Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Mar. 26, 2010

Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF)
SHY latest price $83.2900 (0.06%) ($83.2200 - $83.3000) on Fri. Mar. 26, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.08% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $83.2900(0.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   SHY declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SHY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(42%)    TLT(36%)    LQD(20%)    IGOV(17%)    GLD(15%)
Factors Impacting SHY price   SHY will decline at least -0.04% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-11%)    QQQ(-11%)    IWM(-11%)    XOP(-10%)    XLY(-10%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.04% (StdDev 0.08%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

Resistance Level   $83.41
5 Day Moving Average   $83.29(0%)
10 Day Moving Average   $83.34(-0.06%)
20 Day Moving Average   $83.41(-0.14%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   0.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SHY price fluctuates within 0.13% (three month std-dev: 0.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100426

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_26_2010	83.56	83.41	83.34	83.29			83.29(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-20	-10000	-3	-69	0.59	39%	0	-69.2	0.08%	0	-1.1	39	0
2	Mar_25_2010	83.56	83.43	83.35	83.3			83.24(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-26	-10000	-10	-72	0.76	39%	-0.01	-50	0.08%	0	-1.6	32	0
3	Mar_24_2010	83.57	83.45	83.37	83.33			83.21(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-30	-10000	-15	-74	0.65	39%	-0.01	-38.5	0.08%	0	-2.2	26	0
4	Mar_23_2010	83.58	83.47	83.39	83.38			83.34(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-18	-10000	-5	-55	0.47	46%	0	-25	0.08%	0	-1.3	29	0
5	Mar_22_2010	83.58	83.47	83.41	83.4			83.37(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-16	-10000	-3	-54	0.46	46%	-0.01	-27.3	0.08%	0	-1.2	30	0

6	Mar_19_2010	83.59	83.48	83.42	83.4			83.34(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-15	-10000	0	-60	0.6	39%	0	-27.3	0.08%	0	-1.6	26	0
7	Mar_18_2010	83.59	83.48	83.43	83.4			83.4(-0.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-19	-10000	0	-75	0.61	39%	-0.01	-40	0.08%	0	-1.1	23	0
8	Mar_17_2010	83.6	83.49	83.44	83.4			83.45(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-23	-10000	0	-90	0.96	48%	0	-40	0.08%	0	-0.5	30	0
9	Mar_16_2010	83.6	83.49	83.45	83.41			83.43(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-25	-10000	-3	-91	0.77	48%	-0.01	-40	0.08%	0	-0.9	38	0
10	Mar_15_2010	83.61	83.5	83.47	83.42			83.41(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-23	-10000	-3	-84	0.42	48%	0	-40	0.08%	0	-1.1	42	0

11	Mar_12_2010	83.61	83.51	83.48	83.43			83.38(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-21	-10000	-5	-70	1.1	48%	-0.01	-50	0.08%	0	-1.6	46	0
12	Mar_11_2010	83.62	83.52	83.51	83.45			83.37(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-18	-10000	-9	-44	1.76	48%	0	-50	0.09%	0	-2.1	49	0
13	Mar_10_2010	83.62	83.52	83.54	83.48			83.47(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	-10000	-5	-17	1.22	53%	-0.01	-37.5	0.08%	0	-0.9	52	0
14	Mar_9_2010	83.63	83.53	83.55	83.5			83.49(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-4	-10000	-5	-2	0.64	53%	0	-25	0.08%	0	-0.6	49	0
15	Mar_8_2010	83.63	83.54	83.55	83.52			83.43(-0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-7	-10000	-10	4	0.94	53%	-0.01	-12.5	0.08%	0	-1.6	39	0

16	Mar_5_2010	83.64	83.55	83.55	83.55			83.47(-0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-6	-10000	-11	9	1.15	60%	0	0	0.09%	0	-1.1	42	0
17	Mar_4_2010	83.64	83.56	83.56	83.59			83.54(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	3	-10000	-4	25	0.82	51%	-0.01	25	0.09%	0	-0.3	54	0
18	Mar_3_2010	83.65	83.56	83.56	83.59			83.57(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	8	-10000	0	30	1.2	51%	0	25	0.1%	0	0.3	59	0
19	Mar_2_2010	83.65	83.56	83.56	83.61			83.58(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	9	-10000	2	31	1.15	51%	0	25	0.1%	0	0.4	50	0
20	Mar_1_2010	83.65	83.56	83.55	83.6			83.58(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	13	-10000	8	27	0.86	37%	-0.01	25	0.1%	0	0.4	44	0

21	Feb_26_2010	83.66	83.55	83.54	83.57			83.67(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	8	-10000	8	8	0.94	38%	0	10	0.13%	0	1.5	45	0
22	Feb_25_2010	83.66	83.54	83.53	83.53			83.64(0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	3	-10000	8	-11	0.73	38%	-0.01	0	0.13%	0	1.4	53	0
23	Feb_24_2010	83.67	83.54	83.53	83.49			83.57(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-5	-10000	2	-27	1.19	41%	0	-12.5	0.13%	0	0.6	57	0
24	Feb_23_2010	83.67	83.54	83.51	83.48			83.53(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-9	-10000	-2	-28	0.83	41%	-0.01	-12.5	0.13%	0	0	51	0
25	Feb_22_2010	83.68	83.53	83.52	83.49			83.46(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-7	-10000	-3	-20	0.68	41%		0	0.13%	0	-1	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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