Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 17, 2005

Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF)
SHY latest price $81.2200 (0.05%) ($81.1500 - $81.2300) on Thu. Feb. 17, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.07% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $81.2200(0.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   SHY declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SHY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(48%)    TLT(43%)    LQD(19%)    GLD(11%)    REMX(-1%)
Factors Impacting SHY price   SHY will decline at least -0.035% in a week (0% probabilities).
FXI(-23%)    SPY(-22%)    EEM(-22%)    XLY(-20%)    QQQ(-20%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.035% (StdDev 0.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Resistance Level   $81.29
5 Day Moving Average   $81.22(0%)
10 Day Moving Average   $81.24(-0.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $81.29(-0.09%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SHY price fluctuates within 0.12% (three month std-dev: 0.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050317

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_17_2005	81.62	81.29		81.22			81.22(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-13	-10000	-3	-44	0.44	50%	0	-41.7	0.07%	0	-0.7	36	0
2	Feb_16_2005	81.62	81.3		81.23			81.18(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-20	-10000	-10	-49	0.16	50%	-0.01	-33.3	0.08%	0	-1.2	37	0
3	Feb_15_2005	81.63	81.31		81.23			81.22(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-11	-10000	0	-45	0.26	50%	-0.01	-27.3	0.08%	0	-1	38	0
4	Feb_14_2005	81.64	81.32	81.24	81.23			81.21(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-15	-10000	0	-60	0.64	50%	-0.01	-27.3	0.08%	0	-1.2	35	0
5	Feb_11_2005	81.65	81.33	81.26	81.23			81.25(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	-10000	0	-60	0.3	50%	-0.01	-18.2	0.08%	0	-0.9	35	0

6	Feb_10_2005	81.66	81.33	81.26	81.26			81.29(-0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-13	-10000	5	-66	0.51	48%	-0.01	-18.2	0.08%	0	-0.6	34	0
7	Feb_9_2005	81.67	81.33	81.28	81.24			81.35(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-18	-10000	5	-88	0.42	48%	0	-18.2	0.08%	0	0.1	44	0
8	Feb_8_2005	81.67	81.33	81.29	81.22			81.2(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-27	-10000	-3	-99	0.15	43%	-0.01	-27.3	0.08%	0	-1.6	41	0
9	Feb_7_2005	81.68	81.34	81.31	81.23			81.23(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-31	-10000	-10	-94	0.35	43%	-0.01	-40	0.08%	0	-1.4	44	0
10	Feb_4_2005	81.69	81.34	81.33	81.26			81.25(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-26	-10000	-10	-72	0.45	38%	-0.01	-30	0.08%	0	-1.2	43	0

11	Feb_3_2005	81.7	81.35	81.35	81.29			81.18(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-22	-10000	-13	-50	0.27	36%	-0.01	-30	0.08%	0	-2.1	34	0
12	Feb_2_2005	81.71	81.35	81.38	81.33			81.22(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-12	-10000	-10	-19	0.18	36%	-0.01	-33.3	0.08%	0	-2	46	0
13	Feb_1_2005	81.72	81.36	81.39	81.36			81.25(-0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-9	-10000	-13	2	0.22	32%	-0.01	-44.4	0.08%	0	-1.6	49	0
14	Jan_31_2005	81.73	81.36	81.41	81.4			81.4(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	5	-10000	-3	29	0.18	35%	0	-42.9	0.08%	0	0.5	62	0
15	Jan_28_2005	81.73	81.37	81.41	81.41			81.41(0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	5	-10000	-5	36	0.1	35%	-0.01	-42.9	0.08%	0	0.7	56	0

16	Jan_27_2005	81.74	81.37	81.41	81.43			81.37(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	11	-10000	-3	51	0.27	33%	-0.01	-30	0.08%	0	-0.1	55	0
17	Jan_26_2005	81.75	81.38	81.4	81.44			81.39(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	15	-10000	2	54	0.11	33%	0	-30	0.09%	0	0.1	60	0
18	Jan_25_2005	81.75	81.38	81.39	81.43			81.42(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	17	-10000	4	55	0.22	33%	-0.01	-27.3	0.09%	0	0.3	64	0
19	Jan_24_2005	81.76	81.39	81.38	81.41			81.45(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	-10000	2	41	0.33	33%	0	-36.4	0.09%	0	0.7	48	0
20	Jan_21_2005	81.76	81.39	81.36	81.4			81.5(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	10	-10000	4	28	0.19	31%	-0.01	-45.5	0.09%	0	1.1	51	0

21	Jan_20_2005	81.77	81.4	81.34	81.38			81.42(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	4	-10000	4	2	0.16	28%	0	-50	0.09%	0	0.2	37	0
22	Jan_19_2005	81.77	81.41	81.33	81.36			81.35(0.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-5	-10000	2	-26	0.22	26%	-0.01	-58.3	0.09%	0	-0.6	34	0
23	Jan_18_2005	81.78	81.42	81.32	81.35			81.34(-0.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-10	-10000	4	-52	0.17	26%	-0.01	-57.1	0.09%	0	-0.7	33	0
24	Jan_14_2005	81.79	81.43	81.33	81.35			81.37(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-17	-10000	0	-67	0.21	26%	-0.01	-64.3	0.09%	0	-0.5	38	0
25	Jan_13_2005	81.8	81.44	81.34	81.33			81.41(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-17	-10000	4	-78	0.1	26%		-60	0.09%	0	-0.3	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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