Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 21, 2006

Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF)
SHY latest price $80.1900 (0.02%) ($80.1400 - $80.2100) on Tue. Nov. 21, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.09% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $80.1900(0.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   SHY advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SHY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(46%)    TLT(42%)    LQD(17%)    GLD(12%)    XLU(-7%)
Factors Impacting SHY price   SHY will decline at least -0.045% in a week (0% probabilities).
VWO(-24%)    FXI(-24%)    EEM(-24%)    SPY(-23%)    QQQ(-22%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.045% (StdDev 0.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $80.13(0.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $80.12(0.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $80.12(0.09%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   0.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SHY price fluctuates within 0.12% (three month std-dev: 0.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20061221

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_21_2006	79.97	80.12	80.12	80.13			80.19(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	-10000	2	47	0.39	47%	0.01	25	0.09%	0	0.7	54	0
2	Nov_20_2006	79.96	80.11	80.1	80.12			80.17(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	5	-10000	2	14	0.31	47%	0	16.7	0.09%	0	0.6	36	0
3	Nov_17_2006	79.96	80.11	80.08	80.11			80.15(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	-10000	2	-13	0.46	47%	0.01	16.7	0.09%	0	0.5	44	0
4	Nov_16_2006	79.95	80.11	80.08	80.11			80.05(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-10	-10000	0	-40	3.24	48%	0	16.7	0.09%	0	-0.5	36	0
5	Nov_15_2006	79.95	80.11	80.08	80.11			80.08(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	-10000	0	-42	0.28	50%	0.01	16.7	0.1%	0	-0.2	43	0

6	Nov_14_2006	79.94	80.1	80.06	80.1			80.13(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-9	-10000	4	-46	0.39	50%	0	25	0.1%	0	0.3	51	0
7	Nov_13_2006	79.94	80.1	80.08	80.08			80.12(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-1	-10000	10	-32	0.79	50%	0.01	16.7	0.1%	0	0.3	55	0
8	Nov_10_2006	79.93	80.09	80.09	80.04			80.12(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-2	-10000	8	-33	0.24	49%	0.01	7.1	0.1%	0	0.3	56	0
9	Nov_9_2006	79.92	80.09	80.1	80.04			80.06(-0.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-9	-10000	0	-36	1.6	49%	0	-7.1	0.1%	0	-0.2	51	0
10	Nov_8_2006	79.92	80.09	80.1	80.01			80.07(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-8	-10000	-2	-25	0.41	49%	0.01	-14.3	0.1%	0	-0.1	53	0

11	Nov_7_2006	79.91	80.09	80.12	80.02			80.03(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-15	-10000	-14	-18	0.15	49%	0	-21.4	0.1%	0	-0.5	51	0
12	Nov_6_2006	79.91	80.09	80.13	80.08			79.93(-0.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-12	-10000	-18	5	0.36	46%	0.01	-14.3	0.1%	0	-1.4	47	0
13	Nov_3_2006	79.9	80.08	80.14	80.15			79.94(-0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.9	-6	-10000	-18	29	0.57	48%	0	0	0.1%	0	-1.3	48	0
14	Nov_2_2006	79.9	80.09	80.14	80.22			80.09(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	17	-10000	-4	78	0.29	51%	0.01	8.3	0.09%	0	0	59	0
15	Nov_1_2006	79.89	80.09	80.15	80.22			80.11(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.2	23	-10000	0	93	0.75	46%	0	7.1	0.09%	0	0.1	57	0

16	Oct_31_2006	79.89	80.1	80.14	80.24			80.35(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	42	-10000	20	108	0.47	51%	0.01	0	0.09%	0	2.3	78	0
17	Oct_30_2006	79.88	80.09	80.11	80.17			80.24(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	29	-10000	11	84	0.28	49%	0	-27.3	0.09%	0	1.7	75	0
18	Oct_27_2006	79.88	80.09	80.09	80.13			80.29(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	25	-10000	13	59	0.61	51%	0.01	-50	0.09%	0	2.1	63	0
19	Oct_26_2006	79.87	80.08	80.05	80.08			80.21(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	14	-10000	9	30	1	51%	0	-57.1	0.09%	0	1.2	58	0
20	Oct_25_2006	79.87	80.09	80.03	80.05			80.11(0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	-10000	4	-5	1.18	49%	0.01	-60	0.09%	0	0.2	39	0

21	Oct_24_2006	79.86	80.1	80.03	80.03			80.02(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-10	-10000	-2	-34	0.32	47%	0	-50	0.09%	0	-0.6	24	0
22	Oct_23_2006	79.86	80.11	80.03	80.03			80.02(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-10	-10000	0	-40	0.22	47%	0.01	-41.2	0.09%	0	-0.6	42	0
23	Oct_20_2006	79.85	80.13	80.03	80.04			80.06(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-8	-10000	4	-45	0.54	50%	0	-21.1	0.09%	0	-0.5	45	0
24	Oct_19_2006	79.85	80.14	80.02	80.04			80.03(-0.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-18	-10000	0	-73	0.82	52%	0	-21.1	0.09%	0	-0.7	29	0
25	Oct_18_2006	79.85	80.16	80.04	80.02			80.04(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-22	-10000	2	-93	0.31	52%		-11.8	0.09%	0	-0.9	28	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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