Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 10, 2008

Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF)
SHY latest price $82.6200 (0%) ($82.5900 - $82.7400) on Thu. Jan. 10, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.17% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $82.6200(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   SHY advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SHY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(45%)    TLT(41%)    GLD(15%)    LQD(14%)    PCY(1%)
Factors Impacting SHY price   SHY will decline at least -0.085% in a week (0% probabilities).
FXI(-23%)    VWO(-22%)    SPY(-22%)    EEM(-22%)    QQQ(-21%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.085% (StdDev 0.17%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $82.61(0.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $82.42(0.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $82.28(0.41%)
To recent high   -0%
To recent low   2.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SHY price fluctuates within 0.29% (three month std-dev: 0.17%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_10_2008	81.63	82.28	82.42	82.61			82.62(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	27	-10000	5	94	1	75%	0.01	37.9	0.17%	0	1.4	61	0
2	Jan_9_2008	81.62	82.27	82.36	82.58			82.62(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	-10000	9	94	2.59	72%	0.02	40.7	0.16%	0	1.6	68	0
3	Jan_8_2008	81.6	82.24	82.31	82.52			82.66(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	30	-10000	13	79	1.15	72%	0.02	26.9	0.17%	0	2	66	0
4	Jan_7_2008	81.58	82.22	82.27	82.43			82.54(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	-10000	14	73	0.92	72%	0.01	8.7	0.17%	0	1.7	70	0
5	Jan_4_2008	81.57	82.2	82.24	82.33			82.59(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	30	-10000	19	64	0.88	72%	0.02	-9.5	0.17%	0	2.3	63	0

6	Jan_3_2008	81.55	82.19	82.21	82.2			82.47(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	17	-10000	12	33	0.41	72%	0.02	-33.3	0.17%	0	1.9	56	0
7	Jan_2_2008	81.53	82.19	82.16	82.12			82.34(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	4	-10000	6	-1	1.47	72%	0.04	-47.1	0.17%	0	1.1	46	0
8	Dec_31_2007	81.5	82.18	82.14	82.08			82.19(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-5	-10000	-1	-15	1.12	67%	0.02	-61.1	0.17%	0	0.1	52	0
9	Dec_28_2007	81.48	82.2	82.14	82.09			82.06(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	-10000	-7	-28	0.58	67%	0.01	-52.4	0.17%	0	-0.8	48	0
10	Dec_27_2007	81.47	82.22	82.11	82.14			81.96(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-14	-10000	-11	-22	0.69	68%	0.02	-42.9	0.17%	0	-1.5	43	0

11	Dec_26_2007	81.45	82.24	82.14	82.14			82.06(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-3	-10000	0	-11	0.47	68%	0.04	-31.6	0.17%	0	-1.1	40	0
12	Dec_24_2007	81.42	82.25	82.14	82.21			82.14(-0.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-2	-10000	1	-10	0.31	68%	0.02	-28.6	0.17%	0	-0.6	43	0
13	Dec_21_2007	81.4	82.25	82.14	82.2			82.21(-0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	1	-10000	8	-22	2.02	68%	0.02	-14.3	0.17%	0	-0.4	44	0
14	Dec_20_2007	81.38	82.28	82.17	82.14			82.34(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-7	-10000	7	-50	1.3	64%	0.02	-13.6	0.17%	0	0.3	44	0
15	Dec_19_2007	81.36	82.28	82.16	82.09			82.28(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-17	-10000	2	-73	0.72	65%	0.01	0	0.17%	0	-0.1	44	0

16	Dec_18_2007	81.35	82.29	82.17	82.07			82.07(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-28	-10000	-11	-79	0.7	64%	0.02	9.1	0.17%	0	-1.2	44	0
17	Dec_17_2007	81.33	82.29	82.2	82.07			82.12(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	-10000	0	-60	0.66	64%	0.02	28.6	0.17%	0	-1.1	43	0
18	Dec_14_2007	81.31	82.3	82.23	82.14			81.88(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-24	-10000	-7	-73	0.54	62%	0.01	36.4	0.17%	0	-2.3	30	0
19	Dec_13_2007	81.3	82.31	82.29	82.19			82.08(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-18	-10000	-6	-55	0.49	65%	0.02	52.4	0.17%	0	-1.4	43	0
20	Dec_12_2007	81.28	82.29	82.33	82.23			82.2(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-10000	-7	-49	0.45	65%	0.02	53.8	0.17%	0	-0.4	43	0

21	Dec_11_2007	81.26	82.27	82.33	82.28			82.41(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-9	-10000	1	-37	1.75	68%	0.02	56.7	0.16%	0	0.6	56	0
22	Dec_10_2007	81.24	82.25	82.34	82.27			82.11(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-16	-10000	-9	-37	0.5	65%	0.02	66.7	0.16%	0	-0.6	48	0
23	Dec_7_2007	81.22	82.23	82.39	82.33			82.17(-0.11%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-7	-10000	-10	4	0.89	68%	0.02	70.6	0.16%	0	-0.2	58	0
24	Dec_6_2007	81.2	82.21	82.42	82.4			82.26(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	5	-10000	-6	39	1.6	68%	0.04	80.6	0.16%	0	0.2	60	0
25	Dec_5_2007	81.17	82.18	82.44	82.44			82.43(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	24	-10000	3	87	0.62	72%		80	0.16%	0	0.8	72	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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