Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 21, 2014

Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 10, 2014 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(Semiconductor sector etf)
SMH latest price $47.0275 (0.4%) ($46.7304 - $47.0740) on Mon. Jul. 21, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.82% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $47.0275(0.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   SMH advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SMH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(75%)    XLK(72%)    SPY(70%)    VT(68%)    IWM(63%)
Factors Impacting SMH price   SMH will decline at least -0.41% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    TLT(-12%)    UUP(-9%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.41% (StdDev 0.82%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $46.91(0.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.89(0.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.55(1.03%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   14.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SMH price fluctuates within 1.35% (three month std-dev: 0.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140821

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_21_2014	43.14	46.55	46.89	46.91			47.03(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	3	-10000	-0	12	0.82	66%	0.16	47.4	0.82%	0	0.8	63	0
2	Jul_18_2014	43.07	46.49	46.87	46.92			46.84(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	8	-10000	0	32	1.91	66%	0.16	50	0.82%	0	0.5	64	0
3	Jul_17_2014	43	46.44	46.92	46.91			46.29(-2.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	9	-10000	-6	55	3.51	66%	0.12	58.7	0.82%	0	-0.2	62	0
4	Jul_16_2014	42.95	46.41	46.98	47.02			47.46(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	-10000	7	95	2.07	77%	0.19	69	0.76%	0	1.6	73	0
5	Jul_15_2014	42.87	46.32	46.9	46.9			46.94(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	-10000	3	105	1.99	76%	0.16	75	0.75%	0	1	73	0

6	Jul_14_2014	42.8	46.25	46.81	46.85			47.06(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	-10000	1	107	1.97	76%	0.16	82.4	0.75%	0	1.3	68	0
7	Jul_11_2014	42.73	46.17	46.67	46.83			46.78(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	21	-10000	-6	101	1.02	68%	0.14	91	0.75%	0	1	63	0
8	Jul_10_2014	42.67	46.07	46.55	46.93			46.88(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	28	-10000	1	107	2.22	56%	0.16	91.2	0.78%	0	1.2	64	0
9	Jul_9_2014	42.6	45.96	46.44	46.92			46.85(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	-10000	1	97	1.12	59%	0.16	93.5	0.88%	0	1.3	66	0
10	Jul_8_2014	42.53	45.85	46.29	46.89			46.7(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	28	-10000	7	92	1.89	62%	0.09	96.2	0.89%	0	1.2	63	0

11	Jul_7_2014	42.49	45.74	46.19	46.74			46.93(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	-10000	12	85	1.32	62%	0.24	95.7	0.9%	0	1.6	69	0
12	Jul_3_2014	42.39	45.61	46.07	46.48			47.29(0.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	30	-10000	17	69	0.76	55%	0.19	89.1	0.95%	0	2.1	77	0
13	Jul_2_2014	42.31	45.45	45.92	46.11			46.83(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	22	-10000	11	55	2.39	53%	0.19	88.6	0.94%	0	1.8	80	0
14	Jul_1_2014	42.23	45.31	45.79	45.88			46.69(1.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	22	-10000	12	50	2.19	56%	0.19	88	0.95%	0	1.8	77	0
15	Jun_30_2014	42.15	45.16	45.68	45.62			45.95(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	-10000	2	40	1.06	56%	0.09	81.5	0.96%	0	1	73	0

16	Jun_27_2014	42.11	45.03	45.64	45.57			45.62(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	11	-10000	-2	49	1.05	56%	0.1	78.5	0.96%	0	0.7	73	0
17	Jun_26_2014	42.07	44.91	45.62	45.61			45.47(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	-10000	-3	66	1.18	54%	0.07	79.9	0.96%	0	0.6	73	0
18	Jun_25_2014	42.04	44.79	45.55	45.61			45.69(0.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	20	-10000	0	80	1.48	56%	0.1	83.4	0.97%	0	0.9	80	0
19	Jun_24_2014	42	44.66	45.46	45.68			45.38(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	21	-10000	-3	91	2.63	56%	0.1	86	0.97%	0	0.7	80	0
20	Jun_23_2014	41.96	44.53	45.4	45.75			45.68(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	-10000	1	112	0.62	56%	0.1	94.1	0.97%	0	1.1	88	0

21	Jun_20_2014	41.92	44.37	45.28	45.72			45.83(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	35	-10000	4	127	1.66	57%	0.1	92.5	0.98%	0	1.3	94	0
22	Jun_19_2014	41.88	44.18	45.13	45.63			45.83(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	43	-10000	11	140	1.56	57%	0.1	90.2	1%	0	1.4	95	0
23	Jun_18_2014	41.84	43.97	44.96	45.39			45.66(-0.18%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.2	41	-10000	8	139	2.57	58%	0.12	84	1%	0	1.4	95	0
24	Jun_17_2014	41.79	43.77	44.79	45.21			45.75(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	43	-10000	10	142	1.12	60%	0.1	77.4	1%	0	1.6	97	0
25	Jun_16_2014	41.75	43.57	44.6	44.99			45.55(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	42	-10000	10	139	0.91	60%		73.2	1.01%	0	1.6	97	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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