Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Oct. 14, 2005

Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF)
SHY latest price $80.3800 (0.02%) ($80.3100 - $80.4300) on Fri. Oct. 14, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.09% (three month average)
RSI   22
Latest Price   $80.3800(0.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   SHY declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SHY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(48%)    TLT(42%)    LQD(18%)    GLD(11%)    REMX(-1%)
Factors Impacting SHY price   SHY will decline at least -0.045% in a week (0% probabilities).
FXI(-23%)    VWO(-22%)    SPY(-22%)    EEM(-22%)    XLY(-20%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.045% (StdDev 0.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Resistance Level   $80.56
5 Day Moving Average   $80.39(-0.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $80.39(-0.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $80.56(-0.22%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SHY price fluctuates within 0.24% (three month std-dev: 0.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20051114

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_14_2005	80.82	80.56	80.39	80.39			80.38(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-34	-10000	-4	-122	0.34	46%	-0.01	-58.3	0.09%	0	-0.9	22	0
2	Oct_13_2005	80.83	80.58	80.41	80.39			80.36(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-32	-10000	0	-127	0.55	46%	0	-58.3	0.09%	0	-1.2	18	0
3	Oct_12_2005	80.83	80.61	80.44	80.41			80.36(-0.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-37	-10000	-2	-141	0.51	46%	-0.01	-58.3	0.09%	0	-1.3	16	0
4	Oct_11_2005	80.84	80.63	80.48	80.42			80.42(-0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-33	-10000	4	-145	0.22	46%	-0.01	-58.3	0.09%	0	-1.1	22	0
5	Oct_10_2005	80.85	80.65	80.51	80.4			80.44(-0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-38	-10000	2	-159	0.11	46%	0	-62.5	0.09%	0	-1.1	31	0

6	Oct_7_2005	80.85	80.67	80.53	80.39			80.45(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-53	-10000	-9	-184	0.16	44%	-0.01	-77.3	0.09%	0	-1.2	29	0
7	Oct_6_2005	80.86	80.7	80.57	80.42			80.39(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-59	-10000	-20	-175	0.33	44%	-0.01	-77.3	0.09%	0	-1.7	26	0
8	Oct_5_2005	80.87	80.72	80.61	80.49			80.39(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-49	-10000	-16	-146	0.57	44%	-0.01	-80	0.09%	0	-2.1	24	0
9	Oct_4_2005	80.88	80.74	80.66	80.55			80.35(-0.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-45	-10000	-20	-121	0.49	44%	0	-73.7	0.09%	0	-2.6	21	0
10	Oct_3_2005	80.88	80.78	80.7	80.62			80.36(-0.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.2	-42	-10000	-22	-102	0.21	44%	-0.01	-73.3	0.09%	0	-3.5	21	0

11	Sep_30_2005	80.89	80.81	80.75	80.7			80.63(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-20	-10000	-8	-57	0.2	41%	0	-54.5	0.1%	0	-2	36	0
12	Sep_29_2005	80.89	80.83	80.77	80.73			80.7(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-10000	-8	-51	0.24	41%	-0.01	-45.5	0.1%	0	-1.4	37	0
13	Sep_28_2005	80.9	80.85	80.78	80.76			80.73(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-13	-10000	-4	-38	0.24	39%	0	-16.7	0.1%	0	-1.2	41	0
14	Sep_27_2005	80.9	80.85	80.8	80.78			80.7(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-9	-10000	-2	-31	0.27	39%	0	-8.3	0.1%	0	-1.6	35	0
15	Sep_26_2005	80.9	80.85	80.81	80.79			80.73(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-11	-10000	-4	-32	0.16	39%	0	0	0.1%	0	-1.4	32	0

16	Sep_23_2005	80.9	80.86	80.82	80.79			80.79(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	-10000	0	-42	0.13	39%	-0.01	0	0.1%	0	-0.8	27	0
17	Sep_22_2005	80.91	80.87	80.82	80.79			80.86(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-12	-10000	0	-48	0.41	44%	0	9.1	0.1%	0	-0.1	41	0
18	Sep_21_2005	80.91	80.87	80.82	80.79			80.83(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-15	-10000	0	-60	0.47	44%	0	9.1	0.11%	0	-0.3	32	0
19	Sep_20_2005	80.91	80.87	80.83	80.81			80.75(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-21	-10000	-7	-63	0.29	44%	0	27.3	0.11%	0	-1.2	44	0
20	Sep_19_2005	80.91	80.87	80.85	80.81			80.81(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-10	-10000	0	-38	0.19	44%	0	36.4	0.11%	0	-0.6	54	0

21	Sep_16_2005	80.91	80.87	80.88	80.84			80.79(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-9	-10000	-4	-23	0.24	46%	-0.01	41.7	0.11%	0	-0.7	54	0
22	Sep_15_2005	80.92	80.86	80.9	80.84			80.85(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1	-10000	0	-5	0.35	46%	0	50	0.11%	0	-0.1	53	0
23	Sep_14_2005	80.92	80.85	80.9	80.84			80.87(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	3	-10000	0	11	0.34	46%	0	50	0.11%	0	0.2	53	0
24	Sep_13_2005	80.92	80.84	80.92	80.86			80.88(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	3	-10000	-2	16	0.68	46%	0	57.1	0.11%	0	0.4	54	0
25	Sep_12_2005	80.92	80.83	80.91	80.87			80.83(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-4	-10000	-11	17	0.16	46%		66.7	0.11%	0	0	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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