Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Mar. 17, 2008

Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF)
SHY latest price $84.5100 (0.23%) ($84.4100 - $84.6100) on Mon. Mar. 17, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.17% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $84.5100(0.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SHY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SHY advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SHY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(44%)    TLT(41%)    GLD(15%)    LQD(13%)    PCY(2%)
Factors Impacting SHY price   SHY will decline at least -0.085% in a week (0% probabilities).
FXI(-22%)    VWO(-21%)    SPY(-21%)    EEM(-21%)    QQQ(-20%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.085% (StdDev 0.17%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $84.17(0.4%)
10 Day Moving Average   $84.15(0.43%)
20 Day Moving Average   $83.95(0.67%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   3.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SHY price fluctuates within 0.35% (three month std-dev: 0.17%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_17_2008	82.83	83.95	84.15	84.17			84.51(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	20	-10000	7	59	0.85	79%	0.04	40	0.17%	0	1.9	70	0
2	Mar_14_2008	82.8	83.91	84.1	84.12			84.32(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	21	-10000	5	69	1.03	74%	0.04	37.5	0.17%	0	1.5	69	0
3	Mar_13_2008	82.77	83.87	84.08	84.09			84.07(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	17	-10000	-5	83	0.92	73%	0.02	40	0.17%	0	0.8	61	0
4	Mar_12_2008	82.75	83.86	84.07	84.12			84.11(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	30	-10000	5	104	0.46	70%	0.04	46.7	0.17%	0	1	59	0
5	Mar_11_2008	82.72	83.84	84.03	84.09			83.84(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	22	-10000	-5	104	0.64	70%	0.04	48.3	0.17%	0	0	60	0

6	Mar_10_2008	82.69	83.83	84.01	84.12			84.26(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	-10000	6	119	0.7	77%	0.04	58.6	0.17%	0	1.8	68	0
7	Mar_7_2008	82.66	83.8	83.94	84.12			84.17(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	-10000	0	102	1.56	77%	0.04	65.4	0.17%	0	1.7	64	0
8	Mar_6_2008	82.63	83.77	83.88	84.08			84.21(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	33	-10000	8	106	1.48	74%	0.04	68	0.17%	0	2.1	61	0
9	Mar_5_2008	82.6	83.74	83.83	84.02			83.96(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	28	-10000	7	91	0.61	72%	0.04	69.6	0.17%	0	1.2	54	0
10	Mar_4_2008	82.57	83.72	83.78	83.97			84.01(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	-10000	13	72	0.66	72%	0.05	72.7	0.17%	0	1.6	57	0

11	Mar_3_2008	82.53	83.7	83.74	83.88			84.03(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	23	-10000	15	48	1.34	72%	0.04	59.1	0.17%	0	1.8	58	0
12	Feb_29_2008	82.5	83.66	83.69	83.77			84.19(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	17	-10000	16	21	0.9	76%	0.04	45	0.16%	0	3.1	64	0
13	Feb_28_2008	82.47	83.63	83.64	83.66			83.9(0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	3	-10000	6	-5	0.82	74%	0.05	50	0.16%	0	2.3	62	0
14	Feb_27_2008	82.43	83.61	83.62	83.62			83.7(0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	4	-10000	8	-8	1.63	68%	0.02	38.5	0.16%	0	0.8	52	0
15	Feb_26_2008	82.41	83.61	83.63	83.62			83.6(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-5	-10000	0	-19	0.66	70%	0.04	23.1	0.16%	0	0.1	50	0

16	Feb_25_2008	82.38	83.61	83.64	83.57			83.48(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-6	-10000	-5	-10	0.69	70%	0.04	28.6	0.16%	0	-0.9	55	0
17	Feb_22_2008	82.35	83.59	83.64	83.6			83.61(-0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	0	-10000	-3	10	1.47	72%	0.02	50	0.16%	0	0.2	60	0
18	Feb_21_2008	82.33	83.59	83.66	83.62			83.7(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	3	-10000	-1	15	0.59	74%	0.04	56.3	0.16%	0	1	56	0
19	Feb_20_2008	82.3	83.59	83.65	83.63			83.47(-0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-1	-10000	-8	22	0.82	72%	0.04	81.3	0.17%	0	-0.8	53	0
20	Feb_19_2008	82.27	83.57	83.67	83.69			83.57(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	8	-10000	-5	47	1.03	74%	0.04	112.5	0.16%	0	0	60	0

21	Feb_15_2008	82.24	83.56	83.66	83.72			83.63(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	13	-10000	-1	53	1.83	76%	0.04	122.2	0.17%	0	0.5	59	0
22	Feb_14_2008	82.21	83.53	83.64	83.73			83.72(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	-10000	5	58	1.47	76%	0.02	125	0.17%	0	1.1	61	0
23	Feb_13_2008	82.19	83.5	83.62	83.7			83.78(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-10000	5	62	0.63	72%	0.04	108.3	0.17%	0	1.4	71	0
24	Feb_12_2008	82.16	83.46	83.59	83.67			83.75(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	4	48	0.94	73%	0.04	103.8	0.18%	0	1.3	56	0
25	Feb_11_2008	82.13	83.42	83.56	83.64			83.72(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	-10000	7	39	0.67	73%		100	0.18%	0	1.2	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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