Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 20, 2010

Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF)
SHY latest price $83.8900 (0.12%) ($83.8300 - $83.9500) on Thu. May. 20, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.09% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $83.8900(0.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SHY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SHY advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SHY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(42%)    TLT(36%)    LQD(20%)    IGOV(17%)    GLD(15%)
Factors Impacting SHY price   SHY will decline at least -0.045% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-10%)    QQQ(-10%)    IWM(-10%)    XOP(-9%)    XLY(-9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.045% (StdDev 0.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $83.8(0.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $83.72(0.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $83.59(0.36%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SHY price fluctuates within 0.22% (three month std-dev: 0.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100620

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_20_2010	83.44	83.59	83.72	83.8			83.89(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	-10000	11	118	4.21	54%	0.01	63.6	0.09%	0	1.7	64	0
2	May_19_2010	83.43	83.56	83.71	83.76			83.79(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	-10000	11	118	3.04	51%	0.01	60	0.09%	0	1.4	65	0
3	May_18_2010	83.42	83.54	83.68	83.72			83.83(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	38	-10000	11	118	0.76	51%	0.01	60	0.09%	0	1.7	68	0
4	May_17_2010	83.41	83.52	83.64	83.68			83.74(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	-10000	9	97	1.43	49%	0	61.1	0.09%	0	1.5	64	0
5	May_14_2010	83.41	83.5	83.61	83.65			83.77(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	-10000	4	88	1.11	49%	0	61.1	0.09%	0	1.8	71	0

6	May_13_2010	83.41	83.48	83.58	83.63			83.66(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	22	-10000	-4	98	0.99	46%	0.01	70.6	0.09%	0	1.3	69	0
7	May_12_2010	83.4	83.46	83.56	83.65			83.61(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	34	-10000	4	122	0.73	46%	0	76.5	0.09%	0	1.1	65	0
8	May_11_2010	83.4	83.44	83.54	83.63			83.63(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	39	-10000	11	124	0.71	46%	0	70.6	0.09%	0	1.4	62	0
9	May_10_2010	83.4	83.42	83.52	83.59			83.58(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	38	-10000	11	118	1.35	46%	0	70.6	0.09%	0	1.1	61	0
10	May_7_2010	83.4	83.41	83.49	83.55			83.69(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	29	-10000	9	90	3.64	49%	0	70.6	0.09%	0	2	67	0

11	May_6_2010	83.4	83.38	83.45	83.52			83.72(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	28	-10000	13	72	1.86	49%	0.01	78.6	0.09%	0	2.8	62	0
12	May_5_2010	83.39	83.36	83.41	83.47			83.54(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	19	-10000	9	50	1.78	48%	0	66.7	0.09%	0	1.8	62	0
13	May_4_2010	83.39	83.34	83.39	83.47			83.43(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	-10000	0	47	1.22	48%	0	58.3	0.09%	0	0.9	61	0
14	May_3_2010	83.39	83.32	83.39	83.44			83.38(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	17	-10000	4	55	0.49	48%	0	42.9	0.09%	0	0.5	59	0
15	Apr_30_2010	83.39	83.31	83.38	83.42			83.54(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	25	-10000	13	59	0.52	49%	0	28.6	0.09%	0	1.9	69	0

16	Apr_29_2010	83.39	83.31	83.37	83.37			83.44(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	-10000	5	55	0.42	46%	-0.01	15.4	0.08%	0	1.4	67	0
17	Apr_28_2010	83.4	83.29	83.35	83.35			83.42(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	-10000	2	41	1.27	46%	0	16.7	0.09%	0	1.3	68	0
18	Apr_27_2010	83.4	83.28	83.34	83.34			83.44(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	14	-10000	4	42	1.53	46%	0	16.7	0.09%	0	1.6	67	0
19	Apr_26_2010	83.4	83.28	83.34	83.32			83.28(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	11	-10000	-3	51	0.55	40%	0	9.1	0.08%	0	0.1	68	0
20	Apr_23_2010	83.4	83.28	83.32	83.33			83.28(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	10	-10000	-10	71	0.66	40%	-0.01	9.1	0.08%	0	0.1	71	0

21	Apr_22_2010	83.41	83.28	83.31	83.33			83.31(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	23	-10000	0	90	0.45	40%	0	18.2	0.08%	0	0.4	52	0
22	Apr_21_2010	83.41	83.28	83.3	83.36			83.37(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	-10000	5	85	0.65	40%	-0.01	0	0.08%	0	1.1	48	0
23	Apr_20_2010	83.42	83.27	83.29	83.34			83.36(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-10000	10	64	0.9	40%	-0.01	-9.1	0.08%	0	1	51	0
24	Apr_19_2010	83.43	83.27	83.26	83.31			83.35(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	-10000	5	32	0.66	40%	-0.01	-18.2	0.08%	0	1	50	0
25	Apr_16_2010	83.44	83.26	83.23	83.29			83.43(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	11	-10000	13	5	0.8	42%		-27.3	0.08%	0	1.9	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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