Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 19, 2006

Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF)
SHY latest price $80.1800 (0.01%) ($80.1600 - $80.2100) on Tue. Dec. 19, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.09% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $80.1800(0.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   SHY declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SHY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(46%)    TLT(42%)    LQD(17%)    GLD(12%)    XLU(-7%)
Factors Impacting SHY price   SHY will decline at least -0.045% in a week (0% probabilities).
VWO(-24%)    FXI(-24%)    EEM(-24%)    SPY(-23%)    QQQ(-22%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.045% (StdDev 0.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Resistance Level   $80.25
5 Day Moving Average   $80.17(0.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $80.2(-0.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $80.25(-0.09%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   0.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SHY price fluctuates within 0.1% (three month std-dev: 0.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070119

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_19_2006	80.09		80.2	80.17			80.18(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-22	-10000	-4	-75	0.26	50%	0	10	0.09%	0	-0.9	38	0
2	Dec_18_2006	80.09		80.21	80.17			80.17(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-17	-10000	0	-67	1.13	50%	0	20	0.09%	0	-1	37	0
3	Dec_15_2006	80.09		80.23	80.17			80.17(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	-10000	0	-67	0.89	50%	0	20	0.09%	0	-1	41	0
4	Dec_14_2006	80.09		80.24	80.19			80.14(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-24	-10000	-9	-70	1.12	49%	0.01	18.2	0.09%	0	-1.2	44	0
5	Dec_13_2006	80.08		80.27	80.22			80.18(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-13	-10000	-4	-38	0.32	49%	0	27.3	0.1%	0	-0.8	47	0

6	Dec_12_2006	80.08	80.25	80.27	80.22			80.29(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-5	-10000	0	-20	0.28	51%	0.01	41.7	0.09%	0	0.4	60	0
7	Dec_11_2006	80.07	80.24	80.29	80.24			80.18(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-9	-10000	-9	-10	0.52	48%	0	50	0.09%	0	-0.6	54	0
8	Dec_8_2006	80.07	80.24	80.31	80.27			80.17(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	2	-10000	-4	18	0.47	48%	0.01	66.7	0.09%	0	-0.6	55	0
9	Dec_7_2006	80.06	80.23	80.31	80.29			80.27(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-10000	-11	42	1.2	51%	0	64.3	0.09%	0	0.4	73	0
10	Dec_6_2006	80.06	80.22	80.32	80.33			80.29(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	18	-10000	-2	79	1.44	51%	0.01	71.4	0.09%	0	0.6	69	0

11	Dec_5_2006	80.05	80.21	80.31	80.34			80.3(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	22	-10000	-2	93	3.68	49%	0.01	53.3	0.09%	0	0.8	64	0
12	Dec_4_2006	80.04	80.19	80.3	80.34			80.3(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	25	-10000	0	100	0.28	49%	0.01	43.8	0.09%	0	0.8	64	0
13	Dec_1_2006	80.03	80.17	80.28	80.35			80.31(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	28	-10000	2	107	0.24	45%	0	29.4	0.09%	0	1	65	0
14	Nov_30_2006	80.03	80.16	80.26	80.34			80.44(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	31	-10000	10	94	0.86	49%	0.01	25	0.1%	0	2.2	83	0
15	Nov_29_2006	80.02	80.16	80.22	80.3			80.35(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	26	-10000	8	81	0.36	47%	0.01	20	0.1%	0	1.7	78	0

16	Nov_28_2006	80.01	80.14	80.2	80.27			80.35(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	25	-10000	8	75	0.41	47%	0.01	26.7	0.1%	0	1.7	80	0
17	Nov_27_2006	80	80.14	80.18	80.24			80.31(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	27	-10000	10	76	0.37	47%	0.01	28.6	0.1%	0	1.6	84	0
18	Nov_24_2006	79.99	80.14	80.16	80.2			80.26(0.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	29	-10000	11	84	0.27	47%	0.01	28.6	0.09%	0	1.2	81	0
19	Nov_22_2006	79.98	80.13	80.13	80.16			80.25(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	23	-10000	9	64	0.28	47%	0.01	33.3	0.09%	0	1.2	59	0
20	Nov_21_2006	79.97	80.12	80.12	80.13			80.19(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	-10000	2	47	0.39	47%	0.01	25	0.09%	0	0.7	54	0

21	Nov_20_2006	79.96	80.11	80.1	80.12			80.17(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	5	-10000	2	14	0.31	47%	0	16.7	0.09%	0	0.6	36	0
22	Nov_17_2006	79.96	80.11	80.08	80.11			80.15(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	-10000	2	-13	0.46	47%	0.01	16.7	0.09%	0	0.5	44	0
23	Nov_16_2006	79.95	80.11	80.08	80.11			80.05(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-10	-10000	0	-40	3.24	48%	0	16.7	0.09%	0	-0.5	36	0
24	Nov_15_2006	79.95	80.11	80.08	80.11			80.08(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	-10000	0	-42	0.28	50%	0.01	16.7	0.1%	0	-0.2	43	0
25	Nov_14_2006	79.94	80.1	80.06	80.1			80.13(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-9	-10000	4	-46	0.39	50%		25	0.1%	0	0.3	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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