Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Feb. 16, 2007

Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF)
SHY latest price $80.1000 (0.02%) ($80.0500 - $80.1300) on Fri. Feb. 16, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.1% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $80.1000(0.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SHY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SHY advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SHY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(46%)    TLT(42%)    LQD(16%)    GLD(12%)    XLU(-7%)
Factors Impacting SHY price   SHY will decline at least -0.05% in a week (0% probabilities).
VWO(-24%)    FXI(-24%)    EEM(-24%)    SPY(-23%)    QQQ(-22%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.05% (StdDev 0.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $79.99(0.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $79.94(0.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $79.95(0.19%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   0.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SHY price fluctuates within 0.11% (three month std-dev: 0.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_16_2007	80.09	79.95	79.94	79.99			80.1(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	18	-10000	12	35	0.34	45%	0	9.1	0.1%	0	1.7	54	0
2	Feb_15_2007	80.09	79.95	79.91	79.94			80.08(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	5	-10000	6	2	0.44	45%	-0.01	-9.1	0.1%	0	1.6	54	0
3	Feb_14_2007	80.1	79.94	79.91	79.92			80.04(0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	1	-10000	8	-21	0.6	45%	0	-20	0.1%	0	1.3	53	0
4	Feb_13_2007	80.1	79.93	79.88	79.89			79.86(-0.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-10	-10000	-2	-34	0.69	40%	-0.01	-30	0.09%	0	-0.9	40	0
5	Feb_12_2007	80.11	79.93	79.89	79.9			79.87(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-3	-10000	7	-31	0.53	40%	0	-30	0.09%	0	-0.9	43	0

6	Feb_9_2007	80.11	79.94	79.9	79.88			79.87(-0.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-10	-10000	2	-46	0.44	40%	-0.01	-40	0.09%	0	-0.9	41	0
7	Feb_8_2007	80.12	79.94	79.9	79.87			79.95(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-6	-10000	9	-50	0.22	41%	0	-60	0.09%	0	0	47	0
8	Feb_7_2007	80.12	79.95	79.91	79.84			79.92(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-26	-10000	-9	-77	1.11	45%	0	-70	0.09%	0	-0.4	45	0
9	Feb_6_2007	80.12	79.95	79.92	79.87			79.88(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-19	-10000	-7	-56	0.3	45%	0	-50	0.09%	0	-1	45	0
10	Feb_5_2007	80.12	79.96	79.93	79.89			79.79(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-21	-10000	-11	-51	0.76	42%	0	-40	0.09%	0	-2.1	37	0

11	Feb_2_2007	80.12	79.98	79.96	79.93			79.81(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-11	-10000	-8	-21	0.3	39%	0	-33.3	0.1%	0	-2.4	46	0
12	Feb_1_2007	80.12	79.99	79.98	79.96			79.78(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.6	-10	-10000	-10	-10	0.52	34%	-0.01	-22.2	0.1%	0	-3	40	0
13	Jan_31_2007	80.13	80.01	80	80			80.09(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	3	-10000	2	7	0.53	44%	0	-40	0.09%	0	2	54	0
14	Jan_30_2007	80.13	80.01	80	79.99			80(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	2	-10000	2	1	0.3	41%	0	-100	0.09%	0	0	46	0
15	Jan_29_2007	80.13	80.01	79.99	79.98			79.98(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-3	-10000	-2	-7	0.88	41%	0	-140	0.09%	0	-0.5	47	0

16	Jan_26_2007	80.13	80	79.99	79.98			79.97(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-3	-10000	0	-13	0.52	46%	0	-160	0.09%	0	-0.8	45	0
17	Jan_25_2007	80.13	80.01	79.98	79.99			79.96(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-7	-10000	-2	-21	0.71	48%	0	-116.7	0.09%	0	-1	37	0
18	Jan_24_2007	80.13	80.03	79.98	80			80.02(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-3	-10000	2	-19	0.53	48%	0	-120	0.09%	0	-0.3	49	0
19	Jan_23_2007	80.13	80.04	79.99	79.99			79.98(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	-10000	-2	-21	0.32	48%	0	-60	0.09%	0	-0.8	54	0
20	Jan_22_2007	80.13	80.05	79.99	80			80.02(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	-10000	7	-11	0.3	48%	0	-50	0.09%	0	-0.4	59	0

21	Jan_19_2007	80.13	80.06	80	79.98			79.99(-0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-2	-10000	2	-13	0.41	48%	0	-58.3	0.09%	0	-0.7	52	0
22	Jan_18_2007	80.13	80.07	80	79.97			80(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-8	-10000	-2	-27	0.61	48%	0	-50	0.09%	0	-0.6	35	0
23	Jan_17_2007	80.13	80.08	80	79.98			79.97(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	-10000	-2	-47	0.62	48%	0	-46.7	0.09%	0	-0.9	32	0
24	Jan_16_2007	80.13	80.08	80	79.99			80(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-18	-10000	-2	-67	0.42	48%	-0.01	-46.7	0.09%	0	-0.8	33	0
25	Jan_12_2007	80.14	80.09	80.01	80			79.92(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-25	-10000	-4	-88	0.27	46%		-53.3	0.09%	0	-1.4	33	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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