Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 1, 2008

Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF)
SHY latest price $83.7600 (-0.57%) ($83.7600 - $83.9700) on Tue. Apr. 1, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.2% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $83.7600(-0.57%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   SHY declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SHY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(44%)    TLT(41%)    GLD(15%)    LQD(13%)    PCY(2%)
Factors Impacting SHY price   SHY will decline at least -0.1% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-21%)    VWO(-20%)    FXI(-20%)    EEM(-20%)    XLY(-19%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.1% (StdDev 0.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

Resistance Level   $84.12
5 Day Moving Average   $84.1(-0.4%)
10 Day Moving Average   $84.09(-0.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $84.12(-0.43%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   1.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SHY price fluctuates within 0.21% (three month std-dev: 0.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080501

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_1_2008	83.12	84.12	84.09	84.1			83.76(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-7	-10000	-4	-17	2.53	61%	0.02	28.6	0.2%	0	-2	51	0
2	Mar_31_2008	83.1	84.14	84.09	84.13			84.24(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	9	-10000	11	4	0.47	67%	0.04	52.6	0.18%	0	0.6	49	0
3	Mar_28_2008	83.07	84.13	84.17	84.13			84.22(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.1	-3	-10000	0	-13	0.37	67%	0.02	52.6	0.18%	0	0.6	51	0
4	Mar_27_2008	83.05	84.12	84.16	84.05			84.18(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-6	-10000	-2	-17	0.44	67%	0.04	55	0.18%	0	0.4	49	0
5	Mar_26_2008	83.02	84.1	84.15	84.07			84.09(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-3	-10000	-2	-7	0.47	67%	0.04	56.5	0.18%	0	-0.1	53	0

6	Mar_25_2008	82.99	84.07	84.13	84.09			83.91(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-16	-10000	-16	-16	1.87	66%	0.04	57.7	0.18%	0	-0.7	49	0
7	Mar_24_2008	82.96	84.06	84.17	84.21			83.85(-0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-5	-10000	-13	20	0.85	66%	0.05	60	0.19%	0	-0.8	48	0
8	Mar_20_2008	82.92	84.05	84.17	84.31			84.2(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	15	-10000	4	48	1.29	71%	0.04	65.6	0.18%	0	0.6	50	0
9	Mar_19_2008	82.89	84.02	84.2	84.28			84.3(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-10000	6	56	0.7	73%	0.04	57.1	0.18%	0	1	59	0
10	Mar_18_2008	82.86	83.98	84.17	84.24			84.21(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	-10000	9	60	0.74	73%	0.04	48.6	0.18%	0	0.8	61	0

11	Mar_17_2008	82.83	83.95	84.15	84.17			84.51(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	20	-10000	7	59	0.85	79%	0.04	40	0.17%	0	1.9	70	0
12	Mar_14_2008	82.8	83.91	84.1	84.12			84.32(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	21	-10000	5	69	1.03	74%	0.04	37.5	0.17%	0	1.5	69	0
13	Mar_13_2008	82.77	83.87	84.08	84.09			84.07(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	17	-10000	-5	83	0.92	73%	0.02	40	0.17%	0	0.8	61	0
14	Mar_12_2008	82.75	83.86	84.07	84.12			84.11(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	30	-10000	5	104	0.46	70%	0.04	46.7	0.17%	0	1	59	0
15	Mar_11_2008	82.72	83.84	84.03	84.09			83.84(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	22	-10000	-5	104	0.64	70%	0.04	48.3	0.17%	0	0	60	0

16	Mar_10_2008	82.69	83.83	84.01	84.12			84.26(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	-10000	6	119	0.7	77%	0.04	58.6	0.17%	0	1.8	68	0
17	Mar_7_2008	82.66	83.8	83.94	84.12			84.17(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	-10000	0	102	1.56	77%	0.04	65.4	0.17%	0	1.7	64	0
18	Mar_6_2008	82.63	83.77	83.88	84.08			84.21(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	33	-10000	8	106	1.48	74%	0.04	68	0.17%	0	2.1	61	0
19	Mar_5_2008	82.6	83.74	83.83	84.02			83.96(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	28	-10000	7	91	0.61	72%	0.04	69.6	0.17%	0	1.2	54	0
20	Mar_4_2008	82.57	83.72	83.78	83.97			84.01(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	-10000	13	72	0.66	72%	0.05	72.7	0.17%	0	1.6	57	0

21	Mar_3_2008	82.53	83.7	83.74	83.88			84.03(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	23	-10000	15	48	1.34	72%	0.04	59.1	0.17%	0	1.8	58	0
22	Feb_29_2008	82.5	83.66	83.69	83.77			84.19(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	17	-10000	16	21	0.9	76%	0.04	45	0.16%	0	3.1	64	0
23	Feb_28_2008	82.47	83.63	83.64	83.66			83.9(0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	3	-10000	6	-5	0.82	74%	0.05	50	0.16%	0	2.3	62	0
24	Feb_27_2008	82.43	83.61	83.62	83.62			83.7(0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	4	-10000	8	-8	1.63	68%	0.02	38.5	0.16%	0	0.8	52	0
25	Feb_26_2008	82.41	83.59	83.63	83.57			83.6(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-5	-10000	0	-19	0.66	70%		23.1	0.16%	0	0.1	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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