Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ SMH: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Sep. 2, 2014

Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 10, 2014 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(Semiconductor sector etf)
SMH latest price $47.9746 (-0.02%) ($47.8075 - $48.2346) on Tue. Sep. 2, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.83% (three month average)
RSI   94
Latest Price   $47.9746(-0.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SMH advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SMH advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SMH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(75%)    XLK(72%)    SPY(70%)    VT(68%)    IWM(63%)
Factors Impacting SMH price   SMH will decline at least -0.415% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    TLT(-12%)    UUP(-9%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.415% (StdDev 0.83%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $47.67(0.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.51(0.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.6(2.95%)
To recent high   -0%
To recent low   10.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SMH price fluctuates within 2.34% (three month std-dev: 0.83%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141002

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_2_2014	44.63	46.6	47.51	47.67			47.97(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	-10000	6	118	1.31	53%	0.22	50	0.83%	0	1.3	94	0
2	Aug_29_2014	44.53	46.48	47.38	47.55			47.98(0.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	36	-10000	5	127	2.73	53%	0.16	49.6	0.83%	0	1.4	93	0
3	Aug_28_2014	44.46	46.34	47.23	47.45			47.61(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	37	-10000	1	145	0.31	53%	0.11	48.6	0.82%	0	1.3	94	0
4	Aug_27_2014	44.41	46.22	47.09	47.42			47.45(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	44	-10000	2	168	1.31	55%	0.14	44.8	0.82%	0	1.3	94	0
5	Aug_26_2014	44.35	46.15	46.95	47.38			47.35(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	47	-10000	4	177	1.81	55%	0.11	44.1	0.84%	0	1.3	80	0

6	Aug_25_2014	44.3	46.06	46.76	47.31			47.34(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	51	-10000	7	184	1.03	55%	0.14	34.7	0.84%	0	1.4	81	0
7	Aug_22_2014	44.24	45.96	46.57	47.18			47.52(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	51	-10000	10	175	0.95	55%	0.11	24.6	0.84%	0	1.9	68	0
8	Aug_21_2014	44.19	45.86	46.32	46.98			47.45(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	50	-10000	14	156	1.35	55%	0.11	11.9	0.84%	0	2.1	69	0
9	Aug_20_2014	44.14	45.79	46.04	46.71			47.25(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	41	-10000	13	125	1.59	55%	0.09	3.9	0.85%	0	2.1	69	0
10	Aug_19_2014	44.1	45.74	45.82	46.45			46.99(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	35	-10000	16	92	0.82	55%	0.11	-12.7	0.85%	0	1.7	55	0

11	Aug_18_2014	44.05	45.75	45.61	46.13			46.69(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	24	-10000	13	55	1.71	55%	0.11	-21.7	0.85%	0	1.3	59	0
12	Aug_15_2014	44	45.75	45.48	45.87			46.49(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	-10000	16	36	4.28	55%	0.11	-31.3	0.85%	0	1	57	0
13	Aug_14_2014	43.95	45.76	45.37	45.57			46.11(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	-10000	15	7	1.76	55%	0.11	-43.1	0.86%	0	0.5	54	0
14	Aug_13_2014	43.9	45.77	45.27	45.27			45.95(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-3	-10000	8	-37	2.64	55%	0.09	-52.5	0.87%	0	0.2	44	0
15	Aug_12_2014	43.86	45.83	45.28	45.11			45.39(-0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-10	-10000	6	-57	1.44	56%	0.09	-53.6	0.87%	0	-0.5	38	0

16	Aug_11_2014	43.82	45.91	45.29	45			45.43(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-25	-10000	-2	-94	2.1	56%	0.09	-55.1	0.89%	0	-0.6	32	0
17	Aug_8_2014	43.78	45.99	45.3	45.04			44.97(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-33	-10000	-5	-115	1.2	54%	0.05	-52.9	0.88%	0	-1.2	33	0
18	Aug_7_2014	43.76	46.08	45.36	45.14			44.62(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-37	-10000	-7	-127	2.69	54%	0.09	-54.9	0.88%	0	-1.7	32	0
19	Aug_6_2014	43.72	46.2	45.54	45.27			45.12(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-37	-10000	-10	-119	2.69	57%	0.07	-55	0.87%	0	-1.4	41	0
20	Aug_5_2014	43.69	46.29	45.67	45.47			44.87(-1.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-34	-10000	-7	-116	2.84	57%	0.09	-50	0.87%	0	-1.9	32	0

21	Aug_4_2014	43.65	46.39	45.92	45.6			45.63(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-25	-10000	0	-101	1.6	61%	0.14	-44.9	0.84%	0	-1.1	41	0
22	Aug_1_2014	43.59	46.45	46.06	45.59			45.43(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-27	-10000	-1	-105	3.1	61%	0.09	-38.2	0.84%	0	-1.5	38	0
23	Jul_31_2014	43.55	46.55	46.2	45.61			45.27(-1.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-36	-10000	-12	-108	3.36	61%	0.09	-26.3	0.84%	0	-2	40	0
24	Jul_30_2014	43.51	46.63	46.31	45.85			46.15(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-28	-10000	-4	-99	3.84	67%	0.12	-9.8	0.81%	0	-0.8	44	0
25	Jul_29_2014	43.46	46.66	46.43	45.92			45.53(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-39	-10000	-21	-93	3.01	65%		4.2	0.8%	0	-2	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.