Trading Signals: SKT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 12, 2016

Trading Signals: SKT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Feb. 25, 2016 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Tanger Factory Outlet Centers)
SKT latest price $36.7100 (1.63%) ($36.1200 - $36.7500) on Tue. Apr. 12, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.02% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $36.7100(1.63%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SKT advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SKT advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SKT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPLV(23%)    XLRE(21%)    EEM(20%)    INDA(20%)    IVE(20%)
Factors Impacting SKT price   SKT will decline at least -0.51% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    UUP(-6%)    DIA(-5%)    TLT(-4%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.51% (StdDev 1.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.3(1.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.32(1.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.92(2.2%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   14.4%
Market Cap   $28.808b

$. SKT price fluctuates within 1.5% (three month std-dev: 1.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 20 Average positive next day return: 0.6%(55%) Average negative next day return: -1.06%(45%) Sample size 20 Average positive next three day return: 1.6%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -1.34%(60%) Sample size 20 Average positive next weekly return: 1.65%(55%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.08%(45%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160512

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_12_2016	35	35.92	36.32	36.3	36.29	36.34	36.71(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	27	10	11	75	1.11	76%	0.17	89.3	1.02%	0	1.5	68	0
2	Apr_11_2016	34.94	35.83	36.26	36.2	36.25	36.25	36.12(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	17	0	-2	73	0.71	74%	0.09	88.3	1.01%	0	0.5	62	0
3	Apr_8_2016	34.91	35.76	36.19	36.25	36.24	36.25	36.2(0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-0	-8	66	0.67	74%	0.14	92.7	1.02%	0	0.7	53	0
4	Apr_7_2016	34.86	35.67	36.09	36.35	36.31	36.25	36.05(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	12	-20	-5	64	0.69	74%	0.11	88.8	1.04%	0	0.6	50	0
5	Apr_6_2016	34.82	35.57	36	36.42	36.37	36.24	36.44(0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	17	-30	-1	70	0.41	79%	0.14	85.3	1.02%	0	1.2	63	0

6	Apr_5_2016	34.77	35.44	35.89	36.34	36.35	36.37	36.18(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	0	-5	67	0.48	79%	0.17	84.1	1.04%	0	0.9	66	0
7	Apr_4_2016	34.71	35.34	35.82	36.33	36.34	36.49	36.39(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	30	26	88	0.52	79%	0.17	94	1.04%	0	1.3	69	0
8	Apr_1_2016	34.65	35.22	35.76	36.1	36.13	36.33	36.71(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	48	40	33	91	0.82	79%	0.23	95.3	1.03%	0	1.8	75	0
9	Mar_31_2016	34.57	35.08	35.68	35.79	35.81	36.18	36.39(0.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	49	70	35	90	0.76	79%	0.23	96.1	1.05%	0	1.6	77	0
10	Mar_30_2016	34.49	34.94	35.58	35.53	35.51	35.92	36.04(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	49	80	36	88	0.37	79%	0.2	0	1.07%	0	1.4	77	0

11	Mar_29_2016	34.42	34.79	35.47	35.39	35.28	35.44	36.11(2.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	42	20	26	88	0.45	79%	0.2	0	1.08%	0	1.5	79	0
12	Mar_28_2016	34.35	34.59	35.34	35.24	35.18	35.1	35.26(0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	10	-20	-12	77	0.28	75%	0.15	0	1.02%	0	0.7	67	0
13	Mar_24_2016	34.3	34.45	35.3	35.38	35.3	35.12	35.13(0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-40	-23	98	0.29	75%	0.12	0	1.04%	0	0.6	68	0
14	Mar_23_2016	34.26	34.33	35.21	35.56	35.52	35.26	35.1(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	18	-50	-17	121	0.47	75%	0.12	0	1.07%	0	0.7	69	0
15	Mar_22_2016	34.22	34.33	35.12	35.62	35.63	35.48	35.33(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-9	-30	-10	-4	0.53	75%	0.2	0	1.07%	0	30.7	75	0

16	Mar_21_2016	34.15	34.33	34.98	35.55	35.59	35.48	35.4(-1.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	9	40	11	4	0.51	75%	0.21	0	1.09%	0	30.8	82	0
17	Mar_18_2016	34.08	34.33	34.86	35.44	35.38	35.79	35.95(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	37	80	43	17	1.37	86%	0.35	0	0.99%	0	31.5	93	0
18	Mar_17_2016	33.96	34.33	34.65	35.19	35.07	35.4	36.01(1.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	43	60	50	20	0.67	86%	0.38	0	1%	0	33.7	88	0
19	Mar_16_2016	33.83	34.33	34.43	34.83	34.81	34.96	35.42(1.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	30	30	35	14	0.49	83%	0.36	0	1%	0	36.9	81	0
20	Mar_15_2016	33.71	34.33	34.24	34.55	34.55	34.74	34.95(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	40	24	10	0.31	80%	0.27	0	1.01%	0	39.3	50	0

21	Mar_14_2016	33.62	34.33	34.04	34.33	34.33	34.65	34.85(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	70	26	10	0.64	80%	0.3	0	1.05%	0	41	50	0
22	Mar_11_2016	33.52	34.33	33.77	34.19	34.16	34.36	34.74(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	24	40	28	11	0.6	80%	0.33	0	1.1%	0	42.9	50	0
23	Mar_10_2016	33.41	34.33	33.53	34.03	34	34.02	34.18(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	7	0	8	3	0.65	75%	0.24	0	1.1%	0	45.6	50	0
24	Mar_9_2016	33.33	34.33	33.37	33.97	33.94	33.95	34.02(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	4	-0	4	2	0.78	75%	0.24	0	1.16%	0	46	50	0
25	Mar_8_2016	33.25	34.33	33.37	33.89	33.88	33.99	33.85(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	20	17	7	0.48	75%		0	1.23%	0	45.1	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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