Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 15, 2010

Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF)
SHY latest price $84.2400 (0.02%) ($84.2200 - $84.2700) on Wed. Sep. 15, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.06% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $84.2400(0.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   SHY declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SHY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(41%)    TLT(35%)    LQD(20%)    IGOV(17%)    GLD(15%)
Factors Impacting SHY price   SHY will decline at least -0.03% in a week (0% probabilities).
XOP(-9%)    QQQ(-9%)    IWM(-9%)    SPY(-8%)    XLY(-7%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.03% (StdDev 0.06%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $84.16(0.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $84.18(0.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $84.23(0.01%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   0.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SHY price fluctuates within 0.08% (three month std-dev: 0.06%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101015

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_15_2010	83.99	84.23	84.18	84.16			84.24(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-15	-10000	3	-69	0.66	57%	0.01	-37.5	0.06%	0	0.1	48	0
2	Sep_14_2010	83.98	84.23	84.19	84.15			84.22(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-23	-10000	-3	-81	0.97	57%	0.01	-37.5	0.06%	0	-0.3	42	0
3	Sep_13_2010	83.97	84.23	84.19	84.15			84.16(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-18	-10000	0	-70	0.52	56%	0.01	-25	0.06%	0	-1.1	43	0
4	Sep_10_2010	83.96	84.24	84.2	84.16			84.09(-0.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-26	-10000	-7	-83	1.1	53%	0.01	-25	0.06%	0	-2.1	40	0
5	Sep_9_2010	83.95	84.25	84.22	84.18			84.1(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-20	-10000	-6	-62	1.29	53%	0	-14.3	0.07%	0	-2.5	38	0

6	Sep_8_2010	83.95	84.25	84.24	84.2			84.19(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-26	-10000	-13	-65	1.68	56%	0.01	0	0.06%	0	-1.4	44	0
7	Sep_7_2010	83.94	84.25	84.24	84.23			84.25(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-14	-10000	-7	-33	1.1	58%	0.02	16.7	0.06%	0	-0.2	49	0
8	Sep_3_2010	83.92	84.25	84.26	84.25			84.16(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-9	-10000	-3	-27	0.89	61%	0.01	33.3	0.07%	0	-2	40	0
9	Sep_2_2010	83.91	84.25	84.27	84.26			84.2(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-5	-10000	-3	-10	1.25	61%	0.01	33.3	0.07%	0	-1.2	52	0
10	Sep_1_2010	83.9	84.25	84.28	84.27			84.22(-0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-1	-10000	-3	7	2.01	61%	0.01	42.9	0.07%	0	-0.7	52	0

11	Aug_31_2010	83.89	84.26	84.29	84.27			84.34(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	4	-10000	0	17	0.94	66%	0.01	57.1	0.07%	0	1.3	60	0
12	Aug_30_2010	83.88	84.25	84.29	84.27			84.31(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	4	-10000	0	17	0.73	66%	0.01	71.4	0.07%	0	1	60	0
13	Aug_27_2010	83.87	84.25	84.29	84.28			84.21(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	4	-10000	-3	25	0.9	67%	0.01	71.4	0.07%	0	-0.5	56	0
14	Aug_26_2010	83.86	84.25	84.29	84.29			84.27(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-10000	-3	33	0.72	70%	0.01	85.7	0.07%	0	0.5	55	0
15	Aug_25_2010	83.85	84.24	84.29	84.29			84.27(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	11	-10000	0	43	1.17	70%	0.01	75	0.07%	0	0.4	57	0

16	Aug_24_2010	83.84	84.23	84.28	84.3			84.35(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	-10000	3	61	1.53	73%	0.01	66.7	0.07%	0	1.5	74	0
17	Aug_23_2010	83.83	84.21	84.26	84.3			84.29(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	13	-10000	0	51	0.53	72%	0.01	50	0.07%	0	1	61	0
18	Aug_20_2010	83.82	84.2	84.26	84.29			84.28(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	-10000	6	62	0.7	74%	0.01	50	0.07%	0	1	65	0
19	Aug_19_2010	83.81	84.19	84.25	84.27			84.31(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	-10000	3	53	0.76	74%	0.01	40	0.07%	0	1.5	57	0
20	Aug_18_2010	83.8	84.19	84.24	84.26			84.29(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-10000	3	53	0.84	76%	0.01	50	0.07%	0	1.6	59	0

21	Aug_17_2010	83.79	84.18	84.22	84.25			84.27(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-10000	3	44	0.79	76%	0.01	62.5	0.07%	0	1.3	63	0
22	Aug_16_2010	83.78	84.17	84.21	84.24			84.29(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	24	-10000	11	64	0.65	76%	0.01	85.7	0.07%	0	2	69	0
23	Aug_13_2010	83.77	84.16	84.21	84.21			84.21(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	10	-10000	-3	50	0.43	76%	0.01	71.4	0.07%	0	0.8	60	0
24	Aug_12_2010	83.76	84.16	84.21	84.21			84.22(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	15	-10000	0	60	1.56	76%	0.01	85.7	0.07%	0	1.2	58	0
25	Aug_11_2010	83.75	84.15	84.19	84.22			84.24(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	-10000	11	73	0.75	76%		85.7	0.07%	0	1.5	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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