Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 30, 2008

Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF)
SHY latest price $83.5600 (-0.39%) ($83.5600 - $84.0200) on Tue. Sep. 30, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.2% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $83.5600(-0.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SHY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SHY advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SHY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(42%)    TLT(40%)    LQD(14%)    GLD(12%)    PCY(4%)
Factors Impacting SHY price   SHY will decline at least -0.1% in a week (0% probabilities).
VWO(-17%)    SPY(-17%)    QQQ(-17%)    EEM(-17%)    XOP(-16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.1% (StdDev 0.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $83.57(-0.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $83.55(0.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $83.4(0.19%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   1.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SHY price fluctuates within 0.35% (three month std-dev: 0.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081030

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_30_2008	82.94	83.4		83.57			83.56(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	13	-10000	5	35	1.46	60%	0.01	40	0.2%	0	0.6	57	0
2	Sep_29_2008	82.93	83.37	83.55	83.53			83.89(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	22	-10000	13	47	2.51	64%	0	34.3	0.2%	0	1.8	63	0
3	Sep_26_2008	82.93	83.33	83.53	83.42			83.41(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	15	-10000	4	48	1.27	63%	0.01	28.1	0.18%	0	0.3	59	0
4	Sep_25_2008	82.92	83.32	83.51	83.39			83.41(-0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	5	-10000	-7	41	1.09	63%	0	25	0.19%	0	0.3	58	0
5	Sep_24_2008	82.92	83.31	83.49	83.45			83.56(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	5	-10000	-12	55	0.83	64%	0	31.3	0.19%	0	0.9	60	0

6	Sep_23_2008	82.92	83.28	83.46	83.54			83.38(0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	17	-10000	-5	83	1.23	62%	0.01	40.6	0.19%	0	0.4	58	0
7	Sep_22_2008	82.91	83.27	83.44	83.58			83.32(0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	15	-10000	-12	96	1.54	62%	0	46.9	0.19%	0	0.2	58	0
8	Sep_19_2008	82.91	83.26	83.42	83.67			83.26(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.5	31	-10000	2	118	3.4	61%	0	55.9	0.19%	0	0	53	0
9	Sep_18_2008	82.91	83.25	83.4	83.65			83.73(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	45	-10000	16	133	13.82	67%	0.01	55.9	0.17%	0	1.7	66	0
10	Sep_17_2008	82.9	83.22	83.34	83.53			84(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	44	-10000	22	108	5.54	72%	0	56.7	0.17%	0	3.1	73	0

11	Sep_16_2008	82.9	83.17	83.24	83.37			83.6(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	28	-10000	14	69	1.67	70%	0.01	59.1	0.16%	0	2.4	67	0
12	Sep_15_2008	82.89	83.14	83.18	83.28			83.75(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.1	27	-10000	21	46	1.71	72%	0	66.7	0.16%	0	4.1	72	0
13	Sep_12_2008	82.89	83.1	83.11	83.14			83.16(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	6	-10000	3	15	1.06	61%	0	114.3	0.13%	0	1	60	0
14	Sep_11_2008	82.89	83.09	83.11	83.12			83.15(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	2	-10000	1	4	0.83	61%	0	70	0.15%	0	0.8	49	0
15	Sep_10_2008	82.89	83.08	83.1	83.11			83.18(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	4	-10000	5	2	0.54	58%	0	72.7	0.15%	0	1.1	47	0

16	Sep_9_2008	82.89	83.06	83.1	83.08			83.16(0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	2	-10000	5	-6	0.64	52%	0	72.7	0.15%	0	1.1	52	0
17	Sep_8_2008	82.89	83.06	83.1	83.05			83.03(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7	-10000	-5	-13	0.51	51%	0	53.8	0.16%	0	-0.1	50	0
18	Sep_5_2008	82.89	83.04	83.1	83.08			83.07(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-2	-10000	-1	-4	1.05	51%	-0.01	57.1	0.17%	0	0.2	56	0
19	Sep_4_2008	82.9	83.03	83.09	83.09			83.1(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	1	-10000	-1	7	0.86	51%	0	57.1	0.17%	0	0.6	60	0
20	Sep_3_2008	82.9	83.01	83.1	83.1			83.05(0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	-10000	-1	21	0.95	51%	-0.01	50	0.17%	0	0.3	60	0

21	Sep_2_2008	82.91	83	83.1	83.11			83.02(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	6	-10000	-2	31	0.65	51%	-0.02	44.4	0.17%	0	0.1	58	0
22	Aug_29_2008	82.93	82.98	83.11	83.13			83.15(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-10000	5	51	0.6	51%	-0.01	42.1	0.17%	0	1.1	72	0
23	Aug_28_2008	82.94	82.97	83.1	83.13			83.11(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-10000	0	49	0.51	51%	0	38.9	0.17%	0	0.9	63	0
24	Aug_27_2008	82.94	82.96	83.08	83.1			83.15(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	12	-10000	-1	49	0.66	51%	-0.01	44.4	0.17%	0	1.3	60	0
25	Aug_26_2008	82.95	82.95	83.05	83.11			83.1(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	-10000	0	60	0.6	51%		58.8	0.17%	0	1.1	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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