Trading Signals: SLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. May. 4, 2015

Trading Signals: SLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares Silver Trust)
SLV latest price $15.7000 (1.49%) ($15.6700 - $15.9500) on Mon. May. 4, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.5% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $15.7000(1.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SLV advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SLV advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SLV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(78%)    SIL(74%)    GDX(67%)    BWX(40%)    PCY(32%)
Factors Impacting SLV price   SLV will decline at least -0.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-18%)    TBT(-11%)    VIXM(-9%)    UNG(2%)    JETS(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.75% (StdDev 1.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $15.66(0.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $15.47(1.49%)
20 Day Moving Average   $15.55(0.96%)
To recent high   -5.6%
To recent low   5.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SLV price fluctuates within 1.93% (three month std-dev: 1.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150604

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_4_2015	15.82	15.55	15.47	15.66			15.7(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	-10000	1	24	6.92	48%	0	-31.1	1.5%	0	0.5	53	0
2	May_1_2015	15.82	15.57	15.43	15.65			15.47(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.6	10	-10000	7	18	4.88	48%	-0.06	-30.2	1.47%	0	-0.3	47	0
3	Apr_30_2015	15.83	15.6	15.44	15.57			15.43(-2.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	3	-10000	4	-0	11.33	48%	-0.06	-41	1.48%	0	-0.5	43	0
4	Apr_29_2015	15.84	15.63	15.45	15.52			15.81(-0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	9	-10000	12	-2	6.74	44%	-0.06	-42.2	1.47%	0	0.5	56	0
5	Apr_28_2015	15.85	15.63	15.43	15.38			15.87(1.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	1	-10000	9	-25	7.71	44%	0	-57.1	1.64%	0	0.7	49	0

6	Apr_27_2015	15.85	15.64	15.39	15.27			15.66(3.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-9	-10000	6	-55	11.18	44%	0	-70.1	1.63%	0	0.1	39	0
7	Apr_24_2015	15.85	15.67	15.37	15.2			15.06(-0.99%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-28	-10000	-8	-89	6.12	38%	0	-69.9	1.56%	0	-1.6	23	0
8	Apr_23_2015	15.85	15.73	15.45	15.3			15.21(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-10000	-6	-81	4.91	38%	-0.06	-53.2	1.57%	0	-1.4	33	0
9	Apr_22_2015	15.86	15.78	15.48	15.37			15.11(-1.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-29	-10000	-8	-90	6.21	38%	-0.06	-39	1.56%	0	-1.9	28	0
10	Apr_21_2015	15.87	15.84	15.55	15.47			15.32(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-22	-10000	-3	-78	3.32	38%	0	-15.3	1.57%	0	-1.5	39	0

11	Apr_20_2015	15.87	15.89	15.63	15.51			15.29(-1.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-22	-10000	-5	-71	6.08	38%	0	5	1.58%	0	-1.9	38	0
12	Apr_17_2015	15.87	15.89	15.73	15.57			15.56(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-19	-10000	-4	-63	3.61	40%	0	29.1	1.57%	0	-1.3	37	0
13	Apr_16_2015	15.87	15.93	15.77	15.62			15.57(-0.38%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-14	-10000	2	-61	5.13	48%	0	40.4	1.59%	0	-1.2	36	0
14	Apr_15_2015	15.87	15.92	15.83	15.6			15.63(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-18	-10000	-3	-61	3.59	48%	-0.06	44.3	1.71%	0	-0.9	38	0
15	Apr_14_2015	15.88	15.89	15.87	15.64			15.51(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-25	-10000	-10	-68	4.08	48%	0	39.3	1.71%	0	-1	35	0

16	Apr_13_2015	15.88	15.87	15.92	15.77			15.6(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-22	-10000	-10	-59	3.81	51%	0	43.4	1.71%	0	-0.6	36	0
17	Apr_10_2015	15.88	15.85	15.98	15.9			15.77(1.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-12	-10000	-4	-37	6.34	51%	0	44.4	1.73%	0	-0.2	47	0
18	Apr_9_2015	15.88	15.81	16.03	15.95			15.51(-1.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-13	-10000	-11	-18	8.65	51%	0	39	1.73%	0	-0.6	55	0
19	Apr_8_2015	15.88	15.78	16.11	16.1			15.81(-2.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	4	-10000	-1	20	6.87	54%	0	38.7	1.72%	0	0.1	62	0
20	Apr_7_2015	15.88	15.75	16.16	16.12			16.15(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	-10000	2	53	3.09	57%	0.06	34.3	1.7%	0	0.7	76	0

21	Apr_6_2015	15.87	15.69	16.17	16.09			16.27(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-10000	1	76	5.95	59%	0.13	28.1	1.7%	0	1	75	0
22	Apr_2_2015	15.85	15.64	16.15	16.08			16.02(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	21	-10000	-4	96	5.72	62%	0.06	23.6	1.72%	0	0.7	75	0
23	Apr_1_2015	15.84	15.61	16.1	16.08			16.23(1.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	30	-10000	0	119	6.48	62%	0.06	24.4	1.72%	0	1.1	79	0
24	Mar_31_2015	15.83	15.57	16.02	16.13			15.93(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	29	-10000	-5	132	5.29	55%	0.06	22.6	1.71%	0	0.7	78	0
25	Mar_30_2015	15.82	15.55	15.92	16.2			15.98(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	31	-10000	-5	138	6.81	58%		27.2	1.77%	0	0.8	72	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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