Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Mar. 20, 2020

Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF)
SHY latest price $86.5300 (0.24%) ($86.3800 - $86.6300) on Fri. Mar. 20, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.14% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $86.5300(0.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SHY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SHY advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SHY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
BNDX(49%)    LQD(48%)    BWX(45%)    GLD(35%)    BND(33%)
Factors Impacting SHY price   SHY will decline at least -0.07% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-27%)    UUP(-19%)    OIH(-10%)    VIXM(-4%)    VXX(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.07% (StdDev 0.14%)
Hourly BBV 1.2 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $86.34(0.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $86.32(0.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $86.01(0.6%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   2.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SHY price fluctuates within 0.53% (three month std-dev: 0.14%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200420

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_20_2020	85.01	86.01	86.32	86.34	86.39	86.45	86.53(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	70	10	54	116	10.72	71%	0.02	75.5	0.14%	1.2	1.1	72	-1.5
2	Mar_19_2020	84.99	85.94	86.29	86.29	86.38	86.45	86.33(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	36	-0	10	115	12.9	67%	0.02	68.4	0.13%	0.1	0.8	64	-1.7
3	Mar_18_2020	84.97	85.88	86.26	86.29	86.38	86.33	86.21(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	0	-38	123	11.91	66%	0.01	65.6	0.13%	-1.9	0.6	68	-2.4
4	Mar_17_2020	84.96	85.81	86.24	86.29	86.35	86.43	86.21(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	69	10	30	187	10.49	66%	0.02	63.5	0.13%	-1.1	0.7	70	-2.2
5	Mar_16_2020	84.94	85.75	86.22	86.27	86.32	86.37	86.44(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	90	10	45	226	12.12	71%	0.02	65.1	0.13%	1	1.3	76	-2.7

6	Mar_13_2020	84.92	85.67	86.13	86.3	86.27	86.27	86.28(0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	49	-0	-15	239	9.54	70%	0.01	66.7	0.13%	-0.1	1.1	76	-1.9
7	Mar_12_2020	84.91	85.6	86.08	86.28	86.33	86.28	86.2(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	82	-0	15	283	12.42	69%	0.02	67.2	0.13%	-0.9	1.1	77	-2.6
8	Mar_11_2020	84.89	85.54	86.01	86.26	86.31	86.26	86.22(0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	51	-0	-28	289	7.87	69%	0.01	67.2	0.13%	-1.1	1.2	78	-2.2
9	Mar_10_2020	84.88	85.47	85.92	86.21	86.27	86.38	86.21(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	101	10	28	320	11.97	69%	0.02	65.1	0.13%	-0.9	1.4	79	-2
10	Mar_9_2020	84.86	85.4	85.83	86.15	86.21	86.37	86.61(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	250	20	185	445	44.42	79%	0.01	65.6	0.11%	1.9	2.3	91	-2.7

11	Mar_6_2020	84.85	85.31	85.68	85.94	86.04	86.16	86.2(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	186	10	114	400	4.38	75%	0.02	60.4	0.1%	0.9	2	90	-2.3
12	Mar_5_2020	84.83	85.24	85.56	85.85	85.91	86.05	86.09(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	190	10	125	386	3.8	74%	0.01	58.3	0.1%	0.9	2.1	89	-2.1
13	Mar_4_2020	84.82	85.17	85.45	85.72	85.81	85.92	85.96(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	203	10	150	360	5.71	73%	0.01	54.8	0.1%	0.8	2.2	89	-1.6
14	Mar_3_2020	84.81	85.12	85.35	85.59	85.66	85.77	85.91(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	159	10	111	302	7.23	74%	0.02	50	0.1%	1.9	2.5	86	-2.3
15	Mar_2_2020	84.79	85.07	85.24	85.45	85.53	85.69	85.57(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	194	20	151	323	15.03	65%	0.01	48.4	0.08%	0	1.9	78	-1.9

16	Feb_28_2020	84.78	85.04	85.18	85.37	85.42	85.55	85.73(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	233	10	205	315	8.94	69%	0	51.9	0.08%	1.6	3	89	-2.8
17	Feb_27_2020	84.78	85	85.09	85.24	85.29	85.36	85.43(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	169	10	141	254	6.01	64%	0.01	50	0.07%	0.2	2.5	87	-3.1
18	Feb_26_2020	84.77	84.98	85.03	85.14	85.19	85.27	85.3(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	116	10	93	183	3.69	61%	0	50	0.07%	0.2	2.3	85	-2.4
19	Feb_25_2020	84.77	84.96	84.98	85.07	85.11	85.22	85.25(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	147	10	140	167	3.03	61%	0.01	53.8	0.07%	1	2.6	76	-3.2
20	Feb_24_2020	84.76	84.94	84.95	85	85.02	85.11	85.18(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	120	10	121	117	2.73	60%	0	54.5	0.07%	0.2	2.7	64	-3.1

21	Feb_21_2020	84.76	84.92	84.92	84.95	84.96	85	85.04(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	70	0	77	48	1.8	56%	0	62.5	0.07%	0.2	1.7	42	-0.8
22	Feb_20_2020	84.76	84.92	84.89	84.91	84.93	84.93	84.97(0.06%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	18	0	26	-7	2.05	53%	0	50	0.07%	0.2	0.9	47	0.4
23	Feb_19_2020	84.76	84.91	84.88	84.89	84.9	84.93	84.91(-0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-5	0	7	-40	1.42	53%	0	50	0.07%	-0.5	0	45	1
24	Feb_18_2020	84.76	84.9	84.87	84.89	84.89	84.92	84.93(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	13	0	30	-39	1.67	53%	0	44.4	0.07%	0.8	0.4	51	0.8
25	Feb_14_2020	84.76	84.89	84.88	84.88	84.87	84.89	84.9(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-1	0	17	-53	1.56	56%		45.5	0.07%	0.2	0.1	47	0.9
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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