Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 15, 2009

Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF)
SHY latest price $83.9500 (-0.01%) ($83.9300 - $84.0100) on Fri. May. 15, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.12% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $83.9500(-0.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SHY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SHY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(43%)    TLT(39%)    LQD(23%)    IGOV(17%)    GLD(14%)
Factors Impacting SHY price   SHY will decline at least -0.06% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-12%)    QQQ(-12%)    IWM(-12%)    XOP(-11%)    XLY(-11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.06% (StdDev 0.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $83.93(0.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $83.85(0.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $83.9(0.06%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   0.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SHY price fluctuates within 0.11% (three month std-dev: 0.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090615

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_15_2009	84.11	83.9	83.85	83.93			83.95(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	7	-10000	8	3	1.16	44%	0	-18.2	0.12%	0	0.6	46	0
2	May_14_2009	84.11	83.9	83.85	83.89			83.96(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	4	-10000	10	-16	1.67	44%	-0.01	-27.3	0.12%	0	0.8	52	0
3	May_13_2009	84.12	83.89	83.85	83.84			83.93(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-2	-10000	7	-27	0.83	42%	-0.01	-33.3	0.12%	0	0.4	51	0
4	May_12_2009	84.13	83.9	83.84	83.81			83.89(-0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-8	-10000	3	-39	1.21	42%	0	-33.3	0.12%	0	-0.1	46	0
5	May_11_2009	84.13	83.9	83.84	83.79			83.9(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-10	-10000	3	-49	0.53	42%	-0.01	-33.3	0.12%	0	-0.1	46	0

6	May_8_2009	84.14	83.9	83.85	83.77			83.76(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-10000	-2	-56	0.95	43%	-0.02	-33.3	0.12%	0	-1.5	39	0
7	May_7_2009	84.16	83.91	83.87	83.78			83.7(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-24	-10000	-13	-55	1.59	43%	-0.01	-41.7	0.12%	0	-2.1	42	0
8	May_6_2009	84.17	83.91	83.89	83.85			83.82(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-10000	-7	-38	0.66	45%	-0.01	-36.4	0.12%	0	-1.2	42	0
9	May_5_2009	84.18	83.93	83.91	83.88			83.77(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-14	-10000	-7	-33	1.07	45%	-0.01	-50	0.12%	0	-2	33	0
10	May_4_2009	84.19	83.93	83.93	83.91			83.79(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-13	-10000	-8	-28	0.96	42%	-0.01	-60	0.12%	0	-1.9	37	0

11	May_1_2009	84.2	83.94	83.95	83.95			83.81(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-5	-10000	-3	-11	0.7	42%	-0.01	-75	0.12%	0	-1.9	43	0
12	Apr_30_2009	84.21	83.95	83.96	83.97			84.04(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	3	-10000	3	1	0.69	46%	-0.01	-62.5	0.12%	0	1.3	62	0
13	Apr_29_2009	84.22	83.96	83.95	83.97			83.97(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-3	-10000	0	-10	0.87	43%	-0.01	-50	0.12%	0	0.1	53	0
14	Apr_28_2009	84.23	83.97	83.96	83.97			83.93(-0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	-10000	0	0	0.87	43%	-0.01	-30.8	0.12%	0	-0.4	51	0
15	Apr_27_2009	84.24	83.97	83.96	83.95			84.01(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	4	-10000	2	11	0.85	43%	0	-21.4	0.12%	0	0.2	57	0

16	Apr_24_2009	84.24	83.99	83.97	83.95			83.91(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	4	-10000	0	15	1.05	41%	-0.01	-26.7	0.12%	0	-0.6	56	0
17	Apr_23_2009	84.25	83.99	83.97	83.94			83.91(-0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-10000	-2	4	1.31	41%	-0.01	-26.7	0.12%	0	-0.7	44	0
18	Apr_22_2009	84.26	83.99	83.97	83.95			83.97(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	-10000	-3	-6	0.88	41%	-0.01	-28.6	0.12%	0	-0.3	40	0
19	Apr_21_2009	84.27	84	83.96	83.97			83.97(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-6	-10000	-3	-16	0.71	41%	0	-21.4	0.12%	0	-0.3	34	0
20	Apr_20_2009	84.27	84.01	83.95	83.97			83.96(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8	-10000	0	-30	0.62	41%	-0.01	-7.1	0.12%	0	-0.4	40	0

21	Apr_17_2009	84.28	84.02	83.94	83.99			83.88(-0.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.8	-10	-10000	2	-44	0.83	41%	-0.01	0	0.12%	0	-1.1	41	0
22	Apr_16_2009	84.29	84.03	83.95	83.98			83.97(-0.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-11	-10000	2	-49	1.37	41%	0	0	0.12%	0	-0.5	46	0
23	Apr_15_2009	84.29	84.04	83.97	83.97			84.09(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-5	-10000	7	-42	0.73	43%	-0.01	13.3	0.12%	0	0.4	54	0
24	Apr_14_2009	84.3	84.03	83.99	83.94			84.05(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-4	-10000	7	-37	1.49	43%	0	6.7	0.12%	0	0.2	52	0
25	Apr_13_2009	84.3	84.02	84	83.91			83.98(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-7	-10000	7	-47	0.66	43%		-5.9	0.12%	0	-0.3	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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