Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 24, 2009

Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF)
SHY latest price $83.9800 (0.04%) ($83.9000 - $83.9900) on Thu. Sep. 24, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.1% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $83.9800(0.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SHY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(42%)    TLT(37%)    LQD(21%)    IGOV(16%)    GLD(14%)
Factors Impacting SHY price   SHY will decline at least -0.05% in a week (0% probabilities).
IWM(-12%)    XLY(-11%)    SPY(-11%)    QQQ(-11%)    XOP(-10%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.05% (StdDev 0.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $83.88(0.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $83.87(0.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $83.87(0.13%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   0.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SHY price fluctuates within 0.07% (three month std-dev: 0.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20091024

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_24_2009	83.7	83.87	83.87	83.88			83.98(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	4	-10000	4	2	0.86	51%	0	57.1	0.1%	0	1.8	54	0
2	Sep_23_2009	83.7	83.86	83.86	83.86			83.95(0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	5	-10000	8	-3	0.94	51%	0	66.7	0.1%	0	1.8	46	0
3	Sep_22_2009	83.7	83.86	83.85	83.83			83.82(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-8	-10000	-2	-25	0.71	48%	0	42.9	0.1%	0	-0.5	46	0
4	Sep_21_2009	83.7	83.85	83.85	83.83			83.84(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-6	-10000	0	-24	0.6	48%	0	42.9	0.1%	0	-0.2	44	0
5	Sep_18_2009	83.7	83.85	83.86	83.84			83.81(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-8	-10000	-2	-25	1.29	45%	0	30	0.1%	0	-0.4	47	0

6	Sep_17_2009	83.7	83.84	83.86	83.85			83.89(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-5	-10000	-2	-13	0.83	47%	0	40	0.1%	0	0.6	57	0
7	Sep_16_2009	83.7	83.84	83.87	83.86			83.77(-0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-2	-10000	-4	4	0.71	43%	0	60	0.1%	0	-0.8	51	0
8	Sep_15_2009	83.7	83.84	83.88	83.86			83.88(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	6	-10000	0	24	0.66	46%	0	80	0.1%	0	0.6	62	0
9	Sep_14_2009	83.7	83.83	83.88	83.86			83.84(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	8	-10000	0	30	0.64	46%	0	100	0.1%	0	0.1	60	0
10	Sep_11_2009	83.7	83.82	83.89	83.86			83.89(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-10000	0	48	0.85	46%	0	118.2	0.1%	0	0.8	71	0

11	Sep_10_2009	83.7	83.8	83.88	83.88			83.92(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	12	-10000	-2	53	0.58	46%	-0.01	116.7	0.1%	0	1.2	59	0
12	Sep_9_2009	83.71	83.78	83.87	83.88			83.87(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	14	-10000	0	54	0.6	51%	0	114.3	0.1%	0	0.8	55	0
13	Sep_8_2009	83.71	83.76	83.85	83.89			83.86(0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	-10000	-2	59	0.64	46%	0	94.1	0.1%	0	0.7	58	0
14	Sep_4_2009	83.71	83.74	83.84	83.89			83.85(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	11	-10000	0	43	0.49	37%	0	69.6	0.14%	0	0.6	56	0
15	Sep_3_2009	83.71	83.71	83.82	83.9			83.89(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	-10000	3	44	0.51	40%	0	58.3	0.14%	0	0.9	64	0

16	Sep_2_2009	83.71	83.68	83.81	83.88			83.97(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	-10000	7	46	0.69	40%	0	48	0.14%	0	1.4	73	0
17	Sep_1_2009	83.71	83.65	83.79	83.84			83.88(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-10000	6	54	0.93	38%	0	41.7	0.14%	0	1.1	75	0
18	Aug_31_2009	83.71	83.63	83.77	83.81			83.92(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	20	-10000	7	59	0.54	38%	0	33.3	0.14%	0	1.5	80	0
19	Aug_28_2009	83.71	83.6	83.76	83.77			83.86(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	22	-10000	7	67	0.76	40%	0	27.3	0.14%	0	1.4	81	0
20	Aug_27_2009	83.71	83.59	83.74	83.77			83.77(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-10000	0	73	0.61	40%	0	20	0.14%	0	1.1	83	0

21	Aug_26_2009	83.71	83.58	83.72	83.77			83.78(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	-10000	0	86	0.73	39%	0	20	0.14%	0	1.2	71	0
22	Aug_25_2009	83.71	83.57	83.69	83.77			83.73(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	24	-10000	0	94	0.66	39%	-0.01	10.5	0.14%	0	1	69	0
23	Aug_24_2009	83.72	83.56	83.66	83.77			83.73(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	25	-10000	0	99	0.56	39%	0	5.3	0.14%	0	1.1	67	0
24	Aug_21_2009	83.72	83.55	83.63	83.73			83.63(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	24	-10000	-1	98	0.85	37%	0	5.3	0.14%	0	0.5	59	0
25	Aug_20_2009	83.72	83.56	83.59	83.74			83.76(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-10000	6	84	0.59	41%		5.3	0.14%	0	1.3	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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