Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ SMH: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. May. 15, 2014

Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 10, 2014 - Tue. Jun. 11, 2024)

(Semiconductor sector etf)
SMH latest price $41.0481 (-0.99%) ($40.7974 - $41.4752) on Thu. May. 15, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.04% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $41.0481(-0.99%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SMH declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SMH advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SMH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(75%)    XLK(72%)    SPY(70%)    VT(68%)    IWM(63%)
Factors Impacting SMH price   SMH will decline at least -0.52% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-13%)    UUP(-9%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-4%)    GDXJ(-0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.52% (StdDev 1.04%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

Resistance Level   $41.58
5 Day Moving Average   $41.57(-1.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.45(-0.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.58(-1.28%)
To recent high   -4.5%
To recent low   2.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SMH price fluctuates within 1.11% (three month std-dev: 1.04%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140615

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_15_2014	41.23	41.58	41.45	41.57			41.05(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	1	-10000	-5	19	1.06	55%	-0.02	15.3	1.04%	0	-1.2	49	0
2	May_14_2014	41.24	41.58	41.45	41.68			41.46(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	4	-10000	1	14	0.51	56%	0.02	10.4	1.04%	0	-0.3	35	0
3	May_13_2014	41.23	41.61	41.47	41.65			41.8(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	6	-10000	6	4	0.69	57%	0.02	1.9	1.04%	0	0.4	43	0
4	May_12_2014	41.22	41.58	41.42	41.53			42.11(1.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	1	-10000	8	-19	0.92	58%	0.02	-10.2	1.04%	0	1.2	44	0
5	May_9_2014	41.21	41.58	41.31	41.36			41.42(-0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	-10000	2	-49	1.36	58%	0	-30.1	1.02%	0	-0.2	40	0

6	May_8_2014	41.21	41.51	41.29	41.32			41.61(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-12	-10000	4	-60	1.77	58%	0.02	-46	1.03%	0	0.2	46	0
7	May_7_2014	41.2	41.56	41.37	41.23			41.34(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-14	-10000	-1	-54	2.34	58%	0	-46.9	1.03%	0	-0.4	51	0
8	May_6_2014	41.2	41.6	41.46	41.26			41.18(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	-10000	-1	-43	1.24	58%	0	-51.5	1.04%	0	-0.8	48	0
9	May_5_2014	41.2	41.62	41.58	41.28			41.24(0.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-6	-10000	1	-25	1.07	58%	0	-58.3	1.05%	0	-0.7	53	0
10	May_2_2014	41.2	41.65	41.66	41.28			41.23(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-3	-10000	0	-12	1.06	58%	0	-59.1	1.06%	0	-0.8	58	0

11	May_1_2014	41.2	41.73	41.73	41.26			41.17(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-13	-10000	-13	-11	1.52	58%	0	-42.4	1.07%	0	-1	49	0
12	Apr_30_2014	41.2	41.81	41.73	41.54			41.48(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-6	-10000	-7	-3	1.15	58%	0.02	-19.2	1.07%	0	-0.5	39	0
13	Apr_29_2014	41.19	41.88	41.73	41.7			41.3(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-8	-10000	-10	-2	1.04	58%	0	-4.5	1.08%	0	-0.9	43	0
14	Apr_28_2014	41.19	41.93	41.76	41.92			41.12(-0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-4	-10000	-9	10	3.13	58%	0	10.5	1.09%	0	-1.3	48	0
15	Apr_25_2014	41.19	41.97	41.75	42.12			41.23(-3.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-1	-10000	-6	14	2.29	58%	0	19.6	1.1%	0	-1.2	47	0

16	Apr_24_2014	41.19	41.98	41.78	42.25			42.58(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	-10000	12	14	1.83	63%	0.07	20.7	1.01%	0	1	46	0
17	Apr_23_2014	41.16	41.93	41.77	42			42.26(-0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	-10000	8	-7	1.14	63%	0.05	10.5	1.01%	0	0.5	45	0
18	Apr_22_2014	41.14	41.91	41.75	41.84			42.4(0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	2	-10000	12	-29	1.39	63%	0.05	7	1.02%	0	0.8	44	0
19	Apr_21_2014	41.12	41.87	41.66	41.59			42.11(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-6	-10000	12	-58	1.58	63%	0.05	0	1.03%	0	0.4	48	0
20	Apr_17_2014	41.1	41.84	41.62	41.33			41.87(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-17	-10000	4	-80	2.72	63%	0.05	-3.6	1.04%	0	0.1	53	0

21	Apr_16_2014	41.08	41.84	41.71	41.24			41.36(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-28	-10000	-12	-76	3.57	62%	0.02	1.4	1.04%	0	-0.8	52	0
22	Apr_15_2014	41.07	41.86	41.84	41.5			41.46(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	-10000	-7	-40	2.49	62%	0.02	13.7	1.05%	0	-0.7	51	0
23	Apr_14_2014	41.06	41.86	41.99	41.65			41.17(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-7	-10000	-4	-16	1.53	62%	0	23.3	1.06%	0	-1.1	46	0
24	Apr_11_2014	41.06	41.86	42.11	41.73			40.81(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-7	-10000	-9	-2	2.43	62%	-0.02	23.9	1.06%	0	-1.6	47	0
25	Apr_10_2014	41.07	41.87	42.22	41.93			41.4(-3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-8	-10000	-14	10	3.1	64%		27.7	1.05%	0	-0.7	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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