Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 19, 2005

Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF)
SHY latest price $80.8500 (0.04%) ($80.7800 - $80.8600) on Tue. Jul. 19, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.1% (three month average)
RSI   30
Latest Price   $80.8500(0.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   SHY declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SHY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(48%)    TLT(42%)    LQD(19%)    GLD(11%)    REMX(-1%)
Factors Impacting SHY price   SHY will decline at least -0.05% in a week (0% probabilities).
FXI(-23%)    VWO(-22%)    SPY(-22%)    EEM(-22%)    XLY(-20%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.05% (StdDev 0.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

Resistance Level   $80.98
5 Day Moving Average   $80.83(0.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $80.85(0%)
20 Day Moving Average   $80.98(-0.16%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SHY price fluctuates within 0.21% (three month std-dev: 0.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050819

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_19_2005	80.97	80.98					80.85(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-20	-10000	0	-78	0.22	32%	0	-33.3	0.1%	0	-0.8	30	0
2	Jul_18_2005	80.97	80.99	80.85				80.82(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	-10000	0	-108	0.31	32%	0	-33.3	0.1%	0	-1	25	0
3	Jul_15_2005	80.97	81	80.86	80.83			80.84(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-36	-10000	-2	-139	0.3	36%	-0.01	-28.6	0.1%	0	-0.9	28	0
4	Jul_14_2005	80.98	81.01	80.89	80.84			80.83(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-38	-10000	-4	-140	0.28	38%	0	-30	0.1%	0	-1.1	31	0
5	Jul_13_2005	80.98	81.02	80.93	80.86			80.83(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-35	-10000	-4	-128	0.4	41%	0	-30	0.1%	0	-1.2	30	0

6	Jul_12_2005	80.98	81.03	80.96	80.86			80.82(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-26	-10000	0	-104	0.17	41%	0	-31.6	0.11%	0	-1.4	42	0
7	Jul_11_2005	80.98	81.04	81	80.88			80.82(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-10000	-2	-94	1.44	41%	-0.01	-41.2	0.11%	0	-1.6	43	0
8	Jul_8_2005	80.99	81.05	81.04	80.89			80.88(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-34	-10000	-16	-88	0.13	41%	0	-43.8	0.11%	0	-1.3	44	0
9	Jul_7_2005	80.99	81.06	81.08	80.96			80.97(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-22	-10000	-10	-58	0.15	42%	0	-31.3	0.1%	0	-0.7	47	0
10	Jul_6_2005	80.99	81.07	81.1	81			80.9(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-18	-10000	-14	-30	0.13	42%	-0.01	-25	0.1%	0	-1.3	48	0

11	Jul_5_2005	81	81.08	81.12	81.06			80.85(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-17	-10000	-20	-8	0.2	42%	0	-20	0.1%	0	-1.9	45	0
12	Jul_1_2005	81	81.1	81.14	81.14			80.83(-0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-3.1	-7	-10000	-20	34	0.39	40%	-0.01	-8.3	0.1%	0	-2.7	45	0
13	Jun_30_2005	81.01	81.1	81.17	81.22			81.24(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	-10000	2	87	0.47	50%	0	18.2	0.09%	0	1.4	72	0
14	Jun_29_2005	81.01	81.1	81.15	81.22			81.19(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	22	-10000	0	87	0.29	50%	0	9.1	0.09%	0	0.9	60	0
15	Jun_28_2005	81.01	81.1	81.13	81.21			81.17(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	24	-10000	4	82	0.19	50%	0	18.2	0.09%	0	0.7	54	0

16	Jun_27_2005	81.01	81.11	81.11	81.19			81.26(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	26	-10000	13	65	0.15	52%	0	18.2	0.09%	0	1.7	59	0
17	Jun_24_2005	81.01	81.11	81.09	81.14			81.23(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	16	-10000	9	37	0.38	52%	0	10	0.09%	0	1.6	58	0
18	Jun_23_2005	81.01	81.1	81.06	81.11			81.19(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	9	-10000	9	10	0.2	52%	0	0	0.09%	0	1.1	59	0
19	Jun_22_2005	81.01	81.1	81.05	81.08			81.22(0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	8	-10000	13	-8	0.27	49%	0	0	0.09%	0	1.6	51	0
20	Jun_21_2005	81.01	81.1	81.03	81.08			81.04(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-11	-10000	0	-45	0.25	45%	0	-22.2	0.08%	0	-0.7	32	0

21	Jun_20_2005	81.01	81.1	81.04	81.03			81.03(-0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-13	-10000	3	-59	0.21	45%	-0.01	-22.2	0.08%	0	-0.9	28	0
22	Jun_17_2005	81.02	81.1	81.04	81.02			81.05(-0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-14	-10000	3	-66	0.89	45%	0	-33.3	0.08%	0	-0.6	38	0
23	Jun_16_2005	81.02	81.09	81.05	81.02			81.06(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-21	-10000	0	-83	0.38	47%	0	-33.3	0.08%	0	-0.4	42	0
24	Jun_15_2005	81.02	81.09	81.06	81.01			80.99(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-22	-10000	-4	-75	0.14	46%	-0.01	-22.2	0.09%	0	-1.6	33	0
25	Jun_14_2005	81.03	81.1	81.08	81.03			81.01(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-23	-10000	-9	-64	0.26	46%		0	0.09%	0	-1.3	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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