Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 2, 2009

Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF)
SHY latest price $83.9700 (0.11%) ($83.8700 - $83.9700) on Wed. Sep. 2, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.14% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $83.9700(0.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SHY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SHY advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SHY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(42%)    TLT(37%)    LQD(21%)    IGOV(16%)    GLD(14%)
Factors Impacting SHY price   SHY will decline at least -0.07% in a week (0% probabilities).
IWM(-12%)    XLY(-11%)    SPY(-11%)    QQQ(-11%)    XOP(-10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.07% (StdDev 0.14%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $83.88(0.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $83.81(0.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $83.68(0.35%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   1.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SHY price fluctuates within 0.25% (three month std-dev: 0.14%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20091002

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_2_2009	83.71	83.68	83.81	83.88			83.97(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	-10000	7	46	0.69	40%	0	48	0.14%	0	1.4	73	0
2	Sep_1_2009	83.71	83.65	83.79	83.84			83.88(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-10000	6	54	0.93	38%	0	41.7	0.14%	0	1.1	75	0
3	Aug_31_2009	83.71	83.63	83.77	83.81			83.92(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	20	-10000	7	59	0.54	38%	0	33.3	0.14%	0	1.5	80	0
4	Aug_28_2009	83.71	83.6	83.76	83.77			83.86(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	22	-10000	7	67	0.76	40%	0	27.3	0.14%	0	1.4	81	0
5	Aug_27_2009	83.71	83.59	83.74	83.77			83.77(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-10000	0	73	0.61	40%	0	20	0.14%	0	1.1	83	0

6	Aug_26_2009	83.71	83.58	83.72	83.77			83.78(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	-10000	0	86	0.73	39%	0	20	0.14%	0	1.2	71	0
7	Aug_25_2009	83.71	83.57	83.69	83.77			83.73(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	24	-10000	0	94	0.66	39%	-0.01	10.5	0.14%	0	1	69	0
8	Aug_24_2009	83.72	83.56	83.66	83.77			83.73(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	25	-10000	0	99	0.56	39%	0	5.3	0.14%	0	1.1	67	0
9	Aug_21_2009	83.72	83.55	83.63	83.73			83.63(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	24	-10000	-1	98	0.85	37%	0	5.3	0.14%	0	0.5	59	0
10	Aug_20_2009	83.72	83.56	83.59	83.74			83.76(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-10000	6	84	0.59	41%	-0.01	5.3	0.14%	0	1.3	51	0

11	Aug_19_2009	83.73	83.56	83.55	83.71			83.78(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	-10000	10	68	1.1	41%	0	-5.3	0.14%	0	1.4	58	0
12	Aug_18_2009	83.73	83.56	83.51	83.65			83.74(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	-10000	10	43	0.69	41%	-0.01	-10	0.14%	0	1.1	57	0
13	Aug_17_2009	83.74	83.56	83.47	83.59			83.76(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	15	-10000	14	18	0.75	41%	0	-20	0.14%	0	1.2	55	0
14	Aug_14_2009	83.74	83.56	83.44	83.51			83.67(0.07%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	9	-10000	16	-11	0.51	41%	0	-40	0.14%	0	0.7	49	0
15	Aug_13_2009	83.74	83.55	83.44	83.42			83.61(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-3	-10000	9	-39	0.87	41%	-0.01	-60	0.14%	0	0.4	44	0

16	Aug_12_2009	83.75	83.56	83.44	83.37			83.47(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-14	-10000	3	-63	0.86	38%	0	-70	0.14%	0	-0.5	41	0
17	Aug_11_2009	83.75	83.57	83.43	83.35			83.44(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-21	-10000	1	-85	0.87	41%	-0.01	-77.3	0.14%	0	-0.7	34	0
18	Aug_10_2009	83.76	83.59	83.44	83.34			83.35(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-27	-10000	-3	-100	0.64	41%	-0.01	-73.9	0.14%	0	-1.3	28	0
19	Aug_7_2009	83.77	83.61	83.47	83.36			83.22(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-39	-10000	-16	-109	1.19	37%	-0.01	-69.6	0.14%	0	-2.1	28	0
20	Aug_6_2009	83.78	83.65	83.52	83.45			83.36(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-25	-10000	-7	-80	0.89	39%	0	-60	0.14%	0	-1.7	31	0

21	Aug_5_2009	83.78	83.68	83.55	83.49			83.36(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-25	-10000	-7	-80	1.23	39%	-0.01	-50	0.14%	0	-1.9	30	0
22	Aug_4_2009	83.79	83.71	83.6	83.53			83.39(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-21	-10000	-7	-63	0.94	39%	0	-38.9	0.14%	0	-2.1	41	0
23	Aug_3_2009	83.79	83.73	83.64	83.57			83.46(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-18	-10000	-6	-54	1.07	39%	-0.01	-37.5	0.14%	0	-2.1	35	0
24	Jul_31_2009	83.8	83.73	83.64	83.57			83.69(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-12	-10000	0	-47	0.62	39%	0	-28.6	0.14%	0	-0.5	39	0
25	Jul_30_2009	83.8	83.75	83.67	83.6			83.55(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-18	-10000	-3	-61	0.77	36%		-28.6	0.14%	0	-1.7	29	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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