Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 21, 2005

Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF)
SHY latest price $80.8300 (0.1%) ($80.8100 - $80.8800) on Wed. Sep. 21, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.11% (three month average)
RSI   32
Latest Price   $80.8300(0.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   SHY declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SHY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(48%)    TLT(42%)    LQD(19%)    GLD(11%)    REMX(-1%)
Factors Impacting SHY price   SHY will decline at least -0.055% in a week (0% probabilities).
FXI(-23%)    VWO(-22%)    SPY(-22%)    EEM(-22%)    XLY(-20%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.055% (StdDev 0.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

Resistance Level   $80.86
5 Day Moving Average   $80.81(0.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $80.83(0%)
20 Day Moving Average   $80.86(-0.04%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   0.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SHY price fluctuates within 0.11% (three month std-dev: 0.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20051021

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_21_2005	80.91						80.83(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-15	-10000	0	-60	0.47	44%	0	9.1	0.11%	0	-0.3	32	0
2	Sep_20_2005	80.91		80.83	80.81			80.75(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-21	-10000	-7	-63	0.29	44%	0	27.3	0.11%	0	-1.2	44	0
3	Sep_19_2005	80.91		80.85	80.81			80.81(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-10	-10000	0	-38	0.19	44%	0	36.4	0.11%	0	-0.6	54	0
4	Sep_16_2005	80.91		80.88	80.84			80.79(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-9	-10000	-4	-23	0.24	46%	-0.01	41.7	0.11%	0	-0.7	54	0
5	Sep_15_2005	80.92	80.86	80.9	80.84			80.85(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1	-10000	0	-5	0.35	46%	0	50	0.11%	0	-0.1	53	0

6	Sep_14_2005	80.92	80.85	80.9	80.84			80.87(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	3	-10000	0	11	0.34	46%	0	50	0.11%	0	0.2	53	0
7	Sep_13_2005	80.92	80.84	80.92	80.86			80.88(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	3	-10000	-2	16	0.68	46%	0	57.1	0.11%	0	0.4	54	0
8	Sep_12_2005	80.92	80.83	80.92	80.87			80.83(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-4	-10000	-11	17	0.16	46%	-0.01	66.7	0.11%	0	0	57	0
9	Sep_9_2005	80.93	80.82	80.91	80.92			80.86(0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	8	-10000	-4	42	0.45	44%	0	81.3	0.11%	0	0.3	59	0
10	Sep_8_2005	80.93	80.81	80.91	80.94			80.84(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	6	-10000	-11	56	0.23	44%	0	82.4	0.11%	0	0.2	56	0

11	Sep_7_2005	80.93	80.79	80.91	80.94			80.88(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	22	-10000	0	87	0.89	44%	0	78.9	0.11%	0	0.6	61	0
12	Sep_6_2005	80.93	80.78	80.9	80.99			80.94(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	31	-10000	7	101	0.24	44%	-0.01	75	0.11%	0	1	65	0
13	Sep_2_2005	80.94	80.75	80.88	80.96			81.07(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	38	-10000	14	108	0.2	45%	0	63.6	0.1%	0	1.8	75	0
14	Sep_1_2005	80.94	80.72	80.84	80.9			80.97(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	-10000	10	88	0.62	42%	0	47.6	0.1%	0	1.5	68	0
15	Aug_31_2005	80.94	80.7	80.82	80.86			81.1(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	31	-10000	12	89	0.29	45%	0.01	40	0.1%	0	2.5	82	0

16	Aug_30_2005	80.93	80.67	80.78	80.81			80.89(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	23	-10000	4	80	0.46	39%	0	31.3	0.1%	0	1.7	79	0
17	Aug_29_2005	80.93	80.65	80.75	80.79			80.77(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.2	23	-10000	2	85	0.18	34%	0	20	0.1%	0	1	76	0
18	Aug_26_2005	80.93	80.65	80.74	80.79			80.75(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	24	-10000	0	96	0.27	34%	0	6.7	0.1%	0	0.9	79	0
19	Aug_25_2005	80.93	80.65	80.73	80.78			80.81(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	-10000	2	103	0.19	34%	0	0	0.1%	0	1.4	73	0
20	Aug_24_2005	80.93	80.64	80.71	80.77			80.82(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	32	-10000	8	105	0.15	34%	0	0	0.1%	0	1.5	65	0

21	Aug_23_2005	80.93	80.64	80.67	80.74			80.81(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	-10000	8	93	0.19	34%	0	-6.7	0.1%	0	1.5	65	0
22	Aug_22_2005	80.93	80.64	80.64	80.71			80.73(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	-10000	4	80	0.97	31%	0	-20	0.1%	0	0.8	63	0
23	Aug_19_2005	80.93	80.63	80.61	80.69			80.72(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	-10000	4	62	0.22	29%	0	-18.8	0.1%	0	0.7	64	0
24	Aug_18_2005	80.93	80.64	80.59	80.67			80.75(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	-10000	8	45	0.12	32%	0	-25	0.1%	0	0.8	46	0
25	Aug_17_2005	80.93	80.63	80.57	80.64			80.68(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	-10000	10	10	0.18	32%		-37.5	0.1%	0	0.4	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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