Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jun. 20, 2008

Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF)
SHY latest price $82.4400 (0.18%) ($82.3900 - $82.5100) on Fri. Jun. 20, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.18% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $82.4400(0.18%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SHY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SHY declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SHY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(43%)    TLT(40%)    GLD(14%)    LQD(12%)    PCY(2%)
Factors Impacting SHY price   SHY will decline at least -0.09% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-20%)    FXI(-20%)    VWO(-19%)    EEM(-19%)    QQQ(-18%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.09% (StdDev 0.18%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

Resistance Level   $82.6
5 Day Moving Average   $82.35(0.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $82.33(0.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $82.6(-0.19%)
To recent high   -2.1%
To recent low   0.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SHY price fluctuates within 0.38% (three month std-dev: 0.18%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_20_2008	83.42	82.6	82.33	82.35			82.44(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-20	-10000	7	-101	0.36	20%	-0.01	-57.9	0.18%	0	-0.5	39	0
2	Jun_19_2008	83.43	82.63	82.37	82.3			82.29(-0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-24	-10000	7	-117	0.55	17%	-0.02	-63.2	0.18%	0	-1.1	35	0
3	Jun_18_2008	83.45	82.67	82.42	82.25			82.45(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-33	-10000	-1	-130	1.23	17%	0	-64.1	0.18%	0	-0.7	41	0
4	Jun_17_2008	83.45	82.7	82.47	82.26			82.37(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-31	-10000	1	-126	0.39	21%	-0.02	-60	0.18%	0	-1	38	0
5	Jun_16_2008	83.47	82.74	82.52	82.25			82.21(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-37	-10000	-7	-126	0.32	17%	-0.01	-60	0.19%	0	-1.6	31	0

6	Jun_13_2008	83.48	82.78	82.59	82.31			82.16(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-47	-10000	-20	-128	0.83	22%	-0.01	-64.9	0.19%	0	-2	28	0
7	Jun_12_2008	83.49	82.83	82.67	82.47			82.07(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-38	-10000	-19	-96	1.06	27%	-0.02	-58.8	0.19%	0	-2.7	32	0
8	Jun_11_2008	83.51	82.87	82.75	82.62			82.47(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-28	-10000	-12	-74	0.64	27%	-0.01	-63	0.19%	0	-1.8	33	0
9	Jun_10_2008	83.52	82.9	82.78	82.71			82.33(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-31	-10000	-17	-73	1.29	27%	-0.01	-60.9	0.19%	0	-3	27	0
10	Jun_9_2008	83.53	82.94	82.85	82.84			82.52(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-18	-10000	-8	-47	0.57	28%	-0.01	-55.6	0.19%	0	-2.8	34	0

11	Jun_6_2008	83.54	82.98	82.91	82.91			82.94(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-7	-10000	1	-30	0.35	35%	0	-37.5	0.18%	0	-0.3	47	0
12	Jun_5_2008	83.54	83	82.9	82.9			82.83(-0.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-8	-10000	1	-34	0.68	35%	0	-29.4	0.19%	0	-1.2	44	0
13	Jun_4_2008	83.54	83.01	82.93	82.89			82.94(-0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-6	-10000	2	-31	0.61	35%	0	-35.3	0.19%	0	-0.5	50	0
14	Jun_3_2008	83.54	83.01	82.96	82.89			82.97(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-7	-10000	0	-28	0.44	34%	0	-47.1	0.19%	0	-0.4	49	0
15	Jun_2_2008	83.54	83.02	82.97	82.87			82.85(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	-10000	-5	-30	0.37	34%	0	-52.9	0.19%	0	-1.2	40	0

16	May_30_2008	83.54	83.03	82.97	82.87			82.91(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-7	-10000	0	-28	1.97	34%	0	-56.3	0.19%	0	-0.9	36	0
17	May_29_2008	83.54	83.04	82.99	82.91			82.79(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-17	-10000	-8	-44	0.44	38%	0	-56.3	0.19%	0	-1.9	34	0
18	May_28_2008	83.54	83.07	83.01	82.98			82.82(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-18	-10000	-11	-39	0.41	41%	0.01	-43.8	0.19%	0	-1.9	38	0
19	May_27_2008	83.53	83.09	83.03	83.06			82.97(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-7	-10000	-2	-23	0.5	41%	0.01	-35.7	0.19%	0	-1	46	0
20	May_23_2008	83.52	83.09	83.04	83.08			83.06(0.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-2	-10000	1	-12	0.55	40%	0.01	-35.7	0.19%	0	-0.3	51	0

21	May_22_2008	83.51	83.1	83.06	83.07			82.9(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-3	-10000	-2	-7	0.43	38%	0	-50	0.19%	0	-1.7	50	0
22	May_21_2008	83.51	83.11	83.06	83.09			83.13(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	6	-10000	5	8	0.9	43%	0	-57.1	0.19%	0	0.2	53	0
23	May_20_2008	83.51	83.12	83.1	83.05			83.22(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	3	-10000	6	-7	0.46	43%	0.01	-68.8	0.19%	0	0.8	43	0
24	May_19_2008	83.5	83.13	83.09	83.05			83.1(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-6	-10000	0	-25	0.37	43%	0.01	-88.2	0.19%	0	-0.2	46	0
25	May_16_2008	83.49	83.14	83.08	83			83.01(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-13	-10000	-7	-31	0.42	43%		-100	0.19%	0	-0.9	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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