Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 16, 2010

Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF)
SHY latest price $84.1500 (0.05%) ($84.1100 - $84.1800) on Tue. Nov. 16, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.06% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $84.1500(0.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   SHY declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SHY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(41%)    TLT(35%)    LQD(19%)    IGOV(17%)    GLD(15%)
Factors Impacting SHY price   SHY will decline at least -0.03% in a week (0% probabilities).
XOP(-9%)    QQQ(-9%)    IWM(-9%)    SPY(-8%)    XLY(-7%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.03% (StdDev 0.06%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Resistance Level   $84.35
5 Day Moving Average   $84.17(-0.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $84.27(-0.14%)
20 Day Moving Average   $84.35(-0.24%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   0.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SHY price fluctuates within 0.14% (three month std-dev: 0.06%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101216

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_16_2010	84.25	84.35	84.27	84.17			84.15(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-46	-10000	-7	-163	1.07	42%	0	-57.1	0.06%	0	-1.7	38	0
2	Nov_15_2010	84.25	84.37	84.29	84.19			84.11(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-55	-10000	-20	-158	1.87	42%	0	-50	0.06%	0	-2.2	32	0
3	Nov_12_2010	84.25	84.39	84.33	84.24			84.16(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.8	-50	-10000	-20	-138	1.47	43%	0	-50	0.06%	0	-2.3	30	0
4	Nov_11_2010	84.25	84.4	84.36	84.29			84.16(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-42	-10000	-23	-99	0.55	43%	0	-44.4	0.06%	0	-3	32	0
5	Nov_10_2010	84.25	84.41	84.36	84.35			84.29(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-26	-10000	-13	-65	1.02	47%	0	-42.9	0.06%	0	-2	36	0

6	Nov_9_2010	84.25	84.42	84.4	84.38			84.24(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-24	-10000	-13	-55	1.71	45%	0.01	-28.6	0.06%	0	-3	33	0
7	Nov_8_2010	84.24	84.42	84.42	84.41			84.35(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-19	-10000	-8	-51	1.09	48%	0	0	0.05%	0	-2	40	0
8	Nov_5_2010	84.24	84.43	84.42	84.43			84.39(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-13	-10000	-8	-27	1.78	53%	0.01	20	0.05%	0	-1	48	0
9	Nov_4_2010	84.23	84.43	84.42	84.43			84.46(0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	0	-10000	0	0	0.87	53%	0	40	0.06%	0	0.5	56	0
10	Nov_3_2010	84.23	84.44	84.44	84.45			84.44(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	8	-10000	3	21	0.64	53%	0.01	60	0.06%	0	0	58	0

11	Nov_2_2010	84.22	84.44	84.44	84.45			84.41(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	3	-10000	0	10	0.61	50%	0.01	40	0.06%	0	-0.5	50	0
12	Nov_1_2010	84.21	84.44	84.44	84.45			84.46(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	5	-10000	0	20	0.71	52%	0	33.3	0.06%	0	0.6	56	0
13	Oct_29_2010	84.21	84.43	84.45	84.44			84.49(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	8	-10000	3	21	0.88	54%	0.01	33.3	0.06%	0	1.2	51	0
14	Oct_28_2010	84.2	84.42	84.44	84.43			84.47(0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	0	-10000	-3	9	0.78	56%	0.01	33.3	0.06%	0	1	51	0
15	Oct_27_2010	84.19	84.42	84.43	84.44			84.36(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-6	-10000	-7	-3	0.75	53%	0	33.3	0.06%	0	-1	39	0

16	Oct_26_2010	84.19	84.42	84.43	84.46			84.4(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	3	-10000	-3	19	1.33	53%	0.01	50	0.06%	0	-0.2	54	0
17	Oct_25_2010	84.18	84.42	84.44	84.47			84.48(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	-10000	3	31	1.59	56%	0	66.7	0.06%	0	1.4	65	0
18	Oct_22_2010	84.18	84.41	84.44	84.46			84.46(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	13	-10000	3	41	0.52	56%	0.01	66.7	0.06%	0	1	68	0
19	Oct_21_2010	84.17	84.4	84.44	84.45			84.48(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	-10000	13	45	1.04	56%	0.01	66.7	0.06%	0	1.6	72	0
20	Oct_20_2010	84.16	84.4	84.43	84.42			84.47(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	13	-10000	3	41	1.25	56%	0.01	50	0.06%	0	1.6	61	0

21	Oct_19_2010	84.15	84.39	84.42	84.41			84.46(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	10	-10000	3	31	0.74	56%	0	80	0.06%	0	1.7	61	0
22	Oct_18_2010	84.15	84.39	84.41	84.4			84.42(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	5	-10000	-3	29	0.77	56%	0	80	0.06%	0	1	54	0
23	Oct_15_2010	84.15	84.38	84.41	84.41			84.4(0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	5	-10000	-3	29	0.88	58%	0.01	83.3	0.06%	0	0.4	55	0
24	Oct_14_2010	84.14	84.38	84.41	84.42			84.37(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	5	-10000	-3	29	1.13	60%	0.01	100	0.06%	0	0	54	0
25	Oct_13_2010	84.13	84.37	84.4	84.43			84.41(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	13	-10000	0	50	0.65	60%		114.3	0.06%	0	0.7	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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