Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Mar. 23, 2012

Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF)
SHY latest price $84.2700 (0.01%) ($84.2700 - $84.2900) on Fri. Mar. 23, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.04% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $84.2700(0.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   SHY declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SHY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(40%)    TLT(34%)    IGOV(19%)    LQD(17%)    GLD(16%)
Factors Impacting SHY price   SHY will decline at least -0.02% in a week (0% probabilities).
XOP(-8%)    QQQ(-8%)    USO(-7%)    SPY(-7%)    IWM(-7%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.02% (StdDev 0.04%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

Resistance Level   $84.31
5 Day Moving Average   $84.24(0.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $84.25(0.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $84.31(-0.05%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   0.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SHY price fluctuates within 0.08% (three month std-dev: 0.04%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120423

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_23_2012	84.46	84.31	84.25				84.27(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-26	-10000	0	-105	0.7	34%	0	-62.5	0.04%	0	-0.6	36	0
2	Mar_22_2012	84.46	84.32	84.26				84.26(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-30	-10000	0	-120	0.84	34%	-0.01	-55.6	0.04%	0	-0.7	35	0
3	Mar_21_2012	84.47	84.32	84.27	84.24			84.25(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-25	-10000	10	-131	0.57	33%	0	-55.6	0.04%	0	-1	37	0
4	Mar_20_2012	84.47	84.33	84.28	84.22			84.2(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-46	-10000	-10	-154	0.79	29%	0	-75	0.04%	0	-1.9	26	0
5	Mar_19_2012	84.47	84.34	84.3	84.24			84.22(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-51	-10000	-20	-143	2.26	29%	0	-62.5	0.04%	0	-1.7	27	0

6	Mar_16_2012	84.47	84.35	84.31	84.27			84.28(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-34	-10000	-5	-122	2.79	34%	-0.01	-71.4	0.04%	0	-1.2	34	0
7	Mar_15_2012	84.48	84.36	84.32	84.28			84.23(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-35	-10000	-10	-109	3.73	30%	0	-71.4	0.04%	0	-2.2	30	0
8	Mar_14_2012	84.48	84.37	84.34	84.3			84.18(-0.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.4	-58	-10000	-33	-133	1.35	26%	0	-66.7	0.03%	0	-3.8	19	0
9	Mar_13_2012	84.48	84.38	84.36	84.34			84.3(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-31	-10000	-13	-85	1.28	30%	0	-75	0.03%	0	-2.7	26	0
10	Mar_12_2012	84.48	84.39	84.36	84.36			84.35(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-16	-10000	-7	-43	0.76	33%	-0.01	-75	0.03%	0	-1.3	47	0

11	Mar_9_2012	84.49	84.39	84.38	84.37			84.34(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1	-16	-10000	-7	-43	0.66	33%	0	-75	0.03%	0	-2	41	0
12	Mar_8_2012	84.49	84.4	84.38	84.37			84.34(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-5	-10000	0	-20	0.96	33%	0	-100	0.03%	0	-2	38	0
13	Mar_7_2012	84.49	84.4	84.39	84.38			84.37(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-11	-10000	-7	-23	0.59	38%	0	-100	0.03%	0	-1.3	37	0
14	Mar_6_2012	84.49	84.41	84.39	84.39			84.39(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-11	-10000	-7	-23	2.28	38%	0	-100	0.03%	0	-0.7	41	0
15	Mar_5_2012	84.49	84.41	84.39	84.39			84.39(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-5	-10000	0	-20	1.17	38%	0	-80	0.03%	0	-0.8	45	0

16	Mar_2_2012	84.49	84.42	84.39	84.39			84.39(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-10	-10000	0	-40	0.91	38%	0	-80	0.03%	0	-0.8	37	0
17	Mar_1_2012	84.49	84.43	84.39	84.39			84.37(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-10	-10000	0	-40	1.04	35%	0	-83.3	0.03%	0	-1.2	38	0
18	Feb_29_2012	84.49	84.43	84.39	84.39			84.42(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-10	-10000	0	-40	0.66	38%	0	-83.3	0.03%	0	-0.4	37	0
19	Feb_28_2012	84.49	84.44	84.39	84.4			84.42(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-9	-10000	7	-57	0.98	38%	0	-83.3	0.03%	0	-0.4	37	0
20	Feb_27_2012	84.49	84.45	84.4	84.4			84.4(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-25	-10000	0	-100	1.06	38%	0	-71.4	0.03%	0	-0.8	32	0

21	Feb_24_2012	84.49	84.46	84.4	84.39			84.38(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-31	-10000	-7	-103	3.7	38%	0	-62.5	0.03%	0	-1.1	27	0
22	Feb_23_2012	84.49	84.47	84.41	84.39			84.4(-0.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-30	-10000	0	-120	3.34	38%	-0.01	-50	0.03%	0	-1	28	0
23	Feb_22_2012	84.5	84.47	84.42	84.4			84.41(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-36	-10000	-7	-123	1.6	38%	0	-50	0.03%	0	-1	31	0
24	Feb_21_2012	84.5	84.48	84.43	84.41			84.37(-0.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-41	-10000	-7	-143	1.95	34%	0	-50	0.03%	0	-1.6	16	0
25	Feb_17_2012	84.5	84.49	84.44	84.42			84.39(-0.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-41	-10000	-7	-143	0.83	32%		-57.1	0.03%	0	-1.7	17	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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