Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jun. 23, 2006

Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF)
SHY latest price $79.4600 (-0.03%) ($79.4200 - $79.5000) on Fri. Jun. 23, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.1% (three month average)
RSI   29
Latest Price   $79.4600(-0.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   SHY declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SHY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(47%)    TLT(42%)    LQD(17%)    GLD(11%)    XOP(-0%)
Factors Impacting SHY price   SHY will decline at least -0.05% in a week (0% probabilities).
VWO(-23%)    SPY(-23%)    FXI(-23%)    EEM(-23%)    QQQ(-21%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.05% (StdDev 0.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

Resistance Level   $79.63
5 Day Moving Average   $79.49(-0.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $79.55(-0.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $79.63(-0.21%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SHY price fluctuates within 0.14% (three month std-dev: 0.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060723

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_23_2006	79.82	79.63	79.55	79.49			79.46(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-22	-10000	-6	-68	0.32	38%	0	-71.4	0.1%	0	-1.5	29	0
2	Jun_22_2006	79.82	79.65	79.58	79.51			79.48(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	-10000	-6	-62	0.32	38%	-0.01	-60	0.1%	0	-1.4	25	0
3	Jun_21_2006	79.83	79.67	79.6	79.53			79.52(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-17	-10000	-6	-50	1.96	35%	-0.01	-53.3	0.1%	0	-1.3	44	0
4	Jun_20_2006	79.84	79.68	79.61	79.55			79.5(-0.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-20	-10000	-8	-57	0.46	35%	0	-46.7	0.1%	0	-1.5	31	0
5	Jun_19_2006	79.84	79.69	79.62	79.58			79.51(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-21	-10000	-10	-52	0.29	35%	-0.01	-35.7	0.1%	0	-1.6	29	0

6	Jun_16_2006	79.85	79.71	79.64	79.62			79.54(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-20	-10000	-8	-57	0.36	40%	-0.01	-23.1	0.1%	0	-1.7	27	0
7	Jun_15_2006	79.86	79.72	79.65	79.65			79.58(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-17	-10000	-6	-50	1.07	40%	-0.01	-9.1	0.1%	0	-1.6	31	0
8	Jun_14_2006	79.87	79.72	79.66	79.65			79.6(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-15	-10000	0	-60	0.51	45%	-0.01	0	0.1%	0	-1.4	32	0
9	Jun_13_2006	79.88	79.72	79.67	79.65			79.68(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-15	-10000	0	-60	0.32	47%	-0.01	0	0.11%	0	-0.6	40	0
10	Jun_12_2006	79.89	79.72	79.69	79.67			79.7(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-12	-10000	2	-54	1.7	47%	0	0	0.11%	0	-0.4	45	0

11	Jun_9_2006	79.89	79.72	79.71	79.67			79.69(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-14	-10000	0	-55	0.69	45%	-0.01	0	0.11%	0	-0.4	45	0
12	Jun_8_2006	79.9	79.72	79.72	79.66			79.69(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-8	-10000	5	-47	0.77	45%	-0.01	9.1	0.11%	0	-0.4	43	0
13	Jun_7_2006	79.91	79.72	79.74	79.64			79.6(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-19	-10000	-9	-47	0.26	42%	-0.01	0	0.11%	0	-1.4	45	0
14	Jun_6_2006	79.92	79.72	79.76	79.68			79.65(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-13	-10000	-7	-30	0.2	42%	0	18.2	0.11%	0	-0.9	45	0
15	Jun_5_2006	79.92	79.72	79.77	79.71			79.65(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-12	-10000	-11	-15	0.33	42%	-0.01	27.3	0.11%	0	-0.9	50	0

16	Jun_2_2006	79.93	79.72	79.78	79.76			79.72(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	-10000	-7	14	1.76	41%	-0.01	27.3	0.11%	0	-0.1	57	0
17	Jun_1_2006	79.94	79.72	79.79	79.79			79.6(-0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.1	-1	-10000	-11	28	1.36	31%	0	18.2	0.11%	0	-1.4	48	0
18	May_31_2006	79.94	79.73	79.79	79.84			79.77(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	15	-10000	-2	65	0.41	40%	-0.01	27.3	0.1%	0	0.4	63	0
19	May_30_2006	79.95	79.72	79.8	79.85			79.83(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	21	-10000	2	79	0.98	40%	-0.01	23.1	0.1%	0	1.1	70	0
20	May_26_2006	79.96	79.72	79.79	79.84			79.89(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	24	-10000	7	74	1.22	37%	0	0	0.11%	0	1.6	78	0

21	May_25_2006	79.96	79.72	79.76	79.81			79.86(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	18	-10000	5	57	0.6	37%	-0.01	0	0.12%	0	1.4	75	0
22	May_24_2006	79.97	79.71	79.74	79.79			79.86(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	20	-10000	7	58	0.3	37%	0	0	0.12%	0	1.5	77	0
23	May_23_2006	79.97	79.71	79.72	79.76			79.81(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	-10000	2	46	0.31	37%	0	-15.4	0.12%	0	1.1	75	0
24	May_22_2006	79.97	79.71	79.7	79.75			79.76(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	16	-10000	5	47	0.54	37%	-0.01	-23.1	0.12%	0	0.6	72	0
25	May_19_2006	79.98	79.7	79.69	79.73			79.76(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-10000	7	43	0.35	37%		-21.4	0.12%	0	0.5	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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