Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Mar. 20, 2006

Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF)
SHY latest price $80.1200 (0.05%) ($80.0700 - $80.1200) on Mon. Mar. 20, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.11% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $80.1200(0.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SHY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SHY advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SHY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(47%)    TLT(42%)    LQD(18%)    GLD(11%)    REMX(-0%)
Factors Impacting SHY price   SHY will decline at least -0.055% in a week (0% probabilities).
VWO(-23%)    FXI(-23%)    EEM(-23%)    SPY(-22%)    QQQ(-21%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.055% (StdDev 0.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $80.05(0.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $79.94(0.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $79.94(0.23%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   0.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SHY price fluctuates within 0.16% (three month std-dev: 0.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_20_2006	80.19		79.94	80.05			80.12(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	31	-10000	16	77	0.42	40%	0	6.3	0.11%	0	1.4	46	0
2	Mar_17_2006	80.19		79.9	79.98			80.08(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	-10000	15	39	0.36	40%	0	0	0.11%	0	1.1	51	0
3	Mar_16_2006	80.19	79.94	79.87	79.92			80.11(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	7	-10000	11	-7	0.52	40%	0	-12.5	0.11%	0	1.3	50	0
4	Mar_15_2006	80.19	79.94	79.84	79.87			79.97(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-6	-10000	6	-40	0.16	35%	-0.01	-20	0.1%	0	0.3	46	0
5	Mar_14_2006	80.2	79.94	79.82	79.85			79.95(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-13	-10000	8	-75	0.56	38%	0	-33.3	0.1%	0	0.2	41	0

6	Mar_13_2006	80.2	79.93	79.84	79.85			79.79(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-21	-10000	0	-84	0.17	33%	-0.01	-40	0.1%	0	-1.2	37	0
7	Mar_10_2006	80.21	79.94	79.86	79.82			79.79(-0.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-21	-10000	2	-89	0.15	33%	-0.01	-46.7	0.1%	0	-1.2	35	0
8	Mar_9_2006	80.22	79.95	79.89	79.81			79.87(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-22	-10000	2	-95	0.79	33%	0	-50	0.1%	0	-0.7	41	0
9	Mar_8_2006	80.22	79.96	79.9	79.81			79.84(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-24	-10000	0	-96	0.87	36%	-0.01	-57.1	0.1%	0	-1.1	44	0
10	Mar_7_2006	80.23	79.97	79.93	79.8			79.79(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-39	-10000	-18	-103	0.28	36%	-0.01	-71.4	0.1%	0	-1.6	41	0

11	Mar_6_2006	80.24	79.98	79.95	79.87			79.79(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-25	-10000	-10	-70	0.8	40%	0	-69.2	0.1%	0	-1.9	41	0
12	Mar_3_2006	80.24	80	79.98	79.91			79.76(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-23	-10000	-16	-42	0.25	38%	-0.01	-81.8	0.1%	0	-2.7	44	0
13	Mar_2_2006	80.25	80.01	80.01	79.97			79.84(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-10	-10000	-10	-10	0.21	40%	0	-90	0.1%	0	-2.1	44	0
14	Mar_1_2006	80.25	80.02	80.03	80.01			79.81(-0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.9	-11	-10000	-14	0	0.56	34%	-0.01	-111.1	0.1%	0	-3	41	0
15	Feb_28_2006	80.26	80.05	80.05	80.07			80.13(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	11	-10000	4	32	0.27	40%	0	-90	0.1%	0	1	56	0

16	Feb_27_2006	80.26	80.06	80.04	80.05			80.02(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-10000	-4	16	0.22	36%	-0.01	-83.3	0.1%	0	-0.4	49	0
17	Feb_24_2006	80.27	80.07	80.03	80.07			80.06(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	6	-10000	2	19	0.28	36%	0	-73.3	0.1%	0	-0.1	48	0
18	Feb_23_2006	80.27	80.08	80.03	80.06			80.03(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	5	-10000	2	13	0.29	34%	0	-68.8	0.1%	0	-0.4	50	0
19	Feb_22_2006	80.27	80.1	80.02	80.05			80.1(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	5	-10000	4	8	0.23	38%	-0.01	-63.2	0.1%	0	0	56	0
20	Feb_21_2006	80.28	80.12	80.02	80.03			80.04(-0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-4	-10000	2	-23	11.05	38%	0	-61.9	0.1%	0	-0.5	27	0

21	Feb_17_2006	80.28	80.14	80.02	80.02			80.1(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-5	-10000	8	-45	0.35	38%	-0.01	-54.2	0.1%	0	-0.2	29	0
22	Feb_16_2006	80.29	80.15	80.01	79.99			80.04(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-18	-10000	2	-77	0.17	41%	-0.01	-56	0.1%	0	-0.5	29	0
23	Feb_15_2006	80.3	80.17	80	79.99			79.98(-0.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0	-27	-10000	0	-108	0.44	41%	0	-50	0.1%	0	-0.9	21	0
24	Feb_14_2006	80.3	80.2	80.01	79.98			79.99(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-35	-10000	-2	-133	0.3	39%	-0.01	-46.2	0.1%	0	-1	22	0
25	Feb_13_2006	80.31	80.22	80.04	79.99			79.99(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-33	-10000	-2	-126	0.16	39%		-48	0.11%	0	-1.2	19	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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