	50.66	50.99	51.03			50.59(0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	1	-10000	-10	34	3.02	64%	0.06	-21.7	1.09%	0	-0.1	47	0
8	Jan_28_2015	48.73	50.71	50.92	51.31			50.31(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	6	-10000	-9	52	3.51	64%	0.04	-14.1	1.09%	0	-0.5	57	0
9	Jan_27_2015	48.71	50.78	50.9	51.56			50.74(-2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	20	-10000	-1	81	5.01	66%	0.04	-1.9	1.08%	0	-0	65	0
10	Jan_26_2015	48.69	50.83	50.85	51.58			51.77(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	-10000	10	89	1.8	72%	0.08	2.4	1.06%	0	1.1	60	0

11	Jan_23_2015	48.65	50.84	50.74	51.3			51.76(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	-10000	13	70	1.87	72%	0.06	1.2	1.07%	0	1.1	52	0
12	Jan_22_2015	48.62	50.83	50.65	50.95			51.99(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	25	-10000	17	47	3.05	72%	0.08	1.8	1.07%	0	1.4	52	0
13	Jan_21_2015	48.58	50.82	50.41	50.49			51.53(1.29%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.2	9	-10000	12	-1	2.69	75%	0.08	-1.8	1.08%	0	0.8	48	0
14	Jan_20_2015	48.54	50.8	50.17	50.16			50.87(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-9	-10000	5	-49	2.55	74%	0.06	-8.2	1.13%	0	0.1	42	0
15	Jan_16_2015	48.51	50.82	50.1	50.02			50.37(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-22	-10000	-3	-78	3.65	76%	0.06	-10.7	1.12%	0	-0.5	37	0

16	Jan_15_2015	48.48	50.83	50.16	50.11			49.97(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-26	-10000	-7	-82	3.89	76%	0.06	-10.2	1.15%	0	-1	33	0
17	Jan_14_2015	48.45	50.81	50.29	50.3			49.7(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-19	-10000	-0	-75	3.73	77%	0.04	-15.6	1.15%	0	-1.3	32	0
18	Jan_13_2015	48.43	50.84	50.47	50.31			49.88(-0.56%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-16	-10000	5	-77	3.52	74%	0.06	-24.3	1.17%	0	-1.1	33	0
19	Jan_12_2015	48.4	50.87	50.66	50.15			50.17(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-22	-10000	-1	-83	3.12	74%	0.04	-40.1	1.19%	0	-0.8	44	0
20	Jan_9_2015	48.38	50.87	50.83	50.17			50.81(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-18	-10000	-2	-64	1.67	60%	0.08	-45.1	1.45%	0	-0.1	46	0

21	Jan_8_2015	48.34	50.92	50.94	50.24			50.96(2.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-14	-10000	-2	-50	3.08	62%	0.08	-48.6	1.49%	0	0	55	0
22	Jan_7_2015	48.3	50.95	51.02	50.31			49.72(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-10000	-10	-34	4.02	56%	0.04	-47.4	1.48%	0	-1.4	56	0
23	Jan_6_2015	48.28	51.06	51.26	50.67			49.09(-2.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-12	-10000	-14	-6	6.07	56%	0.06	-33.9	1.5%	0	-2.3	48	0
24	Jan_5_2015	48.25	51.23	51.5	51.22			50.27(-1.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	0	-10000	-9	28	2.8	60%	0.08	-13.9	1.46%	0	-1.3	52	0
25	Jan_2_2015	48.21	51.32	51.62	51.56			51.18(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	8	-10000	-5	48	1.81	63%		3.4	1.45%	0	-0.2	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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