Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 22, 2012

Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF)
SHY latest price $84.4100 (0.05%) ($84.3800 - $84.4100) on Wed. Feb. 22, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.03% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $84.4100(0.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   SHY declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SHY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(40%)    TLT(34%)    IGOV(19%)    LQD(17%)    GLD(16%)
Factors Impacting SHY price   SHY will decline at least -0.015% in a week (0% probabilities).
XOP(-8%)    QQQ(-8%)    USO(-7%)    SPY(-7%)    IWM(-7%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.015% (StdDev 0.03%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Resistance Level   $84.48
5 Day Moving Average   $84.4(0.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $84.42(-0.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $84.48(-0.08%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SHY price fluctuates within 0.08% (three month std-dev: 0.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120322

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_22_2012	84.5		84.42	84.4			84.41(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-36	-10000	-7	-123	1.6	38%	0	-50	0.03%	0	-1	31	0
2	Feb_21_2012	84.5	84.48	84.43	84.41			84.37(-0.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-41	-10000	-7	-143	1.95	34%	0	-50	0.03%	0	-1.6	16	0
3	Feb_17_2012	84.5	84.49	84.44	84.42			84.39(-0.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-41	-10000	-7	-143	0.83	32%	0	-57.1	0.03%	0	-1.7	17	0
4	Feb_16_2012	84.5	84.5	84.46	84.43			84.41(-0.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-41	-10000	-7	-143	1.47	32%	0	-42.9	0.03%	0	-1.5	16	0
5	Feb_15_2012	84.5	84.5	84.46	84.43			84.44(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-40	-10000	0	-160	1.23	34%	0	-50	0.03%	0	-1.4	23	0

6	Feb_14_2012	84.5	84.51	84.47	84.44			84.43(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-46	-10000	-7	-163	1.07	38%	0	-33.3	0.03%	0	-1.6	24	0
7	Feb_13_2012	84.5	84.51	84.49	84.45			84.41(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-46	-10000	-13	-145	1.08	38%	-0.01	-33.3	0.03%	0	-2.2	34	0
8	Feb_10_2012	84.51	84.52	84.5	84.47			84.46(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-31	-10000	-7	-103	1.03	38%	0	-20	0.03%	0	-1.5	40	0
9	Feb_9_2012	84.51	84.52	84.52	84.48			84.44(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-31	-10000	-13	-85	0.77	38%	0	0	0.03%	0	-2.3	39	0
10	Feb_8_2012	84.51	84.52	84.53	84.5			84.48(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-16	-10000	-7	-43	1.21	41%	0	25	0.03%	0	-1.7	41	0

11	Feb_7_2012	84.51	84.52	84.53	84.51			84.48(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-11	-10000	-7	-23	1.93	41%	0	25	0.03%	0	-1.7	41	0
12	Feb_6_2012	84.51	84.52	84.54	84.52			84.5(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-11	-10000	-13	-5	2.38	41%	0	25	0.03%	0	-1	42	0
13	Feb_3_2012	84.51	84.52	84.54	84.54			84.52(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-6	-10000	-7	-3	2.43	41%	-0.01	50	0.03%	0	-0.3	48	0
14	Feb_2_2012	84.52	84.52	84.54	84.55			84.52(0.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-6	-10000	-13	15	2.99	41%	0	60	0.03%	0	-0.3	52	0
15	Feb_1_2012	84.52	84.53	84.54	84.57			84.51(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	4	-10000	-7	37	5.98	38%	0	60	0.03%	0	-0.5	48	0

16	Jan_31_2012	84.52	84.53	84.54	84.58			84.57(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	26	-10000	7	83	2.64	49%	0	80	0.03%	0	1.2	69	0
17	Jan_30_2012	84.52	84.52	84.55	84.57			84.57(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	26	-10000	7	83	1.89	49%	0	60	0.03%	0	1.2	71	0
18	Jan_27_2012	84.52	84.52	84.54	84.56			84.6(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	31	-10000	13	85	1.3	50%	0	60	0.03%	0	2.2	83	0
19	Jan_26_2012	84.52	84.51	84.54	84.54			84.58(0.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	21	-10000	7	63	1.44	47%	0	40	0.03%	0	1.7	78	0
20	Jan_25_2012	84.52	84.5	84.53	84.53			84.57(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	21	-10000	7	63	2.11	50%	0	20	0.03%	0	1.7	78	0

21	Jan_24_2012	84.52	84.5	84.53	84.52			84.52(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	9	-10000	-7	57	3.8	47%	0	20	0.03%	0	0.8	74	0
22	Jan_23_2012	84.52	84.5	84.52	84.52			84.52(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	15	-10000	0	60	2.63	47%	0	20	0.03%	0	0.8	53	0
23	Jan_20_2012	84.52	84.5	84.52	84.52			84.51(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	20	-10000	0	80	2.6	47%	-0.01	25	0.03%	0	0.7	62	0
24	Jan_19_2012	84.53	84.5	84.51	84.52			84.53(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	20	-10000	0	80	2.06	47%	0	0	0.03%	0	1.3	67	0
25	Jan_18_2012	84.53	84.49	84.5	84.53			84.53(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	26	-10000	7	83	1.19	47%		0	0.03%	0	1.3	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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