Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 8, 2005

Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF)
SHY latest price $80.1600 (0.12%) ($80.1200 - $80.1900) on Tue. Nov. 8, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.09% (three month average)
RSI   28
Latest Price   $80.1600(0.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   SHY declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SHY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(48%)    TLT(42%)    LQD(18%)    GLD(11%)    REMX(-1%)
Factors Impacting SHY price   SHY will decline at least -0.045% in a week (0% probabilities).
VWO(-23%)    FXI(-23%)    EEM(-23%)    SPY(-22%)    XLY(-20%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.045% (StdDev 0.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Resistance Level   $80.29
5 Day Moving Average   $80.09(0.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $80.19(-0.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $80.29(-0.16%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   0.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SHY price fluctuates within 0.17% (three month std-dev: 0.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20051208

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_8_2005	80.68	80.29	80.19				80.16(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-37	-10000	0	-147	0.24	48%	-0.01	-64.7	0.09%	0	-0.9	28	0
2	Nov_7_2005	80.69	80.31	80.2	80.09			80.06(-0.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-51	-10000	-13	-165	0.24	45%	-0.01	-64.7	0.09%	0	-1.8	24	0
3	Nov_4_2005	80.7	80.33	80.24	80.14			80.07(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-45	-10000	-16	-133	0.17	45%	-0.01	-50	0.09%	0	-2	33	0
4	Nov_3_2005	80.71	80.35	80.29	80.2			80.07(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-37	-10000	-16	-100	0.23	45%	-0.01	-53.3	0.09%	0	-2.3	31	0
5	Nov_2_2005	80.72	80.36	80.33	80.26			80.11(-0.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-23	-10000	-9	-64	0.15	45%	-0.01	-58.3	0.09%	0	-2.5	35	0

6	Nov_1_2005	80.73	80.38	80.36	80.29			80.12(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-21	-10000	-13	-45	0.64	39%	-0.01	-80	0.09%	0	-3.2	35	0
7	Oct_31_2005	80.74	80.38	80.39	80.34			80.33(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-9	-10000	-4	-22	0.29	44%	-0.01	-150	0.09%	0	-1.2	42	0
8	Oct_28_2005	80.75	80.39	80.39	80.36			80.36(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-11	-10000	-9	-17	0.37	44%	0	-111.1	0.09%	0	-0.4	43	0
9	Oct_27_2005	80.75	80.41	80.39	80.39			80.36(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-5	-10000	-4	-8	0.31	44%	-0.01	-90.9	0.09%	0	-0.6	42	0
10	Oct_26_2005	80.76	80.42	80.4	80.41			80.3(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-8	-10000	-9	-4	0.22	44%	-0.01	-71.4	0.09%	0	-1.1	44	0

11	Oct_25_2005	80.77	80.44	80.41	80.44			80.33(-0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	0	-10000	-4	12	0.37	44%	-0.01	-66.7	0.09%	0	-0.9	46	0
12	Oct_24_2005	80.78	80.46	80.42	80.46			80.47(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	-10000	9	30	0.28	48%	0	-62.5	0.09%	0	0.1	64	0
13	Oct_21_2005	80.78	80.47	80.42	80.43			80.5(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	9	-10000	4	22	0.36	48%	-0.01	-57.9	0.09%	0	0.2	67	0
14	Oct_20_2005	80.79	80.48	80.41	80.41			80.45(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	2	-10000	4	-5	0.32	48%	-0.01	-57.1	0.09%	0	-0.2	34	0
15	Oct_19_2005	80.8	80.5	80.4	80.39			80.45(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-7	-10000	4	-38	0.58	48%	-0.01	-59.1	0.09%	0	-0.3	30	0

16	Oct_18_2005	80.81	80.52	80.4	80.39			80.41(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-18	-10000	0	-73	0.24	48%	0	-63.6	0.09%	0	-0.6	25	0
17	Oct_17_2005	80.81	80.54	80.4	80.37			80.34(-0.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-29	-10000	-4	-102	0.31	46%	-0.01	-58.3	0.09%	0	-1.1	22	0
18	Oct_14_2005	80.82	80.56	80.39	80.39			80.38(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-34	-10000	-4	-122	0.34	46%	-0.01	-58.3	0.09%	0	-0.9	22	0
19	Oct_13_2005	80.83	80.58	80.41	80.39			80.36(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-32	-10000	0	-127	0.55	46%	0	-58.3	0.09%	0	-1.2	18	0
20	Oct_12_2005	80.83	80.61	80.44	80.41			80.36(-0.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-37	-10000	-2	-141	0.51	46%	-0.01	-58.3	0.09%	0	-1.3	16	0

21	Oct_11_2005	80.84	80.63	80.48	80.42			80.42(-0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-33	-10000	4	-145	0.22	46%	-0.01	-58.3	0.09%	0	-1.1	22	0
22	Oct_10_2005	80.85	80.65	80.51	80.4			80.44(-0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-38	-10000	2	-159	0.11	46%	0	-62.5	0.09%	0	-1.1	31	0
23	Oct_7_2005	80.85	80.67	80.53	80.39			80.45(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-53	-10000	-9	-184	0.16	44%	-0.01	-77.3	0.09%	0	-1.2	29	0
24	Oct_6_2005	80.86	80.7	80.57	80.42			80.39(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-59	-10000	-20	-175	0.33	44%	-0.01	-77.3	0.09%	0	-1.7	26	0
25	Oct_5_2005	80.87	80.72	80.61	80.49			80.39(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-49	-10000	-16	-146	0.57	44%		-80	0.09%	0	-2.1	24	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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