Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 23, 2005

Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF)
SHY latest price $80.7100 (-0.01%) ($80.6200 - $80.7200) on Wed. Mar. 23, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.08% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $80.7100(-0.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   SHY declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SHY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(48%)    TLT(43%)    LQD(19%)    GLD(11%)    REMX(-1%)
Factors Impacting SHY price   SHY will decline at least -0.04% in a week (0% probabilities).
FXI(-23%)    VWO(-22%)    SPY(-22%)    EEM(-22%)    XLY(-20%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.04% (StdDev 0.08%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

Resistance Level   $80.86
5 Day Moving Average   $80.79(-0.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $80.78(-0.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $80.86(-0.19%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SHY price fluctuates within 0.15% (three month std-dev: 0.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050423

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_23_2005	81.34	80.86	80.78	80.79			80.71(-0.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-10000	-5	-47	0.22	38%	-0.01	-73.3	0.08%	0	-1.3	31	0
2	Mar_22_2005	81.35	80.88	80.8	80.79			80.72(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-10	-10000	0	-38	1.62	38%	-0.02	-68.8	0.08%	0	-1.2	36	0
3	Mar_21_2005	81.37	80.9	80.81	80.81			80.86(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-6	-10000	6	-40	1.62	42%	-0.01	-73.3	0.07%	0	-0.3	51	0
4	Mar_18_2005	81.38	80.91	80.82	80.79			80.81(-0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-15	-10000	3	-67	0.11	42%	-0.01	-81.3	0.07%	0	-0.8	32	0
5	Mar_17_2005	81.39	80.93	80.82	80.78			80.85(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-19	-10000	3	-85	0.22	42%	-0.02	-82.4	0.07%	0	-0.6	31	0

6	Mar_16_2005	81.41	80.94	80.83	80.77			80.82(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-31	-10000	-3	-113	0.38	39%	-0.01	-78.9	0.07%	0	-0.8	26	0
7	Mar_15_2005	81.42	80.96	80.84	80.78			80.72(-0.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-44	-10000	-14	-134	0.26	38%	-0.01	-75	0.07%	0	-1.5	15	0
8	Mar_14_2005	81.43	80.99	80.85	80.82			80.75(-0.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-42	-10000	-6	-148	0.21	38%	-0.02	-70	0.07%	0	-1.5	15	0
9	Mar_11_2005	81.45	81.01	80.88	80.84			80.78(-0.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-44	-10000	-11	-142	0.76	38%	-0.01	-68.4	0.07%	0	-1.5	22	0
10	Mar_10_2005	81.46	81.04	80.91	80.87			80.8(-0.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-44	-10000	-11	-142	0.24	38%	-0.02	-63.2	0.07%	0	-1.6	18	0

11	Mar_9_2005	81.48	81.07	80.94	80.87			80.86(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-34	-10000	0	-137	0.38	40%	-0.01	-50	0.07%	0	-1.3	25	0
12	Mar_8_2005	81.49	81.08	80.96	80.9			80.89(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-34	-10000	3	-145	0.24	40%	-0.01	-52.6	0.07%	0	-1.3	24	0
13	Mar_7_2005	81.5	81.1	80.99	80.89			80.89(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-50	-10000	-11	-167	0.43	40%	-0.01	-66.7	0.07%	0	-1.4	25	0
14	Mar_4_2005	81.51	81.12	81.01	80.92			80.92(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-50	-10000	-11	-167	0.44	40%	-0.02	-70.6	0.07%	0	-1.4	25	0
15	Mar_3_2005	81.53	81.13	81.04	80.95			80.92(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-51	-10000	-14	-160	1.34	47%	-0.01	-75	0.07%	0	-1.6	23	0

16	Mar_2_2005	81.54	81.15	81.06	80.99			80.89(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-43	-10000	-13	-133	0.39	47%	-0.01	-80	0.08%	0	-2.2	18	0
17	Mar_1_2005	81.55	81.17	81.1	81.03			80.84(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-42	-10000	-18	-112	0.27	44%	-0.01	-78.6	0.08%	0	-3	31	0
18	Feb_28_2005	81.56	81.2	81.14	81.09			81.02(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-29	-10000	-6	-97	0.5	50%	-0.01	-90.9	0.07%	0	-2	36	0
19	Feb_25_2005	81.57	81.22	81.16	81.11			81.07(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-10000	-11	-90	0.6	47%	-0.01	-90.9	0.07%	0	-1.7	37	0
20	Feb_24_2005	81.58	81.23	81.18	81.14			81.11(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	-10000	-6	-62	0.22	47%	-0.01	-81.8	0.07%	0	-1.3	47	0

21	Feb_23_2005	81.59	81.25	81.18	81.16			81.13(-0.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-11	-10000	-3	-35	0.73	47%	-0.01	-72.7	0.07%	0	-1.3	45	0
22	Feb_22_2005	81.6	81.26	81.21	81.17			81.14(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	-10000	-6	-37	0.18	47%	-0.01	-63.6	0.07%	0	-1.3	43	0
23	Feb_18_2005	81.61	81.28	81.22	81.19			81.11(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-18	-10000	-10	-42	0.2	43%	-0.01	-58.3	0.08%	0	-1.7	32	0
24	Feb_17_2005	81.62	81.29	81.22	81.22			81.22(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-13	-10000	-3	-44	0.44	50%	0	-41.7	0.07%	0	-0.7	36	0
25	Feb_16_2005	81.62	81.3	81.24	81.23			81.18(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-20	-10000	-10	-49	0.16	50%		-33.3	0.08%	0	-1.2	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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